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Notes -
I would give a slim edge to Paxton. If democrats are going to win a statewide race in Texas, it will be this one. But they haven’t done that in 40 years. Talarico’s, uh, controversial statements are just now starting to air, and we don’t know how voters will weight them versus Ken Paxton’s history of corruption.
Ann Richards won the 1990 governor election, which isn't quite 40 years ago, and there were a few other statewide offices through the mid 90s that Democrats won. Texas hasn't been a red state, much less a very red one, as long as most people seem to think.
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