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Notes -
I wish people would specify land when talking about real estate and not housing. Interest rate changes do not effect construction costs - that’s labor and materials etc. But areas with scarce land rates do effect peoples ability to pay or more specifically you could run a land rent dcf to find the npv of land.
Low rates do not flow into npv in places like Houston. They just build a bigger city. It’s basically just construction costs in Houston, so if it costs 500k to build a house in Houston then housing gets cheaper. You now pay 500k but your mortgage is cheaper.
In Cali since they essentially banned construction. Peoples ability to pay is driven by rates. So if people could pay 5k then then the price of the home is the npv of 5k a month.
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