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PaperclipPerfector  2d ago (text post)   1660 thread views

Friday Fun Thread for May 1, 2026

Be advised: this thread is not for serious in-depth discussion of weighty topics (we have a link for that), this thread is not for anything Culture War related. This thread is for Fun. You got jokes? Share 'em. You got silly questions? Ask 'em.

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You're right that he's a bit cagey about it, but if you dig-in you can find what he would actually guess if you drugged him and ran the experiment.

"The 1/3-view is right that Beauty’s posterior credence in HEADS after being informed that it is Monday should be one-half. The 1/2-view is right that Beauty’s prior credence in HEADS, after awakening but before learning that it is Monday, should be one-half."

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