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NunoSempere


				

				

				

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NunoSempere


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				

				
				
				

				

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					joined 2022 September 10 10:19:29 UTC
				


				
					

					
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				Transnational Thursday for November 6, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
So, I've been living in Paraguay since February 2024. I've recently started giving some thought to where to put my money. Paraguay is attractive because it's soo capital starved. I have $140K to deploy (I've put a different chunk in the stock market)


Some options:


    

  • Real state. I can buy a large appartment in a good neighbourhood for $80K, or a small apartment in a less good neighbourhood for ~$30K. A house in a good neighbourhood is a bit outside my budget ($170K), but a house in a less good neighbourhood wouldn't be (<$100K). A single apartment in a good zone has the that it can be either investment or consuption, i.e., I could try to rent it and if I don't just move out of my current apartment. A friend also pointed me towards allotments, i.e., buying up a larger territory and dividing it up into lots for houses which people buy on installments; apparently this is very profitable. Another possibility is to buy houses "de remate", i.e., which have been expropriated for people because of debts &c. These can be significantly cheaper but require paying 50% upfront.
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  • Local businesses. They are generally very very capital constrained. For instance, I'm turning a food stall across the street into a larger  restaurant (the guy's family owns the land). Another option is to rent motorcycles, very profitable if I can put up the capital and let someone else take the hassle. I expect this kind of thing is super profitable, the problem is that finding local businesses just takes a lot of time, trust building and relationship building.
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Overall I see Paraguay as growing rapidly and thus I see an opportunity there, but I'm confused about what shape that takes for me. I'd appreciate thoughts, reading recommendations, etc.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Transnational Thursday for October 30, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
My forecasters are split:




Forecasters now believe there’s a 52% chance (range: 36% to 65%) that the US will carry out an airstrike on Venezuelan soil before December 2025, down from 61% last week.






How can I answer a question like that? Are there plans for a strike on Venezuela? Who would say that? Supposing there were. Would I say that to you? “Yes, we have plans, we have very secret plans!” Who would say that? You know, what kind of a question is it?—Trump