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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 27, 2023

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I hate to make hasty generalizations like this. This doesn't seem true to me; they take into account everyone who uses the road.

I don't quite understand what you're saying here. This statement looks either tautological (only cars use the road) or essentially false (pedestrians, cyclists, and transit riders get way less consideration than drivers) to me.

Unless you're willing to claim that the uniquely-American way of urban planning has spread around to cities all over the world such as in Japan and China (where they build pedestrian bridges too)?

Having a few pedestrian bridges doesn't mean that all of the infrastructure is car-centric. I don't know about China; Tokyo was definitely not car-centric. Not all pedestrian bridges are bad--the video even says that they're fine if they keep pedestrians at the same level. Pedestrian bridges are just one piece of infrastructure of many--no one feature makes or breaks a city. But in much of the US, they seem to be thrown in for the primary purpose of not slowing down cars, while every other consideration is secondary. This is true of a lot of infrastructure, like slip lanes for right hand turns: slightly more convenient for drivers, but much less safe for pedestrians.

If you recall, the reason we're talking about pedestrian bridges is because you wrote:

Not Just Bikes complaining about pedestrian bridges, and claiming they're "only built for the benefit of people driving, not walking", even though that doesn't make sense. I highly suspect the real reason he dislikes them is because, as he says later, they don't hinder the flow of traffic, and therefore don't worsen the QoL of car users.

You can disagree, but I see no reason to assume that NJB's stated reasoning is a cover for a desire to annoy drivers, which is not something you have any evidence for.

See, the "greedy" argument falls flat because if they really wanted money, they would gladly invite in the densification, as dense urban areas lead to higher property values (not including maintenance and taxes). And the "racist" argument is true insofar as being against crime is racist (that is, you'd have to be racist yourself in order to believe that being against crime is racist; yes, being tough on crime will disproportionately affect certain races, but that's only because the base rate of crime is disproportionately committed by those races in the same way). So, it's uncharitable to call them "racist" (extremely so), but it's not completely out of field of what a steelman NIMBY would actually believe.

"Negatively impacting property values" is a common NIMBY argument for opposing any sort of zoning reform. My inclination is to take these people at their word (like I do with NJB above) unless there's convincing reason otherwise.

In this case, I think you're making the same error I accused Randal O'Toole of making in one of my other comments. Dense areas have higher property values than sprawling ones because a lot of people want to live there. That's what makes them dense in the first place! But for a given neighborhood, building more housing will lower the price of renting or buying, because that's how supply and demand works, and is confirmed by the highest quality evidence that I'm aware of.

One individual might be able to make more money by building the only apartment building surrounded by single family homes, but that's not an option.

That's only because this forum has a social norm where people are assumed to have already disclaimed that.

So... is the same true for YIMBYs?

I want to see condemnations of people committing crimes such as the Tyre Extinguishers. Instead, we get people like Not Just Bikes who apologize for their behavior by mostly placing the blame on governments who've "done nothing".

The video you linked said it's not actually clear if this is a crime, and NJB calls it "really extreme behavior." Maybe I've just spent too much time on this forum, since that doesn't feel disproportionate to me. This comment just casually drops a mention of executing all the homeless and got 10 (net) upvotes and no response.

Indeed, they can't. But they can at least distance themselves from them.

As far as I can tell, all the channels I mentioned have explicitly disavowed the idea that one should ban all cars or whatever. Demanding they explicitly go through and also disavow each individual person/group who does hold such a view seems, in my book, to mostly be bad faith smear attempts, akin to when the left threw a fit over Donald Trump not disavowing each different KKK member specifically or whatever the details were.

Having a few pedestrian bridges doesn't mean that all of the infrastructure is car-centric. [...] Pedestrian bridges are just one piece of infrastructure of many--no one feature makes or breaks a city.

I don't disagree, but if pedestrian bridges (not at-grade) are car-centric, then they're bad and that means that something has gone wrong in the planning process, right? If they're bad, then maybe the planner somehow didn't take into account all road users, for example. But yes, it only means that this part of the city is bad and car-centric; the rest of the city will still be pretty okay.

I don't know about China; Tokyo was definitely not car-centric. Not all pedestrian bridges are bad--the video even says that they're fine if they keep pedestrians at the same level.

Okay, here are two pedestrian bridges (that do not keep pedestrians at the same level), one of which is in China and the other Japan.

https://old.reddit.com/r/InfrastructurePorn/comments/so0m50/pedestrian_bridge_in_japan/

https://old.reddit.com/r/InfrastructurePorn/comments/r6ydbe/chengdu_china/

Do you think they're bad and shouldn't have been built? I personally don't see any problem with them, and in fact there are a few people in the comments section who like them too. But then there's these urbanist types who say things like the following:

These are terrible. If you're walking look at how much extra you have to walk just to get around cars. Cars don't live in cities. People do.

,

I dream of a city where cars have to climb stairs to get out of the way of people.

,

I wholeheartedly agree that it's better to make the cars go out of the way, and they should pay for the infrastructure required.

Even this one where the poster says "most nations", not just America:

Cool idea, but it perfeclty illustrates the mentality of most nations, pedestrians are guests on the turf of cars.

Fuck that, let's return to actually walkable cities, instead of 4 lanes in each direction, yuck.

,

Ew, cars

I didn't have to go to the bottom of the comments section to grab these or anything; these are all decently upvoted comments near the top.

And I should've made this clearer, but this sort of conceit isn't unique to pedestrian bridges. You can find complaints of car-centric infrastructure for basically every nation in the world. If you think the Czech Republic would be well-liked for being in Europe, think again.

At the end of the day, if I think that these complaints come from a place of actually caring about car-centric infrastructure, I get confused and start wondering why people would complain about something that seems perfectly fine and usable. It makes a lot more sense to me if I realize that a lot of the time, these people object to car infrastructure existing at all, rather than car-centric infrastructure. For example, in the video I linked, Adam Something walks down a narrow corridor that can barely fit one car, and cars must pass by slowly here - but apparently this is too much for him and it's car-centric.

But in much of the US, they seem to be thrown in for the primary purpose of not slowing down cars, while every other consideration is secondary. This is true of a lot of infrastructure, like slip lanes for right hand turns: slightly more convenient for drivers, but much less safe for pedestrians.

Well, yes, you can think of pedestrian bridges' primary purpose as to not slow down cars, rather than a means to let people cross the road. In fact, this is probably why some people think that many complaints about pedestrian bridges come from a place of wanting cars to be slowed down. Which was my point - there's a big focus on removing car infrastructure and/or worsening the quality of life of drivers precisely because existing solutions like pedestrian bridges don't slow down cars. This doesn't seem to be from a calculation that "well, we have limited funds/space so we can't build a pedestrian bridge, we'll just slow down the cars instead". It seems to be from a dislike that car traffic gets to flow unimpeded.

As an aside, I wouldn't put slip lanes in the same category as pedestrian bridges. Arguably, bridges are safer for pedestrians than not - they are completely separated from car traffic that could easily kill them if a driver is inattentive or disobeys the red. There's a big difference between being less safe and being slightly inconvenienced.

You can disagree, but I see no reason to assume that NJB's stated reasoning is a cover for a desire to annoy drivers, which is not something you have any evidence for.

[...]

As far as I can tell, all the channels I mentioned have explicitly disavowed the idea that one should ban all cars or whatever.

Have they really? NJB may have said that he "doesn't hate cars, just car infrastructure", but what should I make of his multiple statements (which I can't find right now) that a city gets better the less cars there are? Doesn't that lead to the logical conclusion that a city should basically ban almost every car?

How about the things they do disavow? All those channels exist on a sliding scale of more or less car hatred, but some of the more car-hatey ones hate the YouTube channel Road Guy Rob, who notably does not hate cars and says himself he is pro-car while recognizing that many of the Dutch infrastructure NJB champions as being great for bicycles are great for cars alike. However, despite his numerous videos about infrastructure for pedestrians and cyclists, he gets called a "car apologist" by Alan Fisher. This is a sentiment that NJB shares. In RGR's latest livestream, he mentions that NJB may even be mad at him.

If I wanted to spread a message that I didn't hate cars (and a genuine message, not one half-hearted just so people stop asking me about a radical position that they think I hold), I wouldn't hate on Road Guy Rob.

I don't disagree, but if pedestrian bridges (not at-grade) are car-centric, then they're bad and that means that something has gone wrong in the planning process, right? If they're bad, then maybe the planner somehow didn't take into account all road users, for example. But yes, it only means that this part of the city is bad and car-centric; the rest of the city will still be pretty okay.

It still feels like we're talking past each other here. Merely having a pedestrian bridge, without knowing any other context, is not the be-all end-all of city design. There probably are good reasons to sometimes have them.

Do you think they're bad and shouldn't have been built? I personally don't see any problem with them, and in fact there are a few people in the comments section who like them too. But then there's these urbanist types who say things like the following:

It's kind of hard to tell with the Japan example, but it looks to me like there could have easily been crosswalks on the road below. If I'm just trying to cross one of the roads, say on the left, then a crosswalk would be something like 1/4 the length and not require walking uphill. But it looks like it might be connecting to a higher building on the right? I can't really tell.

The one in China looks like a good example of the urbanist complaint. Why is there such a massive road there to begin with? (Also, does this picture look digital to you? Something about it seems off). There's absolutely no way it's feasible for all of the people who live/work in all of those huge buildings to get in and out by car. It already has crosswalks and an intersection, so it's not like it's preventing traffic from having to stop. Replacing some of the car lanes with bike lanes and a train or dedicated bus lane would make the road easy to cross at street level and increase capacity.

At the end of the day, if I think that these complaints come from a place of actually caring about car-centric infrastructure, I get confused and start wondering why people would complain about something that seems perfectly fine and usable.

Is this just a question of what one is used to? Without the alternatives being pointed out to me, I would have never thought about many of these things. For example, why are crosswalks at street level, requiring you to step down from the sidewalk? That seemed obvious to me, but in some places the crosswalk is raised and cars have to go over it. This has a number of advantages (forces cars to slow down at intersections and in places where pedestrians are likely to be, makes the trip smoother for those with disabilities, makes children more visible to those in high vehicles, etc.) but seems to be practically unheard of in North America. To someone who's used to it, narrow car lanes and limited road and parking space might seem "fine and usable." Or maybe "fine and usable" is just a low bar for a major city in a country as rich as the United States, which spends lots of money on infrastructure, but still manages to be full of congested and crumbling roads.

It seems to be from a dislike that car traffic gets to flow unimpeded.

Car traffic already doesn't flow unimpeded in cities, because of congestion.

Again, "annoy drivers" is not the end goal. The goal is to make walking, cycling, and transit easier. The problem is that these alternative modes all get vastly fewer resources and consideration than driving, which makes them much worse and makes driving slightly better (well, in the short term). If you theoretically could have a pedestrian crossing that was as easy as a crosswalk but didn't require cars to stop, that would be fine. But we don't have that--we have to tradeoff between these things. That's what the complaint means: Drivers are not being asked to make any compromise or sacrifice while pedestrians are being asked to make a very substantial one.

Doesn't that lead to the logical conclusion that a city should basically ban almost every car?

The center of a city should have the absolute minimum possible number of vehicles. As you move to a more spread out area, cars make more sense.

How about the things they do disavow? All those channels exist on a sliding scale of more or less car hatred, but some of the more car-hatey ones hate the YouTube channel Road Guy Rob, who notably does not hate cars and says himself he is pro-car while recognizing that many of the Dutch infrastructure NJB champions as being great for bicycles are great for cars alike. However, despite his numerous videos about infrastructure for pedestrians and cyclists, he gets called a "car apologist" by Alan Fisher. This is a sentiment that NJB shares. In RGR's latest livestream, he mentions that NJB may even be mad at him.

The Alan Fisher video is literally an entire video of jokes, come on now. Without knowing more about Road Guy Rob or what exactly NJB's issue is, which isn't explained, I can't really comment.

I think you weren't sure about what constitutes the "worst NIMBYs." By coincidence this video just came out, and I think it provides a decent example. There's no issues of pretending that zoning is a property right, it's just very obvious that the neighbors are claiming the right to prevent anything from being built on some nearby land the city already owned because it might be slightly inconvenient for them. There's a good kafkatrap as well (opposing having too many affordable units and then opposing too few affordable units, and also all the time demanding the market-rate units are "luxury"). The already-existing taller building got in on the action as well. It also points out that several of the representatives claimed to support affordable housing... just not in their district, I guess. To paraphrase you, if I wanted to spread the message that I cared about anyone other than myself, or supported affordable housing, I wouldn't do, well, any of those things.

The Alan Fisher video is literally an entire video of jokes, come on now. Without knowing more about Road Guy Rob or what exactly NJB's issue is, which isn't explained, I can't really comment.

That's the second time I've been told "it's just a joke". I don't think it's a good norm to allow people to say "it's just a joke" when it's not clearly a joke, because it opens the door to letting people have enough plausible deniability such that they can say whatever outlandish thing they want, and if there's no objections it can be taken seriously, but if there is objection then they can safely backpedal, similar to Schrödinger's Douchebag. Does Fisher's jab at NJB come across as a joke? Yes. Do his "roasts" about other channels like Road Guy Rob or Wendover Productions come across as a joke? No; in fact, Fisher goes on a minute-long rant about Wendover at the end. Or maybe my sense of humor is outdated and it's a perfectly reasonable "joke" to sound like you hate someone for a minute straight. On Wendover's latest video about trains, Alan Fisher commented about Wendover still leaving his video open-ended (which is the thing he went on a minute-long rant for in the roasts video) which makes me think it's less of a joke than he would have you believe.

In any case, even if Fisher legitimately was joking (which I doubt), I don't think NJB is. Here, Not Just Bikes echoes Alan Fisher's sentiment about RGR being a car apologist, which reads as completely serious to me. And judging from the title of the submission that that comment was on being a title that mocks RGR's video about HAWK beacons, NJB is not alone with this dislike of RGR ("North American traffic engineers cautiously approaching the idea that it might be bad for people in crosswalks to be killed by cars; try to invent solutions to this problem, addressed nowhere else in the world, while of course making sure to minimize impediments to the flow of traffic"). He even commented on the video himself and it comes across as a negative comment to me, mocking the solutions presented in the video (RGR replies to his comment).

RGR's recent livestream sheds more light on this interaction as well as what happened after. After RGR made his video about HAWK beacons, NJB ended up making a video about crossing the street. In it, he ridicules the HAWK beacon (calling it "Over-engineered bullshit" in the chapter title), and other alternatives that were first presented in RGR's video such as the crossing flags. RGR definitely noticed this maneuver and talks about it in his livestream, describing it as "taking one of my videos and turning it inside out and said all my suggestions were terrible". He talked to him and apologized to NJB for having suggestions he disliked, but NJB said that he wasn't even thinking about him when he made that video. Which I very much doubt, given that NJB not only commented on the /r/notjustbikes submission but also commented on the video itself. Meanwhile, NJB has allowed RGR's videos to be posted to his subreddit a couple times in the past, but recently (in the past several months) has seemingly changed his mind and no longer allows it. He's a car dependency apologist. His content is not welcome here. He's a car apologist and he doesn't want to promote car apologists. And as I mentioned earlier, RGR thinks NJB is mad at him. And I don't blame him, given that he keeps calling him a car apologist over and over again.

I don't know how else to make this point any clearer. NJB's issue with RGR is what he keeps saying all this time: He's a car apologist, who apologizes for cars. Or, in more charitable terms, RGR is someone who doesn't think most North American car infrastructure is inherently terrible. He sees that like other types of infrastructure, car infrastructure has benefits and drawbacks, instead of mostly having drawbacks. In contrast, NJB and others think the opposite, that car infrastructure in America has so many drawbacks it's not even worth enumerating the benefits. In NJB's mind it simply doesn't matter that RGR has championed all sorts of non-car infrastructure such as edge lanes, bike boulevards, decriminalizing jaywalking in California, traffic calming (multiple times), bus rapid transit, transit-oriented development, raised bicycle medians, freeway ramp crosswalks, etc. - at the end of the day, to him, he's just a car apologist, full stop. The message is clear to me: If you're less than completely hostile to car infrastructure in North America, then you are a car apologist to Not Just Bikes, and to many other people. Even if you're ostensibly on the same side as people who just want to make urban planning better. And that sort of hostility is helpful if you want a movement full of radicals (NJB talks about being "orange-pilled", i.e. being radicalized against car infrastructure, after all), but it's not conducive to having a healthy, productive discourse about urban planning.

This is the most complete enumeration of the interactions between Not Just Bikes and Road Guy Rob that I could find. If you have any evidence of NJB feeling differently, I would love to see it.

That's the second time I've been told "it's just a joke".

... the video is literally entitled "Roasting Other Urban Planning and Transit Channels" and consists entirely of short snippets making fun other channels. I don't know what to tell you.

The other "joke" was... NJB mentioning those people using cocaine in the pedestrian bridge? Right? Where he says "the people were nice enough to offer him some of their crack cocaine. Canadians are so friendly!" That doesn't seem even remotely close to me. Like are you legitimately concerned that NJB is going to literally use this as an example of how Canadians are friendly?!

This is the most complete enumeration of the interactions between Not Just Bikes and Road Guy Rob that I could find. If you have any evidence of NJB feeling differently, I would love to see it.

Ok. It seems like they disagree, and NJB prefers his subreddit to not have that content. Rather than reading into the choice of the term "car apologist" (which is generally anybody who defends a thing or position--it's not "apology" like apologizing for a personal insult) or the timing of videos, I think his direct statements on his opinions on cars and driving are much stronger evidence. I think it's much more likely that you are missing something, or misinterpreting something, than his whole video about rental cars and his whole video about driving in the Netherlands being, as well as the vast array of videos where he says "there should be some car-free areas" and "separate cars from pedestrians and cyclists" and very much does not say "ban all cars" are what, a big psy-op? Like if those are all lies, why not allow Rob's stuff on the subreddit?

Like if those are all lies, why not allow Rob's stuff on the subreddit?

I don't think that follows. I'm not saying those are all lies, but I do wonder why else he wouldn't allow Rob's stuff on the subreddit, if not because he says exactly what he says - he doesn't want to promote car apologism. To my knowledge, he doesn't cite any rules like "no other people's stuff", he has consistently said that it's because he's a car apologist. So I dunno, you tell me why he doesn't allow Rob's content on his subreddit.

I think it's much more likely that you are missing something, or misinterpreting something, than his whole video about rental cars and his whole video about driving in the Netherlands being, as well as the vast array of videos where he says "there should be some car-free areas" and "separate cars from pedestrians and cyclists" and very much does not say "ban all cars" are what, a big psy-op?

No, of course not. The problem is, while his solutions are technically not banning cars, it results in dramatic lifestyle changes that many people aren't much keen to take on.

For example, if you don't have a car, you can't load up on groceries every week or two, so the urbanists say you should just go to the supermarket every day. Well, many people take issue with that, and don't want to go to the grocery store every single day, and there's also concerns about impulsive buying (that saying about how you shouldn't shop hungry). Many of the alternative solutions just also don't work either. For example, having to pay for a rental car instead - it has all the potential headaches of having to pick up the car, or if not that then the car potentially not being in working order, or maybe there's no cars available or you have to wait a while, etc. - all of which simply don't exist (or are very mitigated) if you simply own the car instead. (And even then if you rent, urbanists will still complain about pollution, traffic, accidents, wasted space, etc. but at least the rental car isn't parked 99% of the time.) Or using one of those cargo bikes which really don't look like they can carry very much. Or paying for groceries to be delivered instead (which this time has problems coming from the urbanist side, who complain about delivery drivers on scooters being too fast and just ruining the streetscape of a city). Et cetera, et cetera, the proposition of ditching a car in any meaningful way is a very serious proposition to make to someone, and that is what people think of when they hear about banning cars.

Anything short of that is just not something urbanists want to endorse. For example, Not Just Bikes hates the implicit message of Road Guy Rob's videos, where car infrastructure in the USA isn't fatally flawed and if we just fix a few things here or there it'll be all good. I agree with NJB's interpretation here; I don't see RGR making a video anytime soon advocating for ditching car ownership. By his own admission, he is unabashedly pro-car.

So yes, nobody (except for the weakmen) is advocating to literally ban cars. But that's still a far cry from a policy proposal that most people won't have issues with. And all of these problems are just glossed over when urbanists refuse to talk to people to understand what they actually want and how they can make their proposals work for them.

So I dunno, you tell me why he doesn't allow Rob's content on his subreddit.

I'm not him and I can't read minds. But it doesn't seem unreasonable to want to keep the subreddit for his channel primarily focused on his stuff and stuff he agrees with? It's probably not what I would personally do, but again I don't think it should be stronger evidence than what he explicitly says. Like, for another example, this line right here. Doesn't sound rabidly anti-car to me.

No, of course not. The problem is, while his solutions are technically not banning cars, it results in dramatic lifestyle changes that many people aren't much keen to take on.

I wonder if they aren't keen to take them on in part because they don't seem to understand what the changes actually are. For example, you write:

so the urbanists say you should just go to the supermarket every day. Well, many people take issue with that, and don't want to go to the grocery store every single day, and there's also concerns about impulsive buying

"Every day" is probably an exaggeration. I shop largely by foot (or I stop on the way home from driving somewhere else, but buy enough I could easily carry it on foot). That's 2-3 trips a week. Just for me, but I also work from home and go out to eat pretty rarely. The other thing is that you don't have to "go to the supermarket;" you can stop by a small store or 2 on your way home from somewhere else. You can still drive, too--he points out the parking lot at the grocery store in this video.

And for what it's worth, looking at obesity and food waste rates in the US, it seems hard to imagine that "impulse buying" could get any worse. Maybe it would even be improved if you had to think more about what you buy, I don't know. I'm less concerned about this particular argument since there are many secondary costs and benefits one could think of. If you don't want to live in the middle of a big city and never use a car, you don't have to--again, at no point have I ever seen NJB or the other channels I mentioned say we should ban all cars everywhere.

For example, having to pay for a rental car instead - it has all the potential headaches of having to pick up the car, or if not that then the car potentially not being in working order, or maybe there's no cars available or you have to wait a while, etc.

Based on his video on the subject, it actually seems extremely convenient (I haven't had much reason to rent a car recently, so I can't personally attest). Owning your own car has headaches too--it can also run into mechanical trouble, for example, and then you don't have any alternatives and it's your responsibility to fix, while in a populated area, you might have several rental apps each with multiple cars. You also have access to different vehicles for different purposes. And it seems like it's much cheaper, unless you are driving more than a few times per week.

Or using one of those cargo bikes which really don't look like they can carry very much.

Serious question: have you tried? Or done some investigation to find out exactly? Or this just a guess? Personally I very rarely cary lots of cargo--rarely enough that few trips that couldn't fit in a cargo bike could be done by renting, Uber, or having things delivered (e.g. when buying furniture, most of which wouldn't fit in my car anyway).

proposition of ditching a car in any meaningful way is a very serious proposition to make to someone,

Well, yes. That's the point: If you design cities and towns differently, then ditching the car isn't so serious! Obviously ditching a car in a car-dependent place is a big deal.

For example, Not Just Bikes hates the implicit message of Road Guy Rob's videos, where car infrastructure in the USA isn't fatally flawed and if we just fix a few things here or there it'll be all good.

I mean, I think that message is wrong. There are a lot of things that you would have to change to make it so that a substantial portion of the population could reasonably not own a car if they don't want to. As emphasized in the video about IKEA I linked above, it would be nice to have options. Most American cities don't give you an option: You need a car to do the most basic things. It's literally written into a lot of municipal codes, which have parking minimums for homes and businesses that assume at least 1 car per customer/dwelling. Adding a bike lane here or there is an improvement, but isn't going to change that basic fact. But again, I think this is a disagreement, not "NJB secretly wants to ban all cars everywhere."

But it doesn't seem unreasonable to want to keep the subreddit for his channel primarily focused on his stuff and stuff he agrees with?

So yes, it's because he disagrees heavily with Rob, because Rob is more moderate than he is. I'm not saying it's unreasonable to ban him - it's his subreddit after all - I'm saying it's a sign that he's more radical.

,

I want to contrast two different lines of thought here:

You can still drive, too--he points out the parking lot at the grocery store in this video.

and

If you don't want to live in the middle of a big city and never use a car, you don't have to--again, at no point have I ever seen NJB or the other channels I mentioned say we should ban all cars everywhere.

BUT

Well, yes. That's the point: If you design cities and towns differently, then ditching the car isn't so serious! Obviously ditching a car in a car-dependent place is a big deal.

and

I mean, I think that message is wrong. There are a lot of things that you would have to change to make it so that a substantial portion of the population could reasonably not own a car if they don't want to.

and

Adding a bike lane here or there is an improvement, but isn't going to change that basic fact.

So I can see the intended message of "If you don't want to live in the middle of a big city and never use a car, you don't have to" - what I get from that is that if someone wants to live somewhere with a car, then they shouldn't live in NYC, or LA, or SF, or in a city at all, they should just live in a suburb and not drive their car around the city, right?

Except these same urbanists then turn around and say we need to stop building suburbs, or start building denser suburbs or mixed-use neighborhoods or whatever you want to call it, because adding bike lanes is an improvement but it's not enough. It seems to me here that they object to the thought of there being any car-friendly place in America at all, because that could mean that someone, somewhere would be afflicted with the horrors of car dependency. And it's not enough if they're able to move to a place like NYC where they don't need a car; those car-centric places just shouldn't exist at all. After all, the reason why bike lanes aren't enough is that over a spread-out area, cars will still be faster, and therefore most people will naturally choose cars anyway; it's not enough that people have the simple choice of a bike lane or not because most people will still choose cars.

Therefore, the urbanists propose, we should densify. But of course, that comes with its own set of problems that people have that they, well, sort of just gloss over.

At the end of the day though, it's not hard to be skeptical of urbanists when they say all they want is just to give people choices. If we all move into denser areas enriched with transit, biking, and roads - well, driving will most likely be impacted because you can't have as many lanes in a dense area and some space will have to be taken away from drivers. But more importantly, if people are given the choice, many people will still drive, and many will still own a car. And this is bad, because cars pollute and kill people and private vehicles are parked 99% of the time. As mentioned earlier upthread, 69% of people in France still drive to work and only a quarter of Dutch households are car-free (a decreasing figure!).

And if people own cars, then planners will do things like build expensive parking garages beneath canals which end up doubling the number of parking spaces, and having more parking spaces is bad because as long as they're there, people will still want to drive (as NJB says). If the Netherlands was good enough for NJB because people have choices there - why does he complain when car infrastructure is improved (while simultaneously improving infrastructure for everyone else by removing street parking)? Didn't he make a video about how the Netherlands is the best country in the world for drivers? These are conflicting messages.

So sure, maybe they don't secretly want to ban cars everywhere. But the messages they send are pretty mixed; it's no wonder people think they harbor a secret desire to see cars eradicated, or just dislike them in general. In fact, I don't see why they don't think this way; cars have so many problems (according to them) that I'm not sure at what percentage of the population owning cars they'd be happy with - 10%? 5%? 1%? Certainly I doubt 75% or 69% is acceptable to them, but feel free to prove me wrong. Maybe they just don't see the logical conclusion of all their arguments - they keep saying "2 + 2" but don't want to admit that it means "4".

Except these same urbanists then turn around and say we need to stop building suburbs, or start building denser suburbs or mixed-use neighborhoods or whatever you want to call it,

There is an important distinction between "we need to stop building suburbs because there are already too many suburbs, and what people want is more urbanism and less suburb than we have now" and "we need to stop building suburbs as a first step towards demolishing the ones that already exist, because nobody should live in a suburb". My impression is that the vast majority of online urbanism hold the first view, and definitely that the YIMBYs do - the whole point of YIMBYism is that places need to build more of what they don't have, not demolish what they already do. Of course, the American culture war is perceived as zero sum in a way which means that "we need more urbanism", "we need less suburbia" and "we need zero suburbia" all read to a moron in a hurry as "I stan fixed gear bicycle owners and spit on F150 owners".

My view is that America has too much suburbia, as demonstrated by the very large price premium housing commands in the small number of less-crime-ridden, less-car-centric places. America needs to build more less-car-centric places, and fix the crime problem in the existing ones. The UK, on the other hand, has a shortage of competently executed auto-orientated places - so Milton Keynes commands a price premium. In the British context, I am a housing maximalist - I favour more dense urbanism AND more suburbs (but please no auto-orientated suburbia in zones 1-4 of London or within walking distance of railway stations in the London commuter belt). The problem in the London commuter belt is that too much land is reserved for golf and horses, not cars.

There is a separate issue that the American model of one-car-per-adult suburbia sucks above a metro area population of about 5 million. If you look at the top-10 CSA's by population (I am using CSA's instead of MSA's because otherwise the Bay Area gets broken up which borks the statistics):

  • New York, Washington-Baltimore, Chicago, the Bay Area, Boston and Philly are all less-car-dependent by American standards.

  • LA is notoriously unlivable due to traffic and smog, and everyone agrees that further auto-orientated growth is a bad idea. In fact, you can make a decent argument that the financial failure of inappropriate auto-orientated growth in the LA exurbs was a major cause of the 2008 financial crisis - the mortgage bust began in the Inland Empire.

  • Houston is well aware that need to do something to stop their city turning into LA. Texan Republicans in the Houston suburbs are not willing to use public transport, but they are willing to vote higher taxes on themselves to subsidise other people using public transport. The success of Houston's light rail scheme suggests that there is unmet demand for public transport there. Greater Houston is also YIMBY in a way which makes densification of the core easier.

  • DFW is blithely turning into LA. For whatever reason coverage of DFW traffic jams doesn't cross the Atlantic the way it does for LA, Houston or Atlanta, but published surveys suggest that DFW traffic is actually worse than Houston.

  • Atlanta is in the middle of a political battle between the core and the suburbs about whether or not it wants to turn into LA, but so far a de facto alliance between the core and suburban NIMBYs seems to be slowing suburban growth, while the core is gentrifying and densifying.

So if you want to live in a large metro area and enjoy the benefits thereof (which by no means everyone does, but the most productive places are generally large metros) then urbanism is essential because suburbia doesn't scale. But at a national level, the whole point of YIMBY is that non-zero-sum outcomes are possible. More urbanism and about the same amount of suburbia is a thing that can happen, that would make both America and the UK better places, and that online urbanists would take as a win.