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To state the obvious why would you compare Dartmouth admit rate to % IQ score? Most people don’t both applying to Ivy schools because they have no chance at getting in.
Not sure how you can be quanty if you don’t see that immediately. A quick grok tells me 51% of high schoolers take the SAT…let’s use 50% for easy math. Dartmouths median SAT score is 1500-1570. I asked grok where does a 1530 SAT score fall within SAT score distributions? It told me top 99%. But only half of students take the SAT. Asked further and 1530 is the exact cut-off for 99%. So the median Dartmouth student is the top .5% of high school graduates based on SAT scores. It’s top 1% of SAT takers and half don’t take the test.
For her specifically we know she did a less competitive dual degree program with Dartmouth. So maybe didn’t get in or perhaps other reasons. We know she is white so no affirmative action. She’s also English as a second language which may have hurt her verbal SAT scores. She majored in Engineering which tends to have higher IQs. She was able to get into hard firms to get into which if anything should give a positive Bayesian assumption for her IQ.
If the median Dartmouth grad is in the top .5% of IQ then guessing she’s top .3% seems reasonable to me.
So Yes on IQ testing there is strong evidence she is in the top .3% of people. Potentially a little lower, but almost certainly top 1%. Top .3% people can generally learn almost anything when they are passionate about it. I wouldn’t call top .3% genius level as there is a clear gap between those people and Bill Gates/Terrence Tao.
I feel like you don’t realize that people in that grouping can learn as they go and get involved in things. And a top .3% IQ plus attractive and social would definitely get promoted quickly. This isn’t nepotism since there is strong evidence she is very high skilled.
But again you made a very basic math mistake of using admittance rate to measure competitiveness. It would be fun to be a Navy Seal, but I never applied because I know they would never take me.
Also I wouldn’t expect a true genius to end up at Dartmouth unless American higher ed is that broken. Those 50-100 people are hopefully still getting selected into Harvard, MIT, Princeton, Stanford, Caltech and University of Chicago. Unless the filters are really broken now.
For what it’s worth grok says a 1530 SAT correlates to a 130-143 IQ. So the median Dartmouth grad would be like 137 IQ. So I guess you would consider them basically geniuses.
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