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Israel-Gaza Megathread #1

This is a megathread for any posts on the conflict between (so far, and so far as I know) Hamas and the Israeli government, as well as related geopolitics. Culture War thread rules apply.

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Palestine’s win condition is to hit hard enough that Israel collapses into Lebanon-style civil war, then carve out a niche as an established and predictable faction.

They have failed to do this at their best chance in a generation and Gaza will likely see six figure civilian casualties as its price. The mass deaths among Palestinian civilians are not a good thing, but a Lebanon-style civil war would probably have been worse.