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Culture War Roundup for the week of May 18, 2026

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One of the best reddit accounts covering the war is /u/Duncan-M (who also has a substack). He has little bias and thus gets shit from the pro-UA and pro-RU cheerleaders in about equal measure.

Anyways the recent updates are that SpaceX disabled Starlink for the Russians, which they somehow were dependent on, thus heavily disrupting their comms system, enabling Ukrainian advances. The war is more drone heavy than ever, and fast unjammable comms are a must have to coordinate attacks.

In addition, previously Ukrainian recon drones were limited to about 10km past the FLOT (forward line of own troops) due to counter-drone AD, but have been able to penetrate past this, enabling reconnaissance and deep strikes into the Russian logistical rear.

This is not to imply that the Ukrainian manpower crisis has subsided, because it hasn't, especially since General 200 is busy plugging away with "Assault Forces" (ie Meat) as per Soviet doctrine. But it's less relevant than ever. In conclusion:

The shortage of infantry is being counteracted by advances in drone warfare. The Ukrainian capabilities have never been better, and Russian capabilities dropped at least a bit since February when they lost access to Starlink, which it comes to find out they had become dangerously reliant on through 2025.

So right now, considering the way both sides fight this war, unless Russia dramatically changes its operational planning and stops giving any shits about territory and focuses purely on increasing Ukrainian casualties, then Ukraine's infantry manpower shortage probably won't cause any sort of collapse.

What about an an autonomous AI advantage? Ukraine getting some western tech that's allowing independent identification and targeting of designated targets?