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Notes -
The angle that advocates of "overpopulation" rhetoric never state (or is mangled by their class enemies on purpose- using this for environmentalist soapboxing was common in the early 2010s, but you don't hear it these days because the narrative was updated to "social justice") is that overpopulation is specifically relative to the amount of general economic opportunity per capita. The amount of economic opportunity affects the price of children so you can, in free countries, look to TFR as a rough guide to how much opportunity exists relative to population.
For example, on one end of the spectrum, you have New World countries where you're still relatively employable even as a high school dropout. Yeah, you won't get that far in life, but minimum wage is still a livable existence (this door has closed significantly from its peak in 1960 but is still technically doable). The high watermark in recent history for economic opportunity was, well, the US in the 1960s.
On the other end of the spectrum, you have Asian countries and Indians who have so many people that they'll willingly sacrifice the totality of their children's lives from 6 to 18
drilling them to produce GPT-4 outputcramming them full of worthless memorization just so they have a chance at outcompeting the other kids for those 80 hour workweeks with a middling salary (the real play here is emigrating to a New World nation, but that's uniquely difficult for those nations).If AI allows wide swaths of the economy to be enclosed, the last free nation on the planet will have it just as bad, though it remains to be seen what will happen to the Indians. If the economic opportunity in the US dries up because of this, the drip-feed they get vanishes; perhaps un/fortunately for them the country to their immediate west is more than happy to solve their population crisis with a few missiles in the right places should they try to get their hands on the larger Middle East.
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