BinaryHobo
4mo ago
This is a fair response, but taking the accelerationist argument seriously for a sec, the argument is generally that it will be better for your granddaughter, not your daughter.
Which, y'know, choosing between the two is one hell of a sophie's choice level decision, but I don't think it can be dismissed off hand that easily if what you value is the safety/comfort of your decedents. I feel like a better counterargument is that there's a decent chance we never get advanced civilization up and running again if the whole thing collapses.
BinaryHobo
5mo ago
Biology might be inescapable, but when you introduce testosterone into a system that may not have been designed to handle it, it's not that surprising that something like this happens a certain percentage of the time (no claims on what percentage).
But, like, testosterone is rough to deal with even for people who were introduced to it in the way nature intended.
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
I believe HBD is a worse explanation for persistent black underachievement than the lingering effect of centuries of cultural disruption under slavery combined with decades of further disruption under racist post-Civil-War legislation
I know this wasn't the point of your post, but the way you sorta phrased this as a binary made something click in my mind. I'm gonna be honest, I can't buy either of these explanations. And both, oddly enough, for the same reason, the Greenwood District in Tulsa (site of the famous race riot). Ok, so not just Greenwood, but there's plenty of examples of functioning black communities from that era.
Modern society is just straight up not as racist as 1920s Oklahoma. And black people were able to build functioning communities within 60 years of gaining their freedom. And by all accounts, communities that worked quite well. I'm aware of the highway system disrupting black communities, but it's been 60 years since that happened, and that can't be as big of a disruption as being enslaved. There has to be, at the very least, a confounding factor.
At the same HBD makes no sense. The argument is generally that black people have too low of an average IQ to succeed, but we have examples of functioning communities. Even if it were true, the most extreme claims of the HBD groups tend to put the average IQ at around 70, and that's roughly where the US as a whole was circa 1900, and there's plenty of examples from that time of people with this average IQ forming perfectly functional communities. That can't be the entire explanation either.
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
does this mean Jewish population goes up or down?
You need to define the term "Jewish population" for this question to make sense because the parent relies on an intermarriage rate.
People with Jewish ancestry? Probably up. People with Jewish ancestry >50%? Probably down. People who identify as Jews? Also probably down, unless it becomes trendy. That's the short term anyways, long term, the numbers could increase with the birth rates that the orthodox have.
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
I guess my impression is that state governments are nearly just as broken
I'm not going to argue that they aren't broken, but my understanding is that when they're broken, they're usually broken in a very different way. States tend to come under single-party rule for prolonged periods of time, which doesn't have the particular failing we're talking about, but comes with another host of problems.
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
To the extent that you want to argue that the gag orders are unconstitutional/unacceptable it seems to me that you need to argue that this is a longstanding and systemic violation of freedom of speech.
I would agree with this. I don't think it's ok, but I'm also pretty close to a free speech absolutist
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
The enforcement wing is sadly usually the last to break, so it can continue preventing action long after it has lost the capability to allow it.
We're talking about the feds here. The vast majority of things don't need federal approval. The state governments can approve things.
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
Appropriations bills haven't gone through the legislatively designated normal process of how they are supposed to be drafted and modified and on what schedule for decades.
Has it been decades? I seem to remember the process being roughly the normal appropriations process up until 2011 or 2012 (can't quite remember which), when they got rid of earmarks.
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
That doesn't automatically mean they can be used for any reason and still be legitimate.
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
But yes, words can certainly be used to intimidate, threaten, or encourage violence.
Those first two are fair, but silencing someone to prevent that last one is, generally speaking, beyond the pale in the US.
The right to advocate for violence, in the abstract, especially at a later date, has been ruled to be constitutionally protected speech in both Brandenburg v Ohio and Hess v Indiana.
And all of those things can make it quite difficult to run a trial.
I mean, yeah? But we, as a country, haven't generally been optimizing for ease of running a trial. We have, generally, been optimizing for not allowing speech to be suppressed. Do you have an argument for why now is the time to pivot?
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
Your strategy doesn’t sound too different from the steelman for intervention in Afghanistan. Roll in, fuck up the Taliban, set up a functional government, roll out. There may have been something about hearts and minds in there, too. But instead, we exchanged munitions for 20 years and barely changed anything. If we’d skipped those 20 years, and didn’t even try to fill the power vacuum, would an agreeable Afghan government have materialized?
I mean the difference is that, in the hypothetical provided, Israel expends roughly the same resources, gets attacked roughly the same amount, and uses roughly the same force in both scenarios, but they get significantly less international flak for one of them.
As opposed to the US Invasion of Afghanistan, where the option was between a costly invasion and occupation and a ton of international flak, and expending roughly nothing because Afghanistan wasn't exactly a threat (possibly some assassinations and drone strikes still happen in this scenario).
BinaryHobo
6mo ago
If you do (e.g. the way DeSantis is trying with New College) , they will be cut out of the art world as a whole.
I might be missing something here, but wouldn't that be the point? To create a completely separate status hierarchy?
I mean, yeah, the existing artistic elite isn't going to jump ship. Do you want them to? That sounds like you're asking for your new institution to be marched through all over again. Plus, these aren't the natural members you're looking for in your new institution. This is a high risk/high reward venture and you don't want a bunch of established people with baggage from the old institution. But do you know who totally goes for high risk/high reward strategies with a very high chance of death (social in this case) in exchange for a chance at status?
Young men with no prospects. In every age, in every nation, there are young, low status men looking for a way to take big risks to jump up the status hierarchy. Whether it be a colonial expedition, the rap scene in the Bronx, or a Somalian pirate joint-stock venture, there's always takers. As a bonus, this is a decent chunk of the art world's demographic, this lets you sap your opponent of the natural energy that comes with an influx of youth.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
A plausible consequence of increased tax would be for landlords to sell up and the available housing stock to rise, thus lowering house prices.
This is explicitly what the OP said was happening several times during their post, except according to them it makes the shortage worse because the former renters buy more rooms than they were previously renting.
This may lower housing prices, but it seems like it would, paradoxically, raise rental prices for those that can't buy for some reason (don't make enough money/make money irregularly, can't get a loan, lack of documentation, need to move frequently, etc).
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
but you can't live in both worlds
Of course you can. One obvious scenario would be if some dirtbag looked kind of like Hyde (it helps that the character kind of looks like a dirtbag), and got close to several women by convincing them he was famous. Then he raped them. This presents us with a situation where Danny Masterson is completely innocent, and yet leave the women with the internal experience of having been raped by Danny Masterson.
I'm not saying the above happened, or that I even believe the above happened. But it's a very easy position to take if you want to defend your friend and you're also a celebrity that needs to be careful not to get torn apart by the me too crowd. You just start the letter like: "I feel for these women, and I believe their trauma is real, but this has to be a case of mistaken identity because {insert character witness and trauma memory formation points here}"
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
You're ignoring the quoted part that this comment is, obviously a response to.
And y'know? If they are mentally unwell, they aren't able to fully and properly consent.
That's the same language we, as a society, use for minors. That seems arguing for making consensual sex with a mentally unwell person count as statutory rape, or at least I feel this is a valid interpretation.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
Fair enough, I interpreted it the other way. That's my bad.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
Ok, so I'm not a big fan of modern unions, but theft? Really?
You aren't entitled to a particular product. If you want something made by non-union labor, that's an option. Go buy from a different company.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
Seems to me unions are more useful when labor market is thin.
You're not wrong, but the purpose of union solidarity is to be able to make the market very thin at a moment's notice. Ideally dropping the available labor down to near zero.
It's also why crossing the picket line in union heavy areas tends to (or, more realistically, tended to) have such high social consequences.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
As opposed to what the current pope is pushing?
There's just hopping to the other side of the old schism.
With the pope losing legitimacy in the eyes of the conservative catholics, presumably papal primacy is out the window, what's separating them still?
The teachings on original sin are a little bit different?
filioque? I would be surprised if the average catholic was aware of that particular controversy.
There's precedent for western-rite orthodoxy, albeit limited.
Edit: And how much are those disagreements worth against direct apostolic succession connecting you to your savior? You really only have two options for that, and if you've already ruled out catholicism, you're kinda down to one.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
How many of those residents would self-identify as "suburban" instead of "urban"?
Because there's a pretty big difference between the political behavior of suburbanites and urbanites.
From what I remember, there was an article from a while back about the majority of Texas identified as suburban. Let me see if I can dig it up.
Edit: Found it. I was thinking of an old 538 article from 2015. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-suburban-are-big-american-cities/ it's ~8 years old at this point, so the percentages could have swung a couple points, but I think the general point still stands.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
Is this using a system like the census where they define urban as an arbitrary density cutoff that includes things like small farming towns that are ruby red? That kinda undermines everything people mean when they say urban.
I mean, it's kinda justifiable for the census. Their data presumably have some hand in planning things like plumbing infrastructure, but it's really not helpful for a thread on the culture war where urban tends to imply blue tribe.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
My marketing instinct suggests WD-41.
It's 1 more than before, so people will assume it is better, also the original WD-40 is because it was the 40th attempt to create something that displaces water (or so legend goes, I can't be arsed to go track down the veracity), but you can play on that.
BinaryHobo
7mo ago
I think that's only because you're only focused on Marx's side of theory.
Smith's theory is about the labor the buyer is willing to expend to obtain something. To quote the wealth of nations:
The real price of every thing, what every thing really costs to the man who wants to acquire it, is the toil and trouble of acquiring it. What every thing is really worth to the man who has acquired it, and who wants to dispose of it or exchange it for something else, is the toil and trouble which it can save to himself, and which it can impose upon other people.
Which, I think is the other half that you're missing.
Ahh, my apologies then, that did not come across in my reading of the comment. It came across as pretty standard concern for the welfare of your children. Which, fair, that's a pretty basic human emotion.
Either way. Happy new year. Hope your day is going well
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