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Midterms Megathread

Cause otherwise midterms discussion will be scattered around a bunch of separate Culture War thread posts. And it's nice to have more off-the-cuff rapid reactions in a dedicated megathread.

The first thing I've noticed so far: if the exit polls are correct, Americans are very pessimistic about AI.

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It's not Collins that will switch, it's Murkowski in Alaska. I wrote that in my comment just now, and also my comment yesterday. That would bring Democrats to 56. She just endorsed the Democrat for Governor in Alaska, she is not at all a reliable Republican.

(And I guess it doesn't matter whether or not she switches parties. I am confident she would vote to convict Trump, if it comes to that, no matter which party she is in at the time.)

I just allowed "57 Senators" for unlikely possibilities like losing in Nebraska or Mississippi, or some other Senator switching parties. 55-56 is most likely.