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Notes -
AI at this point does everything better. Everyone will use it to save time and outsource their thinking. The only thing it lacks is agency but even that may change.
AI doesn’t do everything better. It writes better code, but its taste is still horrible and I suspect hasn’t really improved. From my perspective and what I hear online (I consider the contests that awarded AI to be exceptions).
Even when AI art is popular (e.g. Malfoid pics) it’s because a human came up with the idea and heavily curated if not edited its output. I think AI photos and videos are improving, but only in production (no more weird hands). Because it has not stopped being generic to the point of blandness, even when prompted to be “creative”.
Even in software, its architecture is over complicated and probably slower to implement or buggier than human-designed, its explanations are worse than an expert’s because it doesn’t know what to include or leave out, and non-trivial UX you need humans at least to review. There’s a simple way to judge when AI really starts to eclipse humans in software dev: when a large project that is not just some port is created entirely with AI, that competes among the best human alternatives (to be clear, the ports are very impressive especially when combined. But I notice, even in the combinations, the interactions are lazy and not particularly deep, compared to e.g. Order of the Sinking Star).
everything minus some epsilon?
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