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Notes -
Haven't you watched the news in like the last decade or few at all?
Ebola, Zika, Mpox, plain old HIV.
Diseases form all the damn time in Africa.
And HIV too of course. But these viruses have been around since at least the 1970s, realistically much longer. Africa today has a population far greater than when these diseases developed. Why aren't we seeing like 10x the number of new diseases?
And why not India which even today has the same population as Africa and historically was much more populated.
Clearly there is more to disease formation than just raw human population.
I don't think HIV was well-known until well into the 80s, even if it was recorded earlier. There are plausibly a dozen or two documented-but-small-scale diseases today that will blow up in the next decade or two. Mpox wasn't new, but the mutation that was spreading was, AFAIK.
True though that also raises the question how modern air-travel hasn't led to way more random diseases surging around than actually have. You can get from Bumfuck Africa to an international hub in like 24 hours now. I'm pretty sure even in Africa the majority of the population could get to Dubai within 2 days if they really needed to.
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