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Goodguy  10d ago (text post)   Edited 10d ago   11333 thread views

Midterms Megathread

Cause otherwise midterms discussion will be scattered around a bunch of separate Culture War thread posts. And it's nice to have more off-the-cuff rapid reactions in a dedicated megathread.

The first thing I've noticed so far: if the exit polls are correct, Americans are very pessimistic about AI.

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So, what’s the benign mechanism that explains this?

a basic national trend of Trump voters who felt betrayed enough to defect to a Democrat voter while some sat out and not vote and a politicized situation where national politics, e.g., an ongoing extremely unpopular war, swamped state politics

Democrats get near their 2024 voter numbers (mirroring their primary and 2025 turnouts), GOP doesn't get those numbers (again, mirroring the primary turnouts and 2025 races), and the independents who voted (while significantly down) and who leaned heavily Trump in 2024 voted for Democrats instead

this isn't what fraud looks like in the US; you don't get a national trend across a bunch of different systems, different machines, different software, different people, and different places

we do not have a centralized vote counting system

this is NOTHING like the 2020 fraud

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