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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 22, 2024

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Democratic federal authority hangs by a thread atm and they don't currently have anywhere near the mandate Kennedy did when putting down segregationists. If Biden arrests Abbot, my current read of the situation is he would basically be certain to lose the presidency as a result. You might disagree on how the votes shake out, but it's pretty clear Abbot thinks the same. It's precisely because Biden is extremely unpopular and this is an election year that he's being so bold.

Which is a lot LESS than ordering troops to defy Federal authority, which is just about where we are.

Abbot is very carefully not doing that. The recent court ruling does not forbid Abbot from continuing to place razor wire blockades.

Personally, I think that the way this ends is with Biden doing nothing substantial until he gets an actual court victory or wins the election, and Abbot then backing down.