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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 13, 2023

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Regional banks do have proprietary advantage - domain specific knowledge of regional industry and real estate as well as local relationships. JPM or BofA need to have fairly uniform underwriting rules and these rules will not necessarily allow them to service some particular industry with weird cash flow patterns (such as startups). Rapidly scaling SAAS is a very good example of this.

Another great service SVB provided is a degree of self dealing/moral hazard - founders can get a mortgage backed by illiquid equity if they do corporate banking with SVB. This sort of self dealing is a problem for startups, but it is not really a problem and is a useful feature for family offices.

But how is that translating into good risks adjusted returns? They bought treasuries for size.

And the other business seems like a we give you good terms on loans so you deposit them with us. And then invest ??? For returns others can’t get. That all works if you can (1) get higher returns from relationships (2) have some real business diversification so your not overly exposed to one risks. Neither of these things seem true.

But the larger issue a deposit based bank which regionals seem to be heavily dependent on can’t function in this new world. Deposits move too fast. The whole business model seemed based on cheap loans (no edge here) to get deposits (no value anymore).