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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 29, 2024

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I believe both. Both men seem like sleazy perverts that would do this kind of thing. I assume most have seen Biden's creepy sniffing of children on live TV, kissing and so on. What does he do when the cameras aren't running? What kind of role model was he for Hunter, given how he turned out?

Then there's Trump's relations with Epstein, there's the quote: "He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side. No doubt about it — Jeffrey enjoys his social life."

Note that none of this is 'hard proof' - but why would anyone expect facts to be rigorously, objectively confirmed in the most politically fraught matter imaginable? The facts were 'confirmed' in the case of Russiagate before the whole thing turned out to be a fraud. Why trust official facts in cases like this, considering the political sensitivity? The very existence of Epstein shows that there's a huge market for illicit sex, rape and so on amongst the US elite. Someone dealt with him before he could talk, he clearly had a lot of influential colleagues. These people can easily make facts disappear, they can make people disappear even inside a prison under 24 hour suicide watch. They are quite literally above the law. In the absence of facts, all that's left is vibes and both men give off pretty terrible vibes.

But do you believe both because "this seems like it did happen" or because your opinion of both accused is "they're the exact sleazy types who would do this?" That's what I'm trying to disentangle; I don't want to drag in the comparison of character between Trump and Biden, I want to compare both accounts on the bare accusation that "Such-and-such happened in this place" to see if one is more credible than the other, or both are, or neither are.

I don't believe either of them, but on the face of it, there's nothing in Reade's accusation that is not in Carroll's accusation, and I think it was primarily because of who the accused in both cases were that one was immediately believed and the other wasn't. That's no way to settle an accusation.

I believe they're the sleazy types who would do this.

I want to compare both accounts on the bare accusation that "Such-and-such happened in this place" to see if one is more credible than the other

But you can't separate facts from personalities and past events. We care about these people precisely because they're very powerful and influential, their personalities and pasts are of global significance. For example, juries in Australia weren't allowed to know that a woman had made false sexual assault complaints in the past, when deciding sex assault cases. This is, in my view, obviously wrong.

https://www.sydneycriminallawyers.com.au/blog/complainants-history-of-false-sexual-assault-allegations-is-inadmissible/

It's a similar kind of wrong to exclude character in this case. There's not much else to work from, it's pure he-said, she-said! Without considering character, we're left with gross shape-rotation exercises. I personally don't understand the mechanics of sexual assault very well, I've never seen it or done it. I expect most here are similar.