Porean
1yr ago
But what will the Program be?
Will it be state persecution of racist AI developers to protect disadvantaged minorities? A corporate utopia of AI-driven capitalist monoculture? An anarchist-adjacent future of AI empowered individuals purging the remnants of the old world?
Or maybe just foom and we all die. That's why I think it's worth discussing!
Porean
1yr ago
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We aren't important enough. We have about a dozen thousand users that do not-much more than words-words-words in a closed community.
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We have some pretty good programmers onboard. The codebase is probably not clean right now, but I think it's a matter of time.
Porean
1yr ago
If you're of what might be referred to as the "pro-HBD" persuasion around here, how would the world look different if there were not meaningful cognitive/behavioral differences between ethnic groups?
We would not exist. God would be real. Cartesianism would be accurate. At the most basic level, it is extremely difficult to put "HBD is fake" and "evolution and scientific materialism is real" into the same boxes of reality.
Porean
1yr ago
I think the migration just failed, and I plan on doing some data scraping / analytics this weekend to demonstrate it.
Porean
1yr ago
Because of course every single woman is pro-abortion, of course a Republican-voting guy is not going to know any women who might be pro-life, of course no woman picked at random in the USA is going to be "I think the Supreme Court decision was great".
Are you reading the same article as me?
Redd: And by the way, I do talk to my female friends about abortion. Abortion is a problem for Republicans. That’s why I’m not sure if we’re going to win small or win big. But pretty much everything else lines up on our side.
Porean
1yr ago
I've yet to see anyone blow up their life with (legal) porn,
What kind of observation would qualify, to you? Does blowing your life savings on OnlyFans count? Missing a national exam because you fell asleep after a jack at dawn? Ending up arrested for molestation because you thought it'd be as easy?
I don't even care about any of these, because they're edge cases. But when people are willing to condemn all kinds of behaviours except masturbation, I just don't get it.
Porean
1yr ago
This list will probably make it a lot easier for rDrama trolls (among others) to fit in, which is a bit unfortunate. At the same time, this glossary of terms is really accurate and well-cited, and I cannot help but admire it for that.
Porean
1yr ago
Then you've missed the point of the article entirely? It's an election prediction site. Trying to put forward a case for a Republican electoral victory. It would be very odd and partisan to portray Redd as an anti-strategist that doesn't care about the outcome and "prefers to die on that hill and lose election".
Porean
1yr ago
China isn't suffering from stagflation right now like the rest of the world. They have inflation of about 2%, there are worries about inflation being too low. This is because they didn't print huge amounts of money as stimulus. And the damage to the Chinese economy? According to the Asian Development Bank, Chinese growth will drop to 3.3% this year thanks to Omicron and these lockdowns. US growth is somewhere around 1.5% and there's a recession looming. The US and the rest of the West is being forced to raise interest rates to reduce the growth that we paid for with stimulus.
I see absolute figures for two groups that did not start with same absolute numbers.
Porean
1yr ago
Why do you care about what/who's fault it is? You have goals -- accomplish them or don't.
Porean
1yr ago
Most of your post is in line with what I believe. The information workers in blue tribe will turn to protectionism as AI-generated content supercedes them. Red tribe blue-collar workers will suffer the least, and the Republicans will have their first and last opportunity to lure techbros away from the progressive sphere of influence.
There is one thing, though.
I simply do not forsee Republicans being likely to make AI regulations (or deregulation) a major policy issue in any near-term election, whilst I absolutely COULD see Democrats doing so.
It only takes one partisan to start a conflict. Republicans might not initially care, but once the democrats do, I expect it'll be COVID all over again -- sudden flip and clean split of the issue between parties.
But this is just nitpicking on my part.
Porean
1yr ago
I've always wondered if the parentheses attention format was intentionally designed for humour.
Porean
1yr ago
Hi, I just want to leave a stub response: you seem right and I failed to type a recent response after reading 2 days ago.
Porean
1yr ago
The Motte is no stranger to the JQ. You do not need to waste your time pointing out the basic statistics: we've seen them, we've discussed them, and we've had far longer and nuanced discussions on the topic.
Or, to put it in a way you'll understand: Lurk more. The "hey I just noticed this thing about Jewish overrepresentation..." skit makes you stick out like a lamppost.
Porean
1yr ago
it also means that the online community forms strong bonds and is only associated with positive emotions.
I can't speak for the rest of the population, but the lack of hugboxing on the Right was exactly why I turned right-wing back in Ye Olden Days of approximately a decade ago. The consistent hugs and kisses and emotions from left-dominated spaces in the early 2010s was exactly why I, and I suspect most online right-wingers, didn't like them. They were incredibly easy to bully and seemed to have not a shred of a spine, and that kind of behaviour is just innately appalling to politically agitated young males.
Nowadays, the online left is a lot more vicious and willing to persecute its enemies to the bitter end. And as much as I disagree with their values, I can at least respect that they've transformed themselves from limp-wristed victimhood to arguably successful political agitators.
Porean
1yr ago
This is pretty clearly a woman.
We have differences in lived experiences, then. I've said this before, but I really think Hanania nailed it by hypothesising that the anti-trans side cannot be understood without acknowleding how some are simply innately disgusted by what they perceive as abnormal physical features. Or, to simplify, too many people have a disgust reflex against non-passing transsexuals for the movement to succeed.
You can talk about how we should all apply Bayesian reasoning to deduce that an odd looking person is likely to prefer she/her, but that's a tall order for someone experiencing literal transphobia (as in: an instinctive, uncontrollable fear/repulsion) as they look at the person.
As for your commentary on how "passing is transphobic", I think it has been independently suggested a thousand times by some of the more radical trans activists.
Porean
1yr ago
The paradigm and reason for party allegiances is not equality and certainly not about government handouts, considering how every citizen of their home country sidesteps the government to black markets where exchanges are made at better rates. The current Democrat party is actually damaging their bottom line through their fiscal policy.
Call me skpetical. What makes you confident it has a strong impact on voter habits? You have presented a theory -- a possible factor of influence -- but no reason to believe it has any more predictive power than any other explanation of voter preferences.
Porean
1yr ago
Why are the majority programmers so enthusiastic about machines that can code but not artists?
Because they aren't. They're collectively deluding themselves into believing in the «soul» and that programming will never be automated by AI. Just like certain artists are.
I am a programmer. OpenAI scares me. I'm putting every effort I've got into the Grind, because I think the industry's due for a phenomenal crash that'll leave the majority in the dumps. You are free to disagree.
Porean
1yr ago
That does nothing to dispute the claim that supporting pro life policies are costing republican votes. Ditto for basically everyone in the parent comment tree. I don't understand how so many motteposters are conflating "There's lots of pro-life people" (true) with "Being pro-life will make it easier to win elections" (do you believe this?)
I miss the past.
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