Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
Hello back frens
User ID: 2022
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
I think legislative efforts could be made without really compromising EOs - theres more than enough people "on board" now. Theres even all sorts of MAGA congresscritters who are presumably doing *something * with their time/staffers. And thinktanks willing to assist. What youre saying makes sense if Trump actively dislikes legislation (why?), but not if he just puts lower priority on it.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Sure, companies will sponsor campaigns, but any voter who cares can find out what the sponsors of a politician are.
Where patronage relationships not known in Rome? At least you could attack your opponents on it.
My gut feeling is that 87% of the political decisions (weighted by impact) are made on either ideology or merit, perhaps 10% of the decisions are made to please campaign donors and perhaps 3% of the decisions are made to personally enrich the decision maker.
How would Rome compare? You dont conquer the mediterranean without making some good decisions.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
You don't want to be sole breadwinner, to have to give up porn, etc. But that's what the old-school marriage contract that you say you want looked like.
Those arent the parts of the fundy tradeoff I have a problem with. Giving up porn is not a huge deal for most guys if theyre having sex, doing it in advance somewhat but propably not a dealbreaker for people otherwise interested in that kind of life, if they believe in the payoff. Sole breadwinner, propably is an issue but depends on how much you make - and rich people are less likely to be super religious, so thats propably not the driver either.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
It doesn't sound so much bitter as sarcastic.
This one yes. Theres another, which you dont see easily but she would know. I replied to this one because it was the second one I saw. Though I somehow thought that other one was in direct response to someone talking about the difficulties of children over 30.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
This graph isnt about getting married in a certain timeframe, its about getting married to a certain partner. There could still be some effect of that... though I notice now that the IFS data doesnt have age, so bodycount isnt necessarily about relationship length, as it would be for someone evaluating the mostly-similarly-aged women he might date. Note also that their table 1 shows the odds of marrying partner #n continually decining (beware the pooled fields).
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
I wonder. Your engagement here, and especially about the age thing, does sound bitter. But I think you were the asexual one, no?
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
You also have to read these numbers through the different thresholds for getting married in the first place - the people with shorter previous relationships are propably less likely to get married in the first place, and so its more meaningful when they do - but that doesnt hold in the "intervention" condition of "why dont you consider those as potential wifes".
If men were very efficient in assesing divorce risk and chose to marry accordingly, you would expect this graph to go up in the beginning and then be flat, which is more or less what it does.
I see a lot of men who whine and complain that they don't want a "project", or a woman that isn't already the perfect match for them. Well...okay, man, but the entire world is made mostly by men who like the idea of a "project" in basically every facet of their entire lives, so maybe your status as single is a feature of evolution.
Its true up to a point. Obviously a relationship will be work, and you have to accept that not everything is perfect right away, but one of the Copybook Headings is that persistent changes of character are rare and not especially inducible (where weight is apparently included in character traits).
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
What do you think of ABSCAM? It looks like they did a sting operation, found that lots of politicians had ~0 inhibition to corruption, and the end result was... they promised not to do those operations again? So if there is actually very little corruption, why not? Just a bunch of 100$ bills on the floor?
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Why do you think he doesnt do that? "Le dumb" was kind of believable during the first admin, but now theres all sorts of people who could be doing that and presumably understand the importance of it. Why isnt e.g Vance writing an immigration bill?
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Well yes, the strategy of farming hateclicks with deliberate offense is not especially dependent on actual opinions.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
I agree that an AI can track the "same person" thing just fine if its trained that way. But if you understand that metric, then why do you think shaving is a similar size change to surgery? Or did you already have some kind of plastic surgery that it saw through?
I'd feel uncomfortable without one, so it's more likely that your own internalized ideal of your body image has you clean shaven
No, Im very sure the discomfort is a tactile thing. Thats certainly how it seems to me, and in terms of the timeline, it was only quite a bit later, looking at photos, that I thought it had looked stupid. If Id thought that ahead of time I just wouldnt have grown it out. Again, said beard got to over 5cm, because I hoped it would feel more like headhair once long enough. Ive had short beards since, and the difference between comfortable and uncomfortable lengths is not particularly visible.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Your example of a shave is actually already in the right ballpark.
I guess I disagree? I can see why youd think that, if youre going by an "objective" metric of similarity, but by that metric a 5 year old will always be more similar to another 5 year old than a 50 year old - and yet, we often recognise relatives on pictures where they were 5. For the sense of "do you look like the same person", things that naturally vary over time such as hair length are much less impactful than ones that require surgery.
Humans are usually quite resilient here. I would expect to see dysmorphic or dysphoric reactions in someone already quite mentally unwell
I mean, I think Im mentally well. But the reason I got rid of the beard is that it still felt uncomfortably a year in, so it doesnt seem crazy to me that such visual changes would stick around as well.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Aside from the transhumanist discussion (and, yknow), why the masseters? Isnt a wide jaw good for men, when it isnt just fat? Youre the one that learned anatomy, but I think thats the masseters we see here.
Besides adverse motivations, have you considered adverse psychological reactions? I at one point shaved off an about fingerlong beard all at once, and afterwards I felt like my head was ridiculously wide. It was quite a strange experience: I tried to check sizes and proprotions in just parts of the face and it would just... fail... and pop me back into the bigger picture where its ridiculously wide. I knew it was my face in the mirror, but it didnt feel like my face, and thats not a good experience. I resolved not to look into mirrors for a while to not feed that thought, and it was gone after a week or so. I dont entirely understand what happened, but this was from a fairly normal and minor change in appearance, and Id worry that a real plastic surgery would be worse and maybe stick around - fortunately nothing to do there. (If it matters, I definitely look better without the beard, and not just because the "haircut" it had was terrible.)
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Or maybe it's a bit more of a body horror thing where you're uncomfortably aware of the chance of the piercing catching on something and causing a horrible accident.
Yes. I get visions of something tugging on them really hard. I dont like tattoos either, but those arent uncomfortable to look at.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Its possible to do all sorts of things safely, if you pay good attention and limit the load/volume accordingly. But those limits might be too strict to progress with, which is obviously not good and will lead typical lifting personalities to break them eventually. And for what, if you dont compete on strength?
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
I understood you to be talking about the one-shot?
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Even with AI aid, I dont think anyone would bother with this. You know something about biochem, and I know something about numerics. By the time you have the compute to simulate without any experiment all considered molecules reliably enough to not have a catastrophic error in one of them, you have long ago cracked all encryptions ever made, found the vaccum instabilites if there are any, etc. Why bother with even grey goo at that point?
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
These kinds of goals are special cases that we wouldnt expect to arise consistenly without a reason. Not touching the universe outside [radius] is a constraint, by default you can achieve a goal better by not being so constrained. Even your examples dont really work; a conservationist might still need to expand to protect empty space from other, non-conservationist expanders. The paperclip simulator might still get more data centers to simulate even more, etc. Its possible to construct an example that works on purpose, but its not the general case, and even if it were, its would have to be overwhelmingly likely, because it only takes one to become visible.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
In the "support continues" scenario, are you expecting last years level of aid for the rest of the conflict, or the previous baseline?
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
I think the population that does something like this, in any direction, is small and mostly male.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
anarcho tyranny
What do you mean by that? As I know it, anarcho tyranny is when you use punishments that only respectable people care about, which combined combined with certain doctrines about self defense or legal uncertainty forces them to endure crime that you do nothing against. That doesnt really make sense in your sentence.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
"Work" can mean a variety of things. It can be "does this reduce the average persons chance of death". But the version thats needed to justify mandates is a systemic/herd immunity effect that has failed to materialise even in 90%+ vaccinated populations.
Lykurg
We're all living in Amerika
4mo ago
Ask if they think the FDA should have allowed the vaccine to be freely distributed and/or sold after it was first invented
I think they were wise not to do that. It would have opened up the whole issue of various more-or-less official requirements for getting this vaccine they hadnt pronounced safe yet, and the actually-existing controversy was peanuts compared to what that could have been.
I dont think this really addresses what I asked. Its just repeating "Trump doesnt focus on it", when I said I dont think he needs to. The closest thing to a limited resource youve mentioned is political deals, since theres only so many important considerations someone can be given - but the EOs havent involved any concessions. If its about the negotiations themselves, they could be done by someone other than Trump with him approving the result.
Basically, if Trump isnt actively against legislation, and there isnt a real obstacle to it, then any one of many MAGA politicians could do it, but they apparently dont. Wanderers comment is a more serious explanation than what youre doing here.
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