Quantumfreakonomics
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User ID: 324
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
We can only hope that the hyperstitious slur gesture cascade is reversing. The rest of the internet has finlly grasped such subtleties as context and the use-mention distinction. Reddit, likely for structural reasons, still retains much of the 2018-2022 monoculture.
In Elon's second salute we can see that his hand is yawed inward in a decidedly nonfascist manner. I skimmed through Triumph of the Will just now, and while there are lots of salutes with variable pitch at the wrist, I didn't see a single one with yaw.
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
In reality, it is very hard for the creators/holders to not make claims of value or profits. The incentive for them to hype their coin is too much.
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
I'm thinking through ideas of what to do with this. No promises but there may be room for experimentation (this not how you hype crypto, but honesty matters to me).
My long-term interests are aligned with yours, Hanania Coin holders. We all rise or collapse together.
This is a public offering of unregistered securities. Hanania is in deep shit if this takes off and blows up.
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
If Trump is allowed to do this then what's stopping him from doing things like telling China he won't introduce new tariffs if they buy $1B of his memecoin?
Impeachment. That’s literally it. You can’t say the people didn’t vote for this. The opinion in Trump v United States came out well before the election.
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
After Trump University, Trump Coins (physical), Trump Trading Cards, Trump Media Stock, and whatever the hell this is, I would have expected Trump scam market saturation. At some point it becomes more useful to model it as a form of tithing than con artistry. The people buying this junk must be getting some form of utility out of it, even if it confounds the sophisticated mind.
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
The discussion was had and was highly relevent to subsequent developments. There was more than zero conflict, particularly around the aquisition of X/Twitter, but discussion ultimately won.
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
We’re reaching levels of cope that shouldn’t be possible.
Noting first that this isn’t literally a concession, where is the curiosity here? If someone who is racist and has bad data nevertheless gets the right answer, shouldn’t you like update on that? Shouldn’t you at least consider the possibility that your preconceived notions about at least one of
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Racism,
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Lynn’s data quality, or
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The scientific method
Is wrong?
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
The proper pricing of commodities and equities is actually of great value to society. The Physics Ph.D in a Manhattan office building high-frequency trading corn futures doesn't see anything except numbers on a screen, but corn farmers in Iowa (and consumers of corn like chicken farmers) benefit greatly from accurate and liquid futures markets in corn.
In order to consistantly make money in trading, one has to buy low and sell high. This inherently provides a price-stabilizing effect. Buying when prices are low causes prices to rise; selling when prices are high causes prices to fall.
Quantumfreakonomics
8mo ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 20, 2025, ET and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What if Trump tweets that, "the United States holds $X of bitcoin reserves", but he is just referring to the bitcoin that has been confiscated?
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
What I don't get is how a years-long analysis could possibly be useful.
It’s not useful, but that doesn’t matter. The text of NEPA requires agencies to describe “any reasonably foreseeable environmental effects of the proposed agency action.” Try sitting down for 30 seconds to think about all of the reasonably foreseeable environmental effects of setting the environment on fire.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
Small potatoes compared to what’s possible. It’s like bombing a plane vs flying it into a skyscraper. Imagine you were a patient, clever, and well-prepared terrorist in LA yesterday, how much damage do you think you would be able to cause?
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
A fire just broke out in the Hollywood hills. Hellicopters are swarming. I expext the authorities to pull-out all the stops to protect Hollywood.
The West coast is a pretty unique climate and biome. We don't have fires like this in the Eastern US, even though parts of the East are incredibly overgrown.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
An uncomfortably large amount of human behavior, even at the very top, is just blindly following the herd. YouTube and Twitter banned Fuentes? Guess Facebook will too. They banned the president of the United States? Right behind you. Zuck’s heart was never in it. I don’t think he sees himself as a particularly ethics-driven person to begin with. Onlyfans-shilling thots are considered spam on the other platforms; on Instagram, they’re the content.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
If the United States invaded Canada out of the blue one day what would happen? Would they even shoot back? If Canada invoked Article V would the UK or France threaten nuclear war?
I don’t really have a model for this, and yet it could easily happen.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
I oftentimes wonder just how much microfauna taxonomy is fake. Like, this particular decision had major historical consequences, but the average guy doing minnow or crawfish taxonomy can probably get away with classifying whatever he finds in some obscure South American tributary as a new species without anyone calling him out on it. Are there actually 30,000 species of scarab beetle out there? All of the ones I ever see look the same.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
A big problem with medicine, along with other notoriously expensive professional services like law, is that knowing which specific actions to take is part of the service. One can't provide a remotely accurate quote without having already performed the services requested. A checkup for a 10-year-old boy with no medical conditions is a very different service from a checkup for a 58-year-old woman with twelve medications and diabetes.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
Timothy McVeigh also had the benefit of operating before the Department of Homeland Security was a thing. Try buying thousands of pounds of ammonium nitrate nowadays without getting knock on the door.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
I wonder if there's a covert operation to place misleading information about bomb-making on the internet to prevent would-be terrorists from acheiving their true potential. It seems like every wannabe terrorist has a bomb nowadays, but they never do any damage.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
There have been almost no Islamic terrorist attacks in the United States since 2017 compared to the 20 years before that. It could be a coincidence that we get the biggest one in 10 years immediately after Assad's Syria falls, but I have suspicions.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
In honor of Vivek Ramaswamy, what is the proper interpretation of the movie "Whiplash"?
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
It is amusing to me that the only crime considered worthy of death is being on the wrong end of a current thing murder. Things aren’t looking good for our boy Luigi.
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
Oooh, I think your right. The timeline matches up with the passage of the ADA (which requires extra time on exams for disabilities, among other things).
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
Owning stock in the company that builds AGI is one of the best ways to increase your probability of being in the 10%!
Fun fact:
Quantumfreakonomics
9mo ago
For the last few years I have thought that for sure other companies would be able to knock-off their market share. This opinion has cost me thousands of dollars.
You're right that it's not quite what is going on here. I see it more like a hypothetical soccer matchup between Nigeria and Germany where the scoreboard reads "0 NIG - GER 2". The physical elements are there, but the semantic meaning isn't.
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