ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
No bio...
User ID: 626
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3hr ago
Of course it would also be hilarious to see this backfire when a flood of Muslim women arrives completely on board with the "get married and have at least two children" plan.
How is that "backfiring"?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3hr ago
Outside of the bailey of "transwomen are women," there is a motte of the leftist position of transwomen in women's prison of trying to protect transwomen from being raped in men's prisons.
That strikes me as rather schizophrenic. If men (/who end up in prison) are so rapey, it doesn't strike me as a great idea to put them in women's prisons.
Personally, I was thinking build a few trans-specific prisons.
Yeah, that's fine. I'd still be a bit miffed about having to bend over backwards for a segment of the population that will probably return their gratitude by calling me a nazi, but whatever, it's an acceptable compromise.
Outside of the bailey (...) there is a motte
The motte is inside the bailey ;)
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
4hr ago
It does not -- if I want a pickup, I will go buy a regular 1/2 tonne 4x4 from a major manufacturer -- Ford alone sells nearly a million of these per year.
That just means they're not very good trucks and are losing the competition. When the Model Y was the best selling car in a given year (or quarter, I forget), Elon was rightfully crowing about it. Same rules apply when things don't go his way.
Hard to know until you try!
And know that we know, we can call it a dumpster fire.
Anyways, it really depends on how much the bet cost and what the margins are like on the trucks that they are selling -- 'making less money than planned' is not a dumpster fire;
Opportunity costs are a thing.
Also, when you are trying to wow your investors with a shiny new product and how much it will sell, don't even get the order of magnitude right, and then see the sales cut by half the following year, yeah, that's a dumpster fire. The same thing with Optimus, if (or rather when) it turns out it's a dud, it will be pure cope to claim "well, it's not selling that much worse than Boston Dynamics".
I don't know what these figures are, do you?
No, sadly the world doesn't run on open source, and companies tend to be pretty cagey about their failures.
You will note a distinct lack of recalls related to issues of spontaneous combustion on that list
Well... that's technically correct, but it's not clear whether that's because they don't have an issue, or just don't want to make the recall public.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
4hr ago
The recovery of my nuked work is going well, it's indeed quite a bit easier to retrace my own steps than it was fumbling around for a solution, but I'll probably need another week to wrap it up.
How have you been doing @Southkraut?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
8hr ago
Trans-friendly feminism is suddenly making some sense.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
8hr ago
And why not just segregate prisons by sex like we've been doing all this time? Literally what's the upside of doing it your way?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
8hr ago
Are we still doing the 90's "women can do anything men do, just as well" thing? They can't even match men in Call Of Duty, I doubt either the skill or apetite for actual warfare.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
IDK man -- "not going as well as we'd hoped" with a brand new market segment isn't quite a "dumpster fire" in my book
Well, when you're telling investors how great your company is going to be doing, because of a hot new product you're working on, which then proceeds to flop (as per the expectations you set yourself) I would call it a dimlater fire.
There's also something special-pleadingy about calling it a whole new market segment. It's a pickup truck. It competes with kther pickups.
maybe electric pickups are just not hot sellers?
Yeah... maybe it was a bad idea to bet on an electric piclup, then?
Now this is a (Big 3) dumpster fire!
Oh, the Cybertruck fits that criterion as well:
https://mashable.com/article/every-cybertruck-recall-full-list
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
I was responding to your point where 'Losing the Space Race Boogaloo to China seems like a fairly big deal.' but I don't see how this could be SpaceX's fault, even if Starship fails, the US is only ahead in space because of SpaceX.
If the Space Race is about the moon, I'm not even sure the US is ahead of China, and I don't see how you don't see it's SoaceX fault. They were supposed to have a whole bunch of milestones checked off by now, and they didn't make it to orbit yet.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
and I'm just mentioning their technical achievements, which are secondary to what's actually best about them. The list above is a side effect of the work done lowering the cost of space access.
I agree they're secondary. Most of these aren't what I meant by distance. Distance would be things that are preventing their competitors from taking contracts that would otherwise go to them.
Starship HLS, definitely less than 20 per
How would you know that? The performance of Starship is currently unknown, any slip in how much fuel they'll be able to deliver, or how often they can do it, will result in the total number of necessary launches increasing. That's outside of details like we don't even know if they can do it.
and reduce risks is also the way to do it.
I'm a little skeptical that additional launches being necessary will result in lower risk.
Flipping a red state blue might prove some sort of a point, comparing voting percentages of local politicians to national ones feels quite silly.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
Yes, if only they had a twitter feed more appealing to leftwingers, these blue states would surely flip red.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2d ago
For all your whining about Jews enacting the Great Replacement of the White race, I would wager that orders of magnitude more have fled from Kiev to the safety of London to escape the war than have fled from London to Kiev to escape the Great Replacement.
Does that actually prove one is less likely to result in the end of a nation than the other?
If you listen to Tesla's earning's calls prior to it's launch, it was supposed to be their "best product ever", they haven't mentioned them a single time in quite a while, and the last time I remember he referred to it as "digging our own grave" with it.
EDIT: Musk was saying they're aiming for 200K sales annually, it looks like they're at ~60K total.
When you accused RandomRanger of "shifting the goalposts" was that an honest concern of yours?
Yes.
I never said a word about Tesla.
I know, it's called analogy. It meant to illustrate the fact that just because you reached a milestone before your competitors, doesn't mean you will forever stay ahead of them.
I'm curious about when you think Tesla's competition was a decade behind Tesla,
I dunno, I suppose when BYD first launched and Elon responded by maniacally laughing, but not having much of an argument for why they're bad.
but mostly I'm just going to assume that you're shifting to Tesla because, when in the grip of Musk hate, all his companies look alike?
Well, I do think that different companies managed by the same man are likely to suffer from the same management flaws. I don't think that's unreasonable.
I also don't hate Elon. I told you multiple times that I'd much prefer a world where I'm completely wrong about him. He's supporting most of the causes I support as well, and it would be a lot better fornmenif he proves to be a genius and vindicates ball these causes by proxy, rather than a hype peddler who's about to run out of luck and drag down all these causes with him.
I suppose I do get mildly annoyed that criticizing him inevitably summons fanboys acting like someone just murdered their dog.
Not a hyperbole decade, a look-at-the-calendar-and-subtract decade. RocketLab is trying, and with luck they'll succeed with the first Neutron flight next year and they'll only be 11 years behind.
This argument only makes sense if they managed to maintain the distance over those 11 years, and I'm that instead of doing that, they're sinking their advantage into boondoggle called Starship (which is when comparing SpaceX to Musk's other companies comes in handy, because the man really seems to like boondoggles). Starship is not going to the moon, it's definitely not going to Mars, it might end up doing it's LEO Pez-dispenser bit, but even that is not certain, and it's an open question if it does so in a cost-effective way.
Ideally we'd have a second homegrown SpaceX, but we don't, and until we do they're both metaphorically and literally carrying us.
No amount of SpaceX is going to help you, if what they're doing is retarded. You're not going to the moon with something that requires over a dozen refuellings, a space station that makes you wait a week if you miss a rendezvous, and a lander that is so tall it needs an elevator and lots of prayers to not tip over.
Not all of that is on SpaceX, but if they're so brilliant they should have raise some objections to the idea.
I am non-ironically excited for the possibility that Blue Origin's upcoming second attempt to accomplish a booster landing is about to succeed. It's unlikely to have any more significant delays (we're just a few days out from the first launch window), and so long as it has no delays worse than have already occurred, their landing attempt will come slightly before the ten year anniversary of SpaceX accomplishing the same. It is awesome that the leading team among SpaceX's most serious long-term competition may now be less than a decade behind them!
Uh-huh. How did the competition "being behind" Tesla detract from Cybertruck, Semi, Robotaxi, FSD, and Optimus being dumpster fires, and the Chinese offering as good or better cars for cheaper? How does "being ahead" supposed to magically help Starship?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2d ago
Do you assume women's prisons are meaningfully less violent than men's prisons?
Yes, and even if they weren't they can't do as much damage as a man, even on hormones.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2d ago
Most of his launches are in-house for Starlink, and it's not clear Starlink's model is sustainable. His competition is slowly catching up to him, and much like with Tesla, his ideas to stay ahead are not panning out, to put it mildly. I'm pretty sure the trajectory of the two companies will be the same.
Also, you're shifting the goalposts. Your original argument was that it's not a big deal that Starship is delayed, and I gave an argument for why it is. Looping back to "but look at all the cool things that they did with Falcon" is irrelevant. This is the typical cycle of the conversations about Elon: use hype about the future to claim he's amazing, then claim the past should already be enough for you, when someone questions the claims about the future.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2d ago
I am not saying "Elon can do no wrong". I am saying "Elon is our only hope".
What I said was that there was a time when people were acting like he could do no wrong, and at that time claims like "he's our only hope" would be somewhat understandable, they're not anymore. Not only is he not our only hope, right now he's the limiting factor. Any of the competing landers would have had a better chance of success, and the way things stand right now, they might still succeeding over Starship.
To be fair, it's it's not just Elon's fault, there were very odd things going on at NASA when the decision was made to go with him, but no, "Elon succeeds or nobody does" are not the only two options.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2d ago
If anything, Elon Musk is the only person who is preventing this outcome - if not Musk, it would be correct to conclude that the race is definitely lost and it's just a matter of time before the structural collapse reveals itself in a way that is obvious to the public
Yeah, no that's crazy. Nothing about the mission architecture of going to th moon with Starship can be reasonably described as preventing this outcome. 10 years ago, when nearly everybody thought that Elon can do no wrong, I could at least understand the belief that he'll conjure something out of thin air to solve all the problems that are plain to see right from the drawing board, but nowadays, after seeing how Hyperloop, "Full Self-Driving", Cybercab, Robotaxi, and Optimus are turning out, I'd hope people would be a bit more skeptical of him.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3d ago
One can argue that losing the space race had been beneficial, serving as a wake up call that stimulated increased interest in space technology in particular and science and technology in general.
If the argument for Elon Musk's brilliance is supposed to be that he will make you lose the space race and serve as a wake up call, then all I have to say is that you're getting ripped off. I can make you lose the space race for a fraction of his price!
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3d ago
Starship is mostly funded by SpaceX too, so it's not like its a big deal if there are delays.
Losing the Space Race Boogaloo to China seems like a fairly big deal.
They unironically proposed building a space station near the moon to make up for this, make the moon mission even more complicated and expensive.
Not a very good argument in terms of "non-Musk space companies being a dumpster fire", as he unironically proposed having a dozen or two of orbital refuellings in order to send a single rocket to the moon, which they don't even know if they can do. Using Starship as a lander doesn't strike me as particularly sane either.
There are definitely people too invested in painting him as a clown, and I will further say they're almost certainly doing so for political reasons, but he's also definitely overhyped.
Actual British nationals, or the kind of British nationals that have very British names like Muhammad?
EDIT:
Ah, here we go:
There are two men in police custody.
They are a 32-year-old black British male and 35-year-old British national of Caribbean descent.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
4d ago
It has nothing to do with Scott, they were literally paying $7000 per post to influencers.
Unless this idea includes legalizing polygamy, it's probably not going to be an issue.
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