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Culture War Roundup for the week of December 11, 2023

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So some of you may have seen the latest round of pizzagate type posts on twitter revolving around Etsy digital images. It started with someone bringing back the Wayfair cabinets story from 2020, here's a "fact checking" post from the time as a reminder https://twitter.com/mediawise/status/1281711438462177281. Essentially the idea was that Wayfair were selling cabinets with the names of children on missing person lists for very large amounts of money, so really they must have been selling kids. Ergo, in plain sight paedophile ring.

Anyway, the latest round focuses on Etsy. There are a variety of 'digital images' of foods/children that are selling for $1000-$90,000 such as here: https://twitter.com/littleapostate/status/1734207558905106462 or https://twitter.com/ShadowofEzra/status/1734368320441192593/photo/1. It doesn't help that a lot of them are pizza related, so obviously catnip to Pizzagate believers- presumably this isn't coincidental.

So what is going on here? Assuming prima facie that these aren't children being sold via online distributor stores this leaves four main options:

  1. "Fake news"/trolling
  2. A scam
  3. Money laundering/tax evasion
  4. Illicit sales of something other than children

1- The listings were real, you can follow links through to some of them (or see them on webarchive). But that doesn't preclude the possibility that they were made by the people whipping up hysteria or engagement baiting, or just trolling the internet nut jobs. All very possible options

The other options are much more interesting.

Scams

On the face of it, there are a few very funny scamming possibilities:

  • It could be a scam targeted at pizzagate truthers. They try and buy the $3000 digital pizza. png to see whether they get a child delivered, and in fact get a pizza picture. Scammer makes free money.

  • It could be a scam targeted at paedophiles! This would be funnier, as above but believe it and want to try and get a child delivered.

  • It could be some kind of weird automation thing, are there algorithms that buy things on Etsy?

  • It could just be trying to prey on people whom make a mistake or kids. But you could presumably just get a refund, so seems unlikely.

Only the first option really makes sense of these imo, if even one brainrotted internet person decided to fork out thousands to expose the Etsy paedophile ring you'd be laughing to the bank. Again though, I don't know how refunds work, so maybe they could just embarrassingly claim it back.

Money laundering

Fairly self explanatory- maybe the customer base is just other accounts set up by the same organisation, where the flows/receipts from Etsy can contribute to the image of a legitimate commercial enterprise. It might help evade certain checks, but surely the FBI or whoever would see something like this a mile off if it was genuinely an attempt to launder funds. Is there a possibility it's to do with capital controls from a foreign country?

Other illicit sales

There is also the possibility that they're selling another product, like drugs or weapons or so on. But this doesn't make a lot of sense either- why wouldn't they make the sales using the dark net or offline?

I lean strongest towards it being some kind of trolling/scamming effort by non-Pizzagaters, but the possibility that it is a false flag to whip up engagement is also possible.

There is also the possibility that they're selling another product, like drugs or weapons or so on. But this doesn't make a lot of sense either- why wouldn't they make the sales using the dark net or offline?

Never underestimate the stupidity or laziness of criminals.

Besides, even if the criminal knows how to set that stuff up, they can only go for clients who also know that stuff. I could definitely believe there's a black market with customers who are too stupid/lazy to use anything more complicated than Ebay or Etsy, especially if we're talking drug addicts.

Anyway - I assume what we actually want here is referrer tracking, to see where the people buying those things are getting linked from? i don't know enough about it to know how possible that it, though.

Never underestimate the stupidity or laziness of criminals.

This is true, but doesn't distinguish between criminals. The degree of carelessness that is effective in a child trafficking ring is much narrower than that of a fraudulent ebay listing scam. I can easily believe that someone set up a bot to scam pedos trying to buy kids online. Even if they're caught, they're never anywhere near any actual kids. It's harder to believe that an established child sex slave operation would risk everything to cut corners in an online shopping cart app.

The degree of carelessness that is effective in a child trafficking ring is much narrower than that of a fraudulent ebay listing scam.

I mean, maybe?

The first time one of Jeffrey Dahmer's drugged victims stumbled out of his home nude and managed to make it to the police to beg for help, Dahmer assured them it was just a drunken lover's dispute and the police turned the victim back over to him without further investigation. He wasn't caught until the second time that happened years later.

There do exist competent police task forces that investigate their area of remit hard and track down the criminals, but my impression is that there's a rather small number of them nationally and they are pretty narrowly focused on one or a few cases at a time. I expect it's not actually that hard to fall into the cracks. But I could be wrong.

Not to say that the average child trafficker is as safe as the average small-scale pot dealer in a white neighborhood, or anything. Just that I'm not sure the magnitude of the difference is that great, or that it depends on the trafficker being orders of magnitude more competent and careful.