@NunoSempere's banner p

NunoSempere


				

				

				

					0 followers  

					follows 3 users  

					

					
joined 2022 September 10 10:19:29 UTC
				

				

				

				

				

				

					
				

				

				
				
				

				
User ID: 1101


				
				
				

			

		

	














	


		


			



	

		

			

			

				

					

						

							
						

						

							
							

								
NunoSempere


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				

				
				
				

				

					0 followers  

					follows 3 users  

					joined 2022 September 10 10:19:29 UTC
				


				
					

					
No bio...

				

				

				

				

				

					

					

					
					
					

					
User ID: 1101


					
					
					
				

			


					

						
					



		

	

 











			
			

			
			

			




	


		

			
‎

			

				
				

					Hour
					Day
					
					Month
					Year
					All
				

			


			
‎

			

	
	

	 Hot Bump Bottom New Old Controversial Comments
	



		

	






	

		
		

		
		
	

	

  







		

			
			
				Transnational Thursday for July 10, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Some items I'm looking at this week:


OpenAI to release web browser


Nearly 700 civilians killed in Israeli attacks on Iran


The new Bangladeshi government has an audio recording of the previous leader, Sheikh Hasina, ordering her forces to use lethal force. They will use this in her trial.


Hamas gives 'positive' response to 60-day ceasefire proposal but says talks needed on implementation


Russia allegedly field-testing deadly AI drone powered by Nvidia Jetson Orin


Israel launches new ground incursion in Lebanon, raising fears for truce


Trump Ups Criticism Of Putin As He Releases Weapons, Considers Sanctions


No fewer than 500 Israelis killed in conflict with Iran — Iranian parliament speaker


Church leaders: It's time for Nigeria's Christians to defend themselves – Catholic World Report


Supreme court clears way for Trump to mass fire federal workers


Former Bangladesh police chief admits to crimes against humanity amid crackdown trial


Yemeni armed forces hit Ben Gurion airport, other Israeli targets with drones, missiles


Yemen's Ansarullah pledges sleepless nights for zionists after terrorist 'israeli' incursion


Gaza ceasefire talks begin in Qatar amid ongoing tensions


Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian says Israel attempted to assassinate him


Trump claimed victory against the Houthis in fight over Red Sea shipping. Now they are sinking tankers again


What to know as Yemen's Houthi rebels launch new attacks on ships in the Red Sea


Climate change made Europe's heatwave up to 4C hotter


Climate change tripled recent heat deaths in Europe, scientists say


North Korea quietly building chemical weapons for combat


China provided real-time intelligence to Pakistan during a recent conflict with India, according to India's Deputy Army Chief.


As bird flu evolves, keeping it out of farm flocks is getting harder


First round of indirect Israel-Hamas talks ends inconclusively, 'situation in Gaza likely remains grim for foreseeable future'


South Sudan's worst and longest cholera outbreak enters critical stage


India admits heavy losses in 'operation sindoor', to posthumously honour 100 soldiers


Iran Fatwa Fundraiser to Kill Donald Trump Raises Over $40 Million




[Iran International] |reported| that Mansour Emami, another cleric in Iran's West Azerbaijan Province, announced a reward of 100 billion tomans ($1.14 million) for anyone who killed Trump.




Israel defence minister plans to move Gaza's population to camp




Israel's Defence Minister has directed the military to devise a plan for relocating all Palestinians in Gaza to the southern territory, with plans for a 'humanitarian city' to accommodate around 600,000 initially, potentially growing to house the entire population. The relocation aims to secure the area against potential Hamas operatives, operating under a proposed ceasefire for construction. This proposal has been met with strong condemnation from human rights advocates and warnings from the UN regarding the legal implications of forcibly transferring civilians, which is classified as ethnic cleansing.




Iran's government says at least 1,060 people were killed in the war with Israel – The Frontier Post


Tribunal indicts Sheikh Hasina (in absentia)


Death Toll in Kenya's Anti-Government Protests Rises to 31


Haiti death toll hits nearly 5,000 in nine months as gang violence spreads


"Hong Kong citizens felt immensely proud visiting the Shandong aircraft carrier group."


The US military will test a "Joint War Zone Distribution Center" in Australia.




General Ronald Clark, Commander of the U.S. Army Pacific, announced during the 'Protector's Blade' exercise that the Army is testing a new logistics capability in Australia aimed at efficiently prepositioning equipment and supplies in the Pacific theater. This initiative supports the military's strategic readiness for potential long-term operations, focusing on establishing 'Joint Theater Distribution Centers' that can be crucial during military conflicts, humanitarian missions, or natural disasters.










These distribution centers are set to be established across the Pacific region, with the Army currently managing centers in the Philippines and Australia. The exercise, which involves around 35,000 troops from 19 countries, serves as a platform for developing logistics capabilities and testing the Army's new 'Mid-Range Capability' missile system, the 'Typhoon.' Clark highlighted the necessity of these centers to mitigate logistical challenges and emphasized their essential attributes, which include operational port capabilities and storage for various supplies.




Unusual USAF and Space Force Drills Near Taiwan


UN reports 798 deaths near Gaza aid hubs amid ongoing conflict


Hamas agrees to release 10 hostages during Gaza peace talks


The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported that it currently exercises operational control over 65 percent of the Gaza Strip.


European heatwave caused 2,300 deaths, scientists estimate


Europe's freak back-to-back heat-domes killed 2,300 in eight days with temperatures 'reaching 48C', study finds


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Transnational Thursday for July 10, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Here is a list of all the worrying things that China has done over the last year or so, as detected by my forecasting team, Sentinel. Not quite sure what I should do with this.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Transnational Thursday for July 10, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
My impression is that the numbers you are mention... aren't that high; Israel is probably willing to spend many more of its own lives in this conflict.


For reference, if we adjust the 150K to 500K deaths[^1] from Russia's war in Ukraine from Russia's population of 143M to Israel's population of 9.757M, we get 10K to 34K, and remember that we are talking about deaths here. So there is room for a 10x here easily.


This doesn't really speak to your point of whether Hamas' fighting capabilities have been degraded. But Israel has been fighting a war with many fronts, in which Iran has been taken out of the picture, Hezbollah has been disabled in Lebanon. Recently the Israeli army claimed that they had operational control of 65% of Gaza, which is congruent with your perspective.


[^1]: Recent reports say 1M dead or injured, but use the confusing term "casualties" for this, to make it look bigger.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Transnational Thursday for July 10, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


the ADIZ extends like a rectangle up into China proper




Thanks, I didn't know that!