FeepingCreature
No bio...
User ID: 311
... But first, we need to talk about parallel universes.
That is to say, you can also do challenge runs like speedruns, such as the here-given minimum A-press SM64 run. Those tend to be more about research than memorization/repetition.
FeepingCreature
9mo ago
Though the counterside of the models not having access to their weights is so long as they're all trained on the same data, it does not take all that much finetuning to effectively turn any one model into any other model. So our LLM may only have to export a few thousand pages of example output. (Numbers invented.) And while they can't tell what their weights are numerically, they do know what they were trained on (https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.11120).
FeepingCreature
9mo ago
I think Eliezer is still a net positive tbh, I suspect without him we'd gotten on the takeoff train later but superintelligence/AI x-risk wouldn't be on the societal radar to any appreciable amount. Also there really is a case for having the risks as early as possible if you're gonna have them at all.
I think not just that the constitution is a suicide pact, but that every nationstate is a suicide pact practically by definition. That's what it means to hand off the monopoly of force to the state.
This also illustrates that the alternative to law and order is either banditry or civil war.
FeepingCreature
10mo ago
How would we prove if Republican presidents have in fact been getting worse by this metric? The comment kinda only applies if there isn't a trend.
FeepingCreature
10mo ago
I don't think Biden ever had the "Jesus with Sprinkles" phase?
I understand the logic. My intuition of fascist power grabs is something like... there is a degree of bludgeon where you can break the democratic checks and balances of the country by moving fast enough that they simply cannot keep up with you; you create new institutions faster than they can be found illegitimate, and by the time they would be they have amassed enough power that the old institutions are no longer adequate to contain them.
I agree that "correcting" America, from a right-wing view, requires a bludgeon of a certain size. My worry is that this size exceeds the point where this bludgeon can also be used to abolish America-in-the-constitutional-sense, and if that is the case then this bludgeon must absolutely not be allowed to exist. I understand that right-wingers say "well I don't see how else it can be done", and to be frank, if it's between your political goals and the authority of the constitution, then it should not be done. In a democracy there's things that you just shouldn't get even if you want it and win the presidency, and both new and questionably accountable police and military deployment against internal "enemies" should be very much on that list. This goes triply if you've previously shown a very shaky respect for term limits.
FeepingCreature
10mo ago
I think you enormously overestimate how strongly people "stick to pattern".
The median boomer fundamentalist- so what? If I've learnt one thing it's that people have variance.
Yep, and this mechanism should be "I'll call up my bank and take Microsoft out of my personal index." Sadly, while this does exist, it's not really percolated down to a consumer product yet.
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