Here are some drafts I have, though not particularly CW.
Acetylcysteine as the first treatment for a cold/mucus in Spain but not in Britain
Ze Dreadful German In Ze Writings of Curtis Yarvin. I would respect the guy if he was a gentleman and a scholar, actually knew German and used it to better capture the Zeitgeist and express his Weltanschauung, but instead we get a Blitzkrieg of stilted phrases which annoy me.
Comparison of The Driver (1978), Driver (2011), Baby Driver (2017). Same plot, different decades.
Base rates of success dating docs.
Tetlock forecasting approach vs Subjective Bayesianism
My ideal prediction market playbook
Optimize hard or GTFO
A retelling of El Mio Cid, an Spanish epic poem where a recurring theme is that the hero would be a good and loyal knight if only he had a good king as lord.
A lot of shit on OpenPhilanthropy, FTX and EA.
Utilitarianism for Democrats
Utilitarianism for Republicans
Why are we not better, harder, faster, stronger
Updating in the face of anthropic effects is possible
Betting and consent
How to host an autarkic/uncensorable site.
Tetlock vs subjective bayesianism
Something on the limits of Bayesianism
I want to nerd out a bit on infrabayesianism / what one should do if one expects that one's hypothesis may not be able to represent future events.
Bounties, things I would pay for
My consulting rates
Criticism as a demand side problem
My preferred deviations from common English
Some observations on the speed of qalia
People's choices determine a pseudo ordering over people's desirability
This is more than what I would have though, typing this out.
I've been posting a stream of similar ideas on my blog (https://nunosempere.com/blog/), with an eye to those that I think could be more valuable. But if this community is particularly interested in any of these, I'll probably be happy to re-prioritize.
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Here are some drafts I have, though not particularly CW.
Acetylcysteine as the first treatment for a cold/mucus in Spain but not in Britain
Ze Dreadful German In Ze Writings of Curtis Yarvin. I would respect the guy if he was a gentleman and a scholar, actually knew German and used it to better capture the Zeitgeist and express his Weltanschauung, but instead we get a Blitzkrieg of stilted phrases which annoy me.
Comparison of The Driver (1978), Driver (2011), Baby Driver (2017). Same plot, different decades.
Base rates of success dating docs.
Tetlock forecasting approach vs Subjective Bayesianism
My ideal prediction market playbook
Optimize hard or GTFO
A retelling of El Mio Cid, an Spanish epic poem where a recurring theme is that the hero would be a good and loyal knight if only he had a good king as lord.
A lot of shit on OpenPhilanthropy, FTX and EA.
Utilitarianism for Democrats
Utilitarianism for Republicans
Why are we not better, harder, faster, stronger
Updating in the face of anthropic effects is possible
Betting and consent
How to host an autarkic/uncensorable site.
Tetlock vs subjective bayesianism
Something on the limits of Bayesianism
I want to nerd out a bit on infrabayesianism / what one should do if one expects that one's hypothesis may not be able to represent future events.
Bounties, things I would pay for
My consulting rates
Criticism as a demand side problem
My preferred deviations from common English
Some observations on the speed of qalia
People's choices determine a pseudo ordering over people's desirability
This is more than what I would have though, typing this out.
I've been posting a stream of similar ideas on my blog (https://nunosempere.com/blog/), with an eye to those that I think could be more valuable. But if this community is particularly interested in any of these, I'll probably be happy to re-prioritize.
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