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Simple: I don't acknowledge your capability for self-reflection, thus I don't trust your interpretation of your position (or anything).
This kind of condescension is part of the reason I don't like you. No, they will get strongly superhuman, fast. Your diagnosis will still be wrong.
Even Fable is superhuman in the limit of self-developing instruments and effectors, but of course we're not stopping here.
We are in the middle stage of the intelligence explosion. Models developing RL tasks for their 0.1 increments that do these kinds of gains on DeepSWE is recursive self-improvement. Of course it's going faster inside frontier labs, and we'll have to accelerate a lot yet, but if you expect some sort of direct self-editing, the way Yud wanted his XML AGI to work, you're likely wrong.
I also don't acknowledge your ability to form a theory of mind.
Condescension? In this thread? Heaven forbid!
Maybe you could enlighten me, as deficient as I clearly am in modeling your worldview. How capable do you think these things are going to get approximately? A nation of geniuses in a datacenter, to use a phrasing I'm sure grates you, seems capable to me of determining your intentions with your stepmother without even reading your mind whether it be in your skull or delegated to GA. Likewise they'd seem able to dispatch a drone or whatever to place a bullet basically wherever they'd want.
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