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I have genuinely tried. I've read dozens of Christian blogs, about prayer specifically. I know it doesn't work, but the fact that some people do forms a mental itch I can't seem to scratch. What I've found is that there are a bunch of different excuses. One is that 'God isn't a vending machine that gives you what you want', which surely cannot apply to benevolent intercessory prayer. Another is that 'prayer is about building a relationship with God', as if one-directional begging is how relationships work. Another is that prayer is about 'understanding God's will', which suggests you shouldn't be asking for anything at all, because God's will is perfect and predetermined. Another is 'God answers prayers with yes, no or not now' which of course covers literally every possible outcome regardless of what it is.
This is not a model of the world, these are arguments as soldiers, pulled out defensively to explain the unexplainable on an ad-hoc basis. You see the same thing when it comes to the problem of evil or the problem of hiddenness. I would love to see a consistent, logical model of God that corresponds to the actual world. Of course, if you do that, what you get is Deism, which is just atheism while doing spooky hand gestures.
So I'm forced to come to the conclusion that the word 'belief' should not be applied to religion and to observations of the real world. Whatever it is religious people are doing, they don't believe in God in the same way that I believe in the existence of the sun.
Pretty clearly not, since you can see the sun and do engineering off its presence.
What's your understanding of traditional marriage vows?
"to have and to hold, from this day forward, for better, for worse, for richer, for poorer, in sickness and in health, until death do us part"
Does such a vow make sense to you?
Would you take such a vow, and if you did, would you really mean it?
Would you agree that such a vow is best modelled as a bet, which resolves only on death? But what is the point of a bet that you can only "win" when you die?
What I'm trying to gesture at here is that there exists a class of decisions which humans make based on incomplete information, and about which one might uncharitably claim they are resistant to evidence-based assessment, but which nonetheless are meaningful and at least plausibly positive-sum. Belief in God, and prayer and other elements that go along with it, appear to me to be a member of this class.
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You can pray for a community of young people full of children (and a future) and God will lead you to the correct Church.
Or you can pray to the AI god and perhaps be rewarded with riches and the unparalleled thrill of pinning the weasel.
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