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Gillitrut

Reading from the golden book under bright red stars

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joined 2022 September 06 14:49:23 UTC

				

User ID: 863

Gillitrut

Reading from the golden book under bright red stars

1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 06 14:49:23 UTC

					

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User ID: 863

The only way out is through, as they say. I think Carney and co. are likely correct as a factual matter. As the United States becomes a less reliable partner countries are going to look at diversifying away from their dependence on it. Whether that is part of a process of becoming more self sufficient, making friends with other great powers, or coalitions of "middle powers" countries are going to aim to reduce their reliance on America as a friend and ally. A couple paragraphs from Carney's speech you didn't quote but that I think highlight this:

As a result, many countries are drawing the same conclusions. They must develop greater strategic autonomy: in energy, food, critical minerals, in finance, and supply chains. This impulse is understandable. A country that cannot feed itself, fuel itself, or defend itself has few options. When the rules no longer protect you, you must protect yourself. But let us be clear-eyed about where this leads. A world of fortresses will be poorer, more fragile, and less sustainable. And there is another truth: if great powers abandon even the pretence of rules and values for the unhindered pursuit of their power and interests, the gains from ‘transactionalism’ become harder to replicate. Hegemons cannot continually monetize their relationships. Allies will diversify to hedge against uncertainty. Buy insurance. Increase options. This rebuilds sovereignty— sovereignty which was once grounded in rules—but which will be increasingly anchored in the ability to withstand pressure. This classic risk management comes at a price. But that cost of strategic autonomy, of sovereignty, can also be shared. Collective investments in resilience are cheaper than everyone building their own fortress. Shared standards reduce fragmentation. Complementarities are positive sum.

I, personally, think America's close integration with our allies operated to our benefit. Both economically and in terms of our ability to order the world more to our liking. A more isolationist America is going to be poorer and facing a more hostile world. Even in the event Democrats take back control of Congress and the presidency over the next several elections I expect the damage done by Trump would be generations in undoing. Other countries are not going to forget it takes one demented madman winning an election to blow up any agreements we might have.

It refers to the Southeastern Conference of the National Collegiate Athletic Association. Basically, a group of colleges in the United States that regularly play certain sports against each other.

There's a reason dating is often analogized to a market. The relevant question is how many people do the desirable things, have the desirable traits, not how many theoretically could. Even if every women, in principle, could become highly desirable in this sense if only a few actually do those who do are going to have a lot of power to choose a highly desirable partner. The point is that if you want to date a woman who is 80th percentile (or whatever) for desirability then you yourself probably need to be 80th percentile for desirability.

20-something: every woman will be a 20-something for ten years of her life.

This is true but, according to the US 2020 Census, only about ~13% of women are currently in their 20's. Making "woman in her 20's" rarer than both your examples of "man over 6ft tall" and "man who makes six figures." The shape of the US population pyramid also suggests this fraction is going to shrink over time. Age is also transitive, as you note, while the latter two are much closer to permanent.