Botond173
1hr ago
I reckon the last time multiple talking heads were making predictions of a swift and imminent Ukrainian collapse was in the first few days of the war. To the extent that such were still being made, they were marginal and incidental until nowadays. It also wasn't until recently that the Russians were able to capture towns and not just on a one-off basis but in a sequential manner.
Botond173
1hr ago
Also, such people are probably just selfish and don't care for any suggestions that would upend their existing lifestyle.
Botond173
1hr ago
Fair enough. I guess this depends on one's willingness to subject oneself to trashy FAFOist Twitter feeds and comment sections of various sorts (Youtube, Reddit etc). I've seen some people confidently predict a counteroffensive that will definitely succeed the coming summer. Either way, my point is that the Atlanticist promotion of the Ukrainian nationalist cause only makes any conceivable sense if such a swift counteroffensive happens and succeeds. The other options are a war of attrition or a peace deal, and even you're the biggest cynic on the planet whose only priority in any of this is weakening Russia, I think it's probably still a bad idea to compel the Ukrainian state to eventually grind itself down to dust and thus leave the Southwestern borders of Russia without that bulwark.
Botond173
3hr ago
I think it's worth pointing out that the life expectancy of underclass women is also generally rather bad, as their diet is terrible, they often abuse substances, and the tasks they normally do everyday either involve standing in one place for longer periods or bowing and lifting relatively heavy objects, which is also terrible for your health.
Botond173
4hr ago
And in fact I think we are already seeing this in ultra-religious communities.
I thought their average TFR is also dropping or at least stagnating.
Botond173
4hr ago
It's a bit of a stretch to call him a 'war hero' in the everyday sense of the word.
Botond173
4hr ago
I just wonder what the 'first deputy head of the Main Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces (GRU) since 2011' was doing 'in a residential building near the Volokolamsk Highway', without bodyguards, presumably.
Botond173
4hr ago
Maybe I'm uninformed but how does an average wage slave afford to wake up at 10 AM and spend 7 hours a day outside his work shift staring at screens?
Botond173
16hr ago
"Day in the life before kids" rather sounds like the day in the life of an unemployed trust fund kid.
Botond173
16hr ago
Predictably, the thirsty betas repeating those jokes also fail to comprehend that boning the high school teacher will not actually elevate your status among your peers as a male student. You'll just be known as that weirdo whom that weirdo teacher woman invited between her legs and manipulated.
Botond173
1d ago
Implying that the Somalis who arrived before 2006, presumably all of them as refugees, were relatively that much more functional.
Botond173
1d ago
Hold up. No matter what you believe about the wretched state of the current dating scene it’s probably still a stretch to believe that open hostility/irony-poisoning is typical between grown men and grown women. Maybe it’s typical in peculiar social environments but probably not everywhere. However, the important aspect here I think is that if you consider grown men that aren’t bitter or jaded, and are benevolently sexist or whatever, even them are not offering undivided attention to grown women, or at least definitely not to high school teachers willing to invite their students to bone them. I’d also call your attention to these particular normally being married, to husbands that are obviously cucky to one extent or another and occasionally receive pity sex. So yes, the exchange of sex for resources is definitely taking place.
Botond173
1d ago
A long time ago I used to follow the Youtube channel of The Young Turks. (Bear with me please.) The host Cenk Uygur was commenting on the clearly accelerating social trend of relatively hot female high school teachers in their 30s and 40s seducing their male students. He offered an explanation that seemed to be right on point. There is only one thing in this world that a teenage boy can offer a grown woman but a grown man will never do so: undivided attention. It's a temptation many of them can't resist, as their lives are deeply frustrated in that area.
Botond173
1d ago
Young men generally prefer partners about 3-5 years younger than themselves. Look at the data from any country and any age, and this bears out. DeepNeuralNetwork is mistaken or just trolling.
Botond173
1d ago
I think it's conceivable in the 2nd case that the man has long checked out of the marriage mentally and emotionally, knew that there is a heavy social and legal penalty for a man who abandons his family, but years of trans propaganda and the social normalization of transgenderism made him notice that him claiming to be a woman is the one option he has to shield himself from those penalties. In the first case I think there is also some chance that the man in question decided to just fake gayness.
Botond173
1d ago
Indeed. "Men build civilizations, women build societies." (I read this on a Manosphere blog ages ago.)
Botond173
1d ago
Thanks for the summary. I'm somewhat skeptical regarding 2) though, as I imagine these Somalis have long been acculturated in a Blue Tribe milieu which is rather antagonistic towards anti-waxxer activism. And 3) and 4) do sound a bit like Blue Tribe copium. Either way, a drop from 92% to 24% these factors do not really explain.
Botond173
2d ago
And the areas with low immunisation include New York state, whereas West Virginia has high immunisation coverage. Minnesota, that impeccably Blue state, also has low coverage. So "voted for Trump" does not seem to be correlation, much less cause.
Makes sense to me. Anti-vaccination tendencies, as far as I can tell, are prevalent among middle-class suburban wine moms, especially the ones that are natural medicine nerds, and that demographic is largely Blue-coded. I imagine they are also prevalent among all minority groups, religious or otherwise, that are characterized by a general distrust of state authority. Average, run-of-the-mill working class people, on the other hand, such as a big segment of the West Virginian population, only rarely adopt such views, because their attitudes towards healthcare, and pretty much everything else, are inherently practical.
Botond173
2d ago
In 2006, 92% of Somali 2-year-olds were up-to-date on the measles vaccine, according to the Minnesota Department of Health. Today's rate is closer to 24%, according to state data.
Such a huge drop in 20 years is baffling.
I'm no urbanist but the description 'a residential building near the Volokolamsk Highway (part of the Moscow Ring Road)' somehow does not sound to me like a cozy upper-middle class neighborhood. But anyway, what I am suggesting is that security appeared to be lax and the location chosen by the assassin is a bit suspicious.
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