CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
One of the great unwashed.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=p_TLzmjbhG0&t=1368 I couldn't do this, but the philosophy is correct.
Friends:
The boys know who they are.
User ID: 333
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
3hr ago
Are Iran really in a state where they can attack shipping directly (perhaps via drones) as compared to proxies like the Houthi kicking off again? (Apparently it was Hezbollah that droned the UK RAF base in Cyprus).
They're a little busy right now and my understanding is their centralised command and control structures have been decimated requiring devolving command decisions to regional/unit commanders.
I guess they are relatively undefended and Iran looks like its swinging in all directions to cause as much chaos as possible.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1d ago
I'm pretty sure, is that if the US government really wanted Israel to not strike, Israel would not strike. Would Israel ignore the US if it was faced with a genuinely existential, immediate threat? Yes, I think so. But this situation was not an immediate existential threat.
Yeah, this is pretty much where I am. I think Rubio is playing up the 'we had to because Israel and we couldn't let Iran strike first' as a cassus belli. It does make the US look like the tail is wagging the dog though.
Now, was there sophisticated data hacking and analysis? Probably. But I don't quite believe the details presented. It would be stupid of the Israelis to leak the actual details of how they did it, thus educating their enemies.
I've seen people (ex spooks) talking about targeting analysts in the public sphere. I think there's a fair bit of tradecraft guides and other bits and pieces out there, so it seems like contemporary govts aren't that concerned with basic methods that have been around for decades getting out into the public sphere.
How do we even know the method described in the Times is the one they used rather then disinformation?
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1d ago
I've done this twice with 2 different guys at two different stages in my life. They had a habit of getting into fights. I sat down (with others in our group) and told them to stop or it would end our friendship. One guy pulled his head in and we stayed friends. The other did not and we are no longer friends.
Israel and the US have been 'friends' for decades. Israel has an established habit of getting into altercations and dragging the US into it. The US has had many many opportunities to sit them down and put them straight.
'Friends' don't drag their friends into fights time and again.
Edit: Should say I backed my friends in the moment, but read them the riot act afterwards.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1d ago
This is a common theme among all forum users. I've been on plenty of tiny forums where a relatively obscure topic is discussed in an effortpost and then it appears on the world stage some time later.
I don't necessarily think its being collected or monitored, but it could be a case of multiple discovery.
That being said, I have seen some strangely professional counterposts on here and other forums by obscure lurkers trying to downplay certain lines of thinking against strong logical arguments, so who knows.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
5d ago
"Defective altruism". Now I know Hegseth has ghost writers to pump out zingers like that.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
17d ago
Keep doing what you're doing.
I've never had to go through a drawn out situation like yours, but like any other in life I guess you can just do the best you can with what you have.
All the best.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
17d ago
Really enjoyed this one, thankyou.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
19d ago
This doesn't seem like a good precedent. If you rent a book on law from the library and take notes to help your case, your notes aren't protected? Your lawyer can make the same notes and they are? How can you mount a legal defense by yourself without a lawyer if the opposition can just access your notes? This isn't planning a crime, this is mounting your defense.
It doesn't smell right. It also smacks of protectionism of the legal profession. Making a precedent like this to preserve a space for lawyers and judges into perpetuity.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
20d ago
Ironically there's probably a market for that. Get a gimmic and enjoy your side hustle.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
22d ago
Lol, sorry. I really shouldn't drive-by post like that.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
22d ago
Not sure if this has been posted yet, but there's a video doing the rounds of a woman who didn't want kids changing her mind after being exposed to a baby. The government may want to consider this type of exposure in any final year sex ed/home economics programs in high school.
Basically the theory is that people (women) don't want kids because they aren't exposed to babies and young children in a childcare environment. They don't really have a trigger for their childbearing instincts. Not sure if the various European governments tried this in their studies.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
23d ago
I don't want to make a general statement about which sex is, on average, happier, at least, not without a lot more research, but I would at least say that there probably isn't a vast difference.
Yes, and for a lot of the intrinsic problems that men and women face, the coping mechanisms are discovered through hard learned experience. I think it's probably better to deal with 'the Devil you know..' then trade it in for perceived greener grass on the other side.
The transman I linked above for example. Most men have a gradual change from being a child, through teenage years, to being an adult man. They can slowly transition from being valued intrinsically as a child towards being more disposable as the years pass and develop emotional resilience to cope with that in a controlled manner. It must have been rough to go to sleep being valued and then wake up and realise suddenly no one cares about you at all expect perhaps for the value you can provide them (I'm exaggerating here to make a point, but guys will get what I mean).
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
23d ago
Also, is there an equivalent magic button for women turning into men? Otherwise, the world might end up with a huge surplus of women, which changes the gender dynamics quite a bit.
I've talked to a couple of straight non-dysphoric women who said they would press such a button for some interesting reasons (although I don't know if they actually would). Some of these reasons are around avoiding periods and apex-fallacy misunderstandings of men and their lives. Even perceived male camaraderie compared to female consensus making and 'bitchiness'.
The whole thing is probably performative and a case of 'be careful what you wish for'.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
27d ago
Pretty sure a reasonable person would understand hitting someone with a sledgehammer would cause grievous injuries. Not happy the lawyer tried to sneak in weasel words like 'maliciousness' and 'degree of premeditation'. You don't need those things. Only intent. You can see the guy lift the hammer over his shoulder to lead up to the strike. This took seconds. I don't think he was confused or was flailing around blindly.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
28d ago
Considering liminal spaces and related media was a topic of discussion lately, I'd like to draw awareness to the upcoming release of a movie adaptation of one of the games I mentioned.
Exit 8 is about a man trapped in a subway that must follow a strict process to find his way out and back to the real world. It looks like they've copied the games aesthetic verbatim which is a good sign.
I hope we see more movies and games in the genre.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
He really own goaled himself by pushing the Epstein files. Why did he tweet 'Trump is the Epstein files!' if he's living in a glass house. Even smart guys have their derpy moments I guess.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
I already lift in a half rack with safety bars. This is for when I'm benching as a fail safe.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
Wow, don't need any more reinforcement for my low effort posting.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
Also consistent with Elon Tryharding. See Path of Exile ghost account etc.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
How confused are you?
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
I'll look into it.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
I lift alone at home and I've started leaving the collars off and never pushing close to failure. I'm scared about this.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
The right has moved in a direction of feeling the need to remove any empathy from decision making because if you show one ounce of empathy your cooked.
I think there are some agitators that understand this and are using it to reinforce the image of ICE (and the larger right in general) as heartless jackbooted thugs. Keep the pressure up and make martyrs for the cause. Force ICE to make mistakes and then hold the evidence up as confirmation of their narrative.
As an aside, my sibling and family came back today from a trip to the US. They called Trump Hitler for what they observed while they were there. Its unsettling to me that that's what they took away from their trip, but they're allowed to draw their own conclusions. I don't think they've thought through what would happen to a nation where a heckler's veto and emotional appeals can prevent border enforcement.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
Yeah, I find it becomes too grindy in a way once you need to start mass production of vegetables to start cranking out Biolab recipes. Still, I keep playing it and just bought the new DLC (sigh).
If you like the genre, consider Survival:Fountain of Youth, which is kind of a combination of Green Hell/The Long Dark. You're a 16th century Conquistador trying to find the fabled fountain.
Its got its flaws, but at least has 'monsters' in the form of rabid animals. Combat can be a bit clunky, but finally progressing to the point of getting a high end crossbow is very satisfying.
He knows what he meant. The women will keep picking the bears if men don't up their game.
More options
Context Copy link