FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
And every gimmick hungry yob
Digging gold from rock n roll
Grabs the mic to tell us
he'll die before he's sold
But I believe in this
And it's been tested by research
He who fucks nuns
Will later join the church
User ID: 195
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
12hr ago
So, mostly just AP style?
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
12hr ago
I think draft coverage can often underplay how much destination matters.
I think, conspiratorially, that such coverage becomes too grim at a certain point. When you realize that some players are being unwillingly doomed to play for a franchise that will fuck them up, it starts to feel too much like a very high end slave auction. But you're absolutely right, there's such a big difference, and so often high profile flame outs are tied to team culture. Does Johny Manziel blow off the whole NFL thing and sink into drink and drugs, if he is playing for a better team than the Browns, with a culture of success and veterans to look up to and guide him? When Aaron Hernandez went into the draft, some of his friends and family were hoping he would be drafted by ANY TEAM except New England, because they wanted him away from his Connecticut ghetto homeboys and bad habits. Late round picks like Purdy, Hurts, Brady, Prescott have to get lucky to ever get a chance; health and performance from the guys in front of them and they are career backups. Destination is everything.
That said: Cleveland is ideal for Sanders, because even more conspiratorially:
current reporting suggests Watson has likely played his last snap for the Browns.
I refuse to believe that Watson actually suffered a career ending injury. Rather, the league and the Browns and Watson came to an agreement to let Watson fake an injury, collect his checks, and the Browns are able to recoup some cap room through an insurance policy. This got Watson out of the news, and allows the Browns to begin moving forward a little earlier.
Sanders is stepping into not just a complete roster void, but a deep emotional void. Cleveland fans want someone to love, the league collectively wants the Browns to move on and resign Groper Cleveland to the memory hole, the team has a few great players who want a shot in the arm and a bit of hope. If Sanders has three good weeks in a row, he'll be front page news nationwide.
How good is Sam Darnold?
Probably about as good as Geno Smith, kind of a lateral move imho.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
14hr ago
I tend to agree on predictions of long-term apocalypse.
Where I'm concerned is about specialized, low volume, low price items that aren't high prestige. At work we're stockpiling parts for obscure old machines. I'm not worried about Nike raising prices on popular shoe lines, so much as about companies folding altogether or consolidating SKUs.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
14hr ago
I said to my mother that this is the 20 minute mark of his future 30for30 documentary. This is the end of the beginning, superstar, ego, bright lights, and now a high profile failure.
The end of the film can be prison, or it can be the Super Bowl. The rest of the movie can be like the recent Johny Fuckin' Football doc, where he washes out of the league partying and drinking his talent away; or the rest of the movie can be his comeback story.
This will either be a narcissistic insult he never recovers from, or the kick in the teeth he needed to get his mind right.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
15hr ago
It takes a very particular sort of high IQ, high-decoupling, politically-interested wordcel to be a successful rules-following contributor here and I think it's to be expected that there are less than a dozen places online where such individuals congregate in sufficient numbers to be noticeable.
It takes a particular kind of owner of the space as well. The temptations of money beckon on all sides in this day and age.
/r/FemaleDatingStrategy became a popular subreddit around what amounted to a feminized version of PUA. The head mods chose to move off of Reddit to a new proprietary website where they focus more on their podcasts, merch, patreon content, etc. I stopped hearing about FDS about the point at which they moved sites, but for the mods it has gone from unpaid Janny work to profitable side hustle. The move undoubtedly throttled audience growth, but it turned the audience they had into paying customers.
The temptation to cash in, at the expense of the growth of the forum or of the original mission of the forum or of the original members of the forum, is great. You need an owner of the forum who doesn't want to cash in, who is content to stay small, who doesn't want to get invited to the good parties and have prestige over it.
This impacts political forums the most, but it hits everything from sports to fashion to philosophy. We're lucky here that the goal seems to be a permanent member's club, where we all hang out to chat, but even then we've seen former power users alter their posting (and their politics) to try to hustle a living on the internet of beefs.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
16hr ago
I think too nice/too mean provides better equilibrium.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
16hr ago
Putin hates democracy because it shows his people what life could look like if they didn't exist in a kleptocratic dictatorship. It's the same reason why he screwed over Armenia when they democratized a bit, and why he went after Georgia. There's a reason Russian leadership seethes so much over Poland too, given that it's a shining example of how much better the West is than the Warsaw Pact (i.e. the former Russian sphere of influence). Ukraine was threatening to become that, but even closer to home. Dictators are always thinking of ways to coup-proof their regimes, and getting rid of pesky alternative political systems on the borders is one option.
To support this:
Only a crisis - actual or perceived - produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around. That, I believe, is our basic function: to develop alternatives to existing policies, to keep them alive and available until the politically impossible becomes the politically inevitable. -- Milton Friedman
Putin, and Xi, and their various functionaries and courtiers etc, know this in their bones. In a crisis, change will result, and the kind of change you get will be based on what ideological infrastructure exists. The Bolsheviks didn't launch the revolution, they hijacked it, but they were able to do so because they had an existing ideological discipline and infrastructure.
Culturally compatible countries with alternative ideas provide soil for alternative ideologies to grow. And when the mother country goes into crisis, those chickens come home to roost. An ideologically hostile Ukraine is dangerous because so much of it is Russian, Taiwan is dangerous because it is Chinese.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
17hr ago
I would guess that when a person says that DEI policies don't discriminate against White People (and others depending on context), what they understand the question to be is something like "Are white people, on net, discriminated against as a result of DEI policies?" Which is a tougher question, and one that one can interpret in a lot of different ways once one starts slicing and dicing what counts as White and what counts as Discriminated Against.
This was the form of cope I most frequently ran into at selective law schools regarding DEI policies of the time: that they didn't really matter. Sure, as a result of diversity initiatives black kids might get a +1 while white kids get a -1, but for a whole host of other reasons black kids were already functioning with a -5 and white kids were carrying a +3, so on net it doesn't matter, there's no real discrimination against white people.
I guess I still don't actually understand what your working model is here.
I don't think I speak for OP here, but I think the best working model I've found for the behavior of both parties on immigration issues is something more personal and emotional than rational:
Democrats have a vague idea that there should be some limits on immigration, but mostly don't want to make any migrants feel bad. They will reject any course of action that might make migrants feel bad. This is based in a primordial sense of empathy: Talking to an immigrant you know they are a fellow human being trying their best and you don't want to hurt them gratuitously.
Republicans have a vague idea that there should be fewer migrants, but mostly don't want to make any illegal immigrants feel good, and preferably want to make migrants feel bad. This is based in a primordial sense of justice: migrants broke the law and must be punished not rewarded.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
1d ago
Provided there's sufficient leeway for similarly aged young people to get together with their peers without the government getting involved, I don't really see what difference it makes on the margins between 15-19. I suppose there's some May-December, or April-August, marriages that get prevented; but that doesn't strike me as an overly tragic outcome.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
2d ago
What preparation if any have you been doing for the possibility of tariffs?
I've bought approximately five pairs of sneakers in the past two weeks, to try to get ahead of potential supply disruptions on the one brand of sneakers that actually fit my weird wide flat feet.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
2d ago
Hardline Religious conservatives hard - 21 with exception for marriage Moderate Religous conservatives - 18 Centrists/liberals - they will look at Europe and see that the world didn't ended and probably say that it is 16(.)
So, let me get this straight:
Hardline religious conservatives in Congress, many hailing from states like or constituencies resembling Alabama and Arkansas and Ohio (16) are going to set the age at 21, while the liberals from California (18) and New York (17) are going to set it at 16.
Full list here. The plurality is 16, though we all seem pretty comfortable enforcing CP laws built around 18, and you have most of the big important states (CA, NY, TX, VA, FL) higher than 16. There's actually not much of a pattern to Red/Blue: FL and CA are both 18, TX and NY are both 17, Massachusetts and Alabama are both 16. Either this issue is simply not one actually considered,
Fighting the hypo a little: if we were to see a movement form to actually pass such a law, it would undoubtedly need some passionate movement behind it, and the passion right now comes from the "SHE WAS JUST A 28 YEAR OLD BABY YOU SICK FUCK" age-gap end of things. We'd need a movement similar to Prohibition: an alliance of women and Southern Baptists. I could genuinely imagine a scenario where we get some kind of insane age-gap law that took the Romeo and Juliet law approach and tried to set the "true" age of consent at 25, with a R+J rule set at 5 years and an exception for marriage. Feminists call it a law against exploiting young women (sub rosa: against young women stealing husbands!), the Qanon caucus calls it an Epstein law, the rump-remnant of the Evangelicals is happy with any law that both serves to restrict fornication and inserts the government back into sexual morality, a bunch of IdPol types on both sides find ways to make it about protecting preferred races against the exploitation of disfavored races. Zoomer online discourse around age gaps is truly insane, older voters are broadly more conservative and will relish inserting themselves into young people's sex lives. Only 8% of couples have an age gap bigger than ten years.
That's how I could see it happening.
Closer to your hypo, if everyone for some reason was forced to vote on it tomorrow, I think we'd land on 18 with a 4 year R+J, and at least at first blush without time to propagandize we wouldn't see much partisan breakdown, the state list shows no pattern and if there were a strong partisan pattern it would show up in state legislatures. That seems to be the direction that more recently passed laws are going, I don't know the last time a state truly lowered the AoC.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
2d ago
People seem to draw this really weird dichotomy where you have to choose between "Epstein was not a good guy" and "the girls were prostitutes." Where the reason Epstein was a bad guy was because the girls were prostitutes.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
2d ago
QB Factory. I'm strongly of the "draft a QB (almost) every year" theory of drafting, even a solid backup is worth the effort because of the positional value, and at least theoretically you can launder a developmental pick into a higher value pick later on if he puts out a little bit of good tape. And every now and then you might get a real hit and change the course of history.
Howie continued to perform Tzeentchian feats of trading all day, moving back twice from their third round pick, walking in with eight picks and leaving with ten players. I have no idea how to feel about literally any of these guys, most of them were not guys who the Philly beat writers had highlighted as possibilities. Even Jihaad, who at least has a top-15 pedigree on the big boards and a cool name, I don't know how to think about: is he an off-the-shelf LB to replace the injured Nakobe Dean or a developmental EDGE who will be primarily responsible for blitzing and might not see much more than rotational work this year?
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
2d ago
...That doesn't seem better.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
3d ago
Biden was a replacement level president, who left the running of government to his appointees, to a probably illegal extent. Biden remembering things didn't matter.
Trump routes everything through himself. Leaving things to his appointees would be total chaos.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
3d ago
THC is highly variable in it's impact on different people.
But let's operate under the assumption that complete sobriety is an unrealistic goal.
THC has important advantages over virtually every other intoxicant. It basically can't kill you on its own. It's less addictive than alternatives. DUI deaths drop where people sub THC for alcohol.
I'd also say that weed is a great family drug. It improves sex, but I can't imagine trying to have sex with anyone I shouldn't be having sex with. It settles anxieties and smoothes chronic pain. Lubricates social occasions like hanging out with the elderly or children, it's the family drug: provoking laughter rather than fighting.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
3d ago
Now, I'm not saying the public education system is literally a machine that fucks kids.
List of alleged abusers in the SBC
Wikipedia's page for SBC sex abuse
Virginia Beach megachurch Pastor who had this lovely adventure:
Authorities say Blanchard believed he was talking to an underage girl on social media but was really chatting with an undercover detective. They add that Blanchard drove to a county hotel for a sexual encounter with the young girl and was met by police and handcuffs.
Study finds that 1/250 Australians report being sexually abused by Clergy during their childhood
I won't bother recounting the history of the Catholic church scandals, everyone knows them and honestly I think they get overrated relative to what you see at every other organization.
I've chosen to move counties, keep my child out of public school, and look towards joining a church that shares my values.
Have you considered that you're fleeing the frying pan of fucking machines for the fire of fucking machines?
I've increasingly become blackpilled on the question of pedophilia. It seems like there doesn't exist an organization that doesn't have a child sex abuse problem.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
4d ago
A "dueling" knife, intended to be used against someone else similarly armed. In a duel.
Not to be used to murder an unarmed foe.
It is effeminate to be so frightened of a fistfight that one immediately resorts to murdering one's opponent to "end the threat."
One is absolutely obligated by masculine honor to be willing to defend oneself in a physical fight.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
4d ago
The problem for a market-maker in the NFL is that there are very few participants, most are in some degree of professional precarity, and all moves are publicly noted and debated. So very quickly you see situations where teams refuse to take Howie's calls, like Billy Beane in the NFL before him, because they don't want to be the next fool in the Howie mythos.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
4d ago
If that never comes to pass, will you amend your position?
My position on what?
I think it's bad if the government places essential services that one must access in places that people can't get to them. Typically in planning this comes up with the opposite valence, that government offices must be served by public transit to protect the car-less. I don't think it's necessarily bad to limit car traffic in inner cities.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
4d ago
There are three different views of the trade that you see among Eagles fans:
-- The Dotson trade was bad because Dotson didn't put up any numbers and disappeared for long periods of the regular season, even when he was WR1 or WR2 with Smith and Brown injured. Simple as.
-- The Dotson trade was bad because Jalen Hurts never throws to receivers not named Smith or Brown, so putting resources into a WR3 will never pay off. Dotson was never going to put up any numbers to justify the cost so the trade was a bad idea from the start. The Eagles might think they need to go get a WR3, but it's never
-- The Dotson trade was Good, because Dotson had a couple huge receptions in the playoffs, he blocked hard on runs, he had a couple huge picks on big catches by other receivers; and ultimately you don't think about the value of that third round pick ever again after you win a super bowl.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
4d ago
Absolutely--but neither are the kids taking AP tests to boost their college applications. There's no reason to do that unless your SAT equivalent score is well above that point.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
4d ago
I fully expect it to be illegal (or at least extremely inconvenient) to drive a private ICE car into Manhattan within ten years. It just makes sense to me.
The minimus was the perfect sneaker for me circa maybe 2013, but like a fool I only bought one pair and by the time I needed another pair, they'd changed them and they no longer fit when I went to buy another pair. But I found a company on Amazon that makes a knockoff that is almost the same, and actually does a lot of styles in the same last, so now I bought several pairs for fear of losing it again.
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