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User ID: 700

bro


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 3 users   joined 2022 September 05 20:25:55 UTC

					

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User ID: 700

I understand the impulse, but this is a sour grapes, "actually by losing we won" take.

This is a low-key minor disaster for everybody, the world is poorer, nobody wins, vs a world where this did not happen (or if it turns out to be "necessary", in a world where it was not "necessary").

But yes, if this holds, Twitter delenda est.

What are the least unbearably cringe examples of the "We're X, of course we Y." meme?

I've only ever encountered them with the extreme selection bias of being reposted on Twitter as ragebait, but it's really hard to imagine any that wouldn't be. Surely there are less awful examples that make retards keep thinking it's a good idea. Like how did this meme not die at birth?

How many tokens are in Twitter? How many new ones are generated per day? What proportion are they of humanity's total output? What are they worth?

biggest fan

My first gut reaction whenever I encounter him after having not for a while is "this guy's so fucking annoying, just stop", and the degree to which I ever read any further is out of a desire to see him slip up badly enough I can dismiss him altogether or see him definitively put in his place by someone who clearly knows better.

The problem is I haven't seen that yet.

Here's hoping I don't get so entangled this or any time that I can't return to not paying attention. There's enough other and more consequential shit where the same general dynamic that his claims point towards is ruining everything, that it would already be several full time jobs' worth of time and misery to attempt to follow it all.

But yes, unless he's been properly owned and continued anyway in purely ego-driven contrarianism-poisoned bad faith, god bless him for not dropping it despite it making him This Fucking Guy? Again?

Off-topic, mostly just posting because some people who will be drawn to this thread might enjoy this and not have seen it:

Shane Gillis and Steve Gerben on Late Night with Seth Myers

Cumtown-adjacent Shane Gillis dragged his favorite jewish punching bag along with him into a mainstream national spotlight, and it went well.

There is a stark contrast between MSSP's fate vs Cumtown/TAFS (I am very comfortable calling with high certainty right now that Adam Friedland will not become "The Joe Rogan of the Left", for reasons already well explained by others in this thread), that... is not actually that surprising after reflecting on the personalities involved, but is still pretty crazy to see for people who've watched both from the early days.

Low-key, low-volume and secretly. Not posting like it's a 7th job and doing 4h groyper spaces every night a year after being discovered.

Birthday paradox + a bit of parasocial mimicry.

Do you think that Adrian Dittmann is Elon Musk?

I haven't seen anything remotely convincing, certainly not any of the things people are breathlessly pointing to as proof.

I am almost certain he is not.

Very low-hanging fruit, but here are Ian Miles Cheong and Tim Pool beclowning themselves in the face of this, and Elon Musk getting real close to it.

my pick whenever I'm not using Mac

How are the bathhouses in Istanbul, I hear good things

What's going on with Chrystia Freeland? Rats v sinking ship?

I'm also not 100% certain about "Scott's disappearance". Do you mean immediately following the doxxing threat until he reemerged a few months later, or do you mean ongoing since the doxxing (ie, metaphorically, old Scott never came back).

Karlin (and Hanania) definitely know who Scott Alexander is, it's probably just not immediately salient to them that he went dark for a few months 4 years ago.

It's hard to tell, because there are a very few tiny fragmentary stories that come up in searches and I haven't been checking front pages for it every day to see if they've been highlighted, but it seems like effectively no general-interest major mainstream news organization has really said much/anything about the rollout of ChatGPT's vision capabilities yet.

LLM vision was already obviously 100% set in the pipeline so its arrival should not be that surprising to anybody who's been paying sufficient attention for the last year-and-a-half, but that's almost nobody. Given how much the next several normie-tiers down from that, including normies who matter, do seem to be relatively engaged with ChatGPT and its consequences, and they almost certainly had (and from this still have) no idea this was coming, shouldn't it be at least some degree of international frontpage news that it's even been announced?

I guess they're waiting until it gets actual wide user release over the next few weeks, but it's not like the media here are sober conservatives about not jumping the gun on things that will obviously eventually be enormous consequential news to their readership. What's going on here?

It took having been reading every post of yours for like 3 months leading up to that one (sidenote: lol) to have had even the slightest chance of barely beginning to understand what the fuck you were talking about, at the time. 7 months of lost context and cognitive decay later, there is no chance I am ever getting there again. I'd need it spoonfed to me like an idiot.

It seems extremely implausible to me that the Yuddites are only pretending to be suicidally hopeless and their real motivating goal is eternal tyranny, rather than that, rightly or wrongly, eternal tyranny is sincerely the only alternative they see to certain doom.

Anatoly Karlin:

The dynamics between Putin, Prigozhin, and Shoigu/Gerasimov make zero military sense.

But they make a great deal of sense from the perspective of regime preservation.

This is now the most logical frame through which to analyze the Ukraine War IMO.

I now think this is the likeliest scenario.

Putin wants to wind down the war, Shoigu/Gerasimov to be the scapegoats for Russia's territorial losses, and Wagnerites the enforcers against the Z extremists who don't get the memo in time.

Though he seems to be considering it more straightforwardly 3h later (not necessarily at odds with above)

Does he have an account here? @akarlin


RWA:

Option 1: It's a PsyOp to cover up a serious Russian offensive

Option 2: We're going to WW3 with NATO

Option 3: It's real & Putin is using Prigozhin to get rid of Shoigu

Option 4: It's real & Wagner has actually begun a coup d'etat

Option 5: It's behind-the-curtain negotiations & gets nipped in the bud before it escalates


Though of course this is only the dregs of pro-Russian commentary that makes it into english.

What specifically is the case against Bellingcat?

I've seen a lot of nonspecific innuendo about them especially since Elon Musk's "psyop" accusations, but then what seems like one of their main guys volunteers this apparently unprompted (which is the first I've heard about it despite following the Belgorod raid all day, including through pro-Russian sources), which seems at odds with the idea that they're so tied up with western intelligence agencies.

The K-pop invasion of the west was suspiciously closely preceded by the height of popularity of the competitive SC2 scene, which was of course extremely heavily Korean, with the most prestigious tournaments being Korean productions in Korea often with a heavy K-pop presence (most prominently a song that goes "GG GG baby baby baby").

I think this is underexplored.

I can assure you that there is a 0% chance that Kanye is just doing this as a stunt for publicity. The reported-on material consequences alone should get you down well below 10%. "What good is a publicity stunt when X", for about 15 different values of X. Following it unhealthily closely will get you all of the rest of the way to 0%.

And if your experience of this whole thing is primarily as an input into a Trump-DeSantis primary election horserace narrative, rather than both the Kanye-Fuentes axis and a Trump-DeSantis race being roughly equal inputs into what happens later, here's some light reading to start with.

I just made my first comments on the site, and, from checking in incognito, they did not appear publicly at first. This was the case for both a top-level comment in the CW thread (which stayed invisible for hours, overnight), and a reply (which stayed invisible for a few minutes).

In both cases, the comments only appeared publicly after I reported them myself (as in pressed the "Report" button on the comment, and submitted one to request they be "approved" or whatever the mechanism in action here is), but also in both cases they appeared publicly within seconds of reporting them. So either the mods are extremely on the ball in responding to reports (but up-to-hours off the ball in approving new comments unprompted), or it was the act of reporting them which automatically caused them to publically appear (which leaves it frustratingly unclear what would have happened to them if I hadn't self-reported them).

I doubt I would have been singled out/shadowbanned since I hadn't done anything yet, so I assume it is representative of the (new?) user experience. It is off-putting.

It would help to know what the intended behaviour is here and what to expect.

Comparable vibes: Tabernis - Alveus Umbrae, original music on bagpipe + drum by French guys dressed as medieval beekeepers.

What is the best way to follow the Xiaohongshu excursion (short of signing up for and immersing yourself in it directly)? Is there a good window into it that has emerged yet? Some twitter or youtube account sampling it representatively?

Has anyone encountered any information at all about this photo?


edit: That photo may plausibly have been one of the photos being discussed in this clip, as having been taken by a (local law enforcement, rather than Secret Service as asserted in that tweet) sniper inside the AGR building overlooking the roof:

"I believe the sniper that seen these and sent the pictures was right inside this building [...] if you go to that window that's open, and yell for Greg, that's the sniper that sent the original pictures and seen him come from the bike, then set the bookbag down, and lost sight of him. He's the one that sent the pictures out, I don't know if you got the same ones I did."


edit: NYT article

What the fuck was this responding to:

Yo Shavit @yonashav 7h
Replying to @rharang

We very intentionally are not sharing it widely yet - the hope is that a mini public demo kicks a social response into gear

I can't see the tweet it's replying to. Yonadav Shavit is "Head of Preparedness" at OpenAI.

Surely just about actual use access to Sora, right?