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PaperclipPerfector  7d ago (text post)   714 thread views

Transnational Thursday for July 10, 2025

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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Here is a list of all the worrying things that China has done over the last year or so, as detected by my forecasting team, Sentinel. Not quite sure what I should do with this.

Some of this seems a little unhelpful - a growing number of incursions into Taiwan's Air Defence Identification Zone sound a lot worse than 'Chinese aircraft flying over mainland China', since the ADIZ extends like a rectangle up into China proper. The Chinese air force probably does more training and exercises these days and it's not unreasonable that they should do so in the south of their own country.

Crossing the median line in the straits is more relevant.

Nevertheless it's interesting and I don't disagree with the main premise/vibe.

the ADIZ extends like a rectangle up into China proper

Thanks, I didn't know that!

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