@CertainlyWorse's banner p

CertainlyWorse

No one is coming to help. It's just you.

0 followers   follows 2 users  
joined 2022 September 05 01:12:53 UTC

One of the great unwashed.

Friends:

The boys know who they are.


				

User ID: 333

CertainlyWorse

No one is coming to help. It's just you.

0 followers   follows 2 users   joined 2022 September 05 01:12:53 UTC

					

One of the great unwashed.

Friends:

The boys know who they are.


					

User ID: 333

Find the odd man out in a zone. Press next. Find the next odd man out. Press next. etc etc.

Hint: the half circle is almost always the odd man out. as is the wing dings.

I think The African Queen is his best book for adults. It has an interesting setting that you don't see much (African riverine warfare, circa 1914) and more realistically flawed characters.

I'll look into that one. I'm still finishing up The Wine Dark Sea.

In the old days women would be socially ostracized for shooting down men who were trying to respectfully interact in this way. Loose social networks or anonymity facilitate this kind of behaviour. Guys also use it to ghost, pump and dump etc, so it is what it is.

Daily reminder that women can be selfish scumbags too.

The speedboats exist and I believe they are full of drugs, piloted by drug runners. Clearly there's some intelligence team (DEA/CIA/DIA/whoever) landside that has verified that the boats are being loaded with drugs and when they will leave. I think details about this ISR are suppressed for 'sources and methods' reasons. I personally think its great that they're being obliterated for deterrence and supply constraint reasons.

I don't think Fentanyl is coming out on those boats though. My understanding is that fentanyl production happens in Mexico under the Sinoloa Cartel and not in Venezuala by the Cartel of the Suns linked to Maduro.

Cocaine, sure. Fentanyl no. Does the Fentanyl crisis have more political gravitas that can be used as a regime change justification? Sure. Is the regime change cassus belli another 'directionally correct' Trumpism where cocaine is the real driver? I don't know. I still think foreign influence of America's rivals in Venezuala is more likely a factor and runs afoul of the Monroe Doctrine.

It's no surprise then that when Trump reached out to industry leaders earlier this week, reps from companies like Exxon and ConocoPhillips said point blank that they had no interest in resurrecting the Venezuelan oil industry with prices at five year lows. It's almost as if he doesn't understand how the laws of supply and demand work. If he were really concerned with how much American consumers are paying at the pump—which isn't much, historically—he'd strike a deal with Maduro to flood the US market with Venezuelan oil and use whatever money he had planned on spending on the war and use it to subsidize the US oil companies outright. This is a terrible policy for a number of reasons, but it's still better than the idiocy we have now.

This is exactly what I'm saying. Some of these reasons seem to be a casus belli based on publicly available (semi-plausible?) information but don't seem to hold water when you dig into them.

I'm curious about Mottizens' opinions about the US administration's motivations for the regime change push in Venezuala.

I think its multi-factoral. Monroe doctrine cleansing of Iran's influence (shadow fleet, drone technology sharing) as well as potentially stopping sharing of a cleaner less high-sulphur based crude oil to China which is easier to process for US's rival.

Reclamation of oil industry nationalised assets doesn't quite sit right as Grok says in 1976 they got paid 'fair market value' and there was varied compensation in 2006 (although they straight up seized assets from Exxon-Mobil).

I believe Fentanyl/cocaine has practically nothing to do with it despite the administration's claims.

Thoughts?