Quantumfreakonomics
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User ID: 324
Quantumfreakonomics
5d ago
When you turn the wheel and press the accelerator at the same time, the car doesn't go in a straight line.
Quantumfreakonomics
5d ago
She backs-up with the wheels turned to the left, stops, turns the wheels to the right, and then accelerates forward. The officer is in front of the car, so via the intermediate value theorem, there is indeed a point where the wheels are pointed directly at the cop.
This doesn't really mean much, because she keeps turning the wheels, and this is also exactly the technique one would use to execute a two-point turn.
If Tim Walz uses the Minnesota National Guard to remove federal agents then Trump will have full legal and ethical justification to invoke the Insurrection Act and send in literal tanks.
EDIT: I am watching the clips where people say that Tim Walz is threatening to use the National Guard against federal agents. He does not seem to be actually saying that.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
30 years is a bit much. Are there any websites from 30 years ago still active? I think there's a good chance we're still here in 10 though.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
What percentage of federal workers with a clearance are actually underpaid these days?
The people responsible for the successful execution of the Maduro capture added at least $100 billion in value to the US Equity market. There is no way they are being fairly compensated.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
Why isn't everyone doing this, if they aren't already?
The reason, which becomes clear if one looks at the fine print, is that these markets have absolutely pathetic volume. One and a half million dollars on whether Trump will take Greenland. This is probably for the best. If I had a Polymarket account, I would have bet against Maduro being removed from power, and I would have lost my money.
Despite the hype, the smart money on Wall Street is not getting involved.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
Have you ever heard the song, “You Belong With Me”?
You're on the phone with your girlfriend, she's upset
She's going off about something that you said
'Cause she doesn't get your humor like I do
I'm in the room, it's a typical Tuesday night
I'm listening to the kind of music she doesn't like
And she'll never know your story like I do
But she wears short skirts, I wear T-shirts
She's Cheer Captain, and I'm on the bleachers
Dreaming about the day when you wake up and find
That what you're looking for has been here the whole time
If you could see that I'm the one who understands you
Been here all along, so why can't you see?
You belong with me, you belong with me
Walk in the streets with you in your worn-out jeans
I can't help thinking this is how it ought to be
Laughing on a park bench, thinking to myself
"Hey, isn't this easy?"
It’s hardly even subtext. It’s just text.
Quantumfreakonomics
7d ago
Everyone remembers Metternich. Nobody remembers Ferdinand.
Quantumfreakonomics
7d ago
I've seen speculation that the polygamous habits of Somalians are why this particular grift is so lucrative for them. One man with four wives worth of children could be raking in a middle-class lifestyle just watching the kids.
I don't know about the in-actuality familial habits of American Somalis to evaluate whether this is a good explaination or just made-up.
Quantumfreakonomics
7d ago
It’s almost scarier if it turns out these are all technically legit businesses and the government was just this bad at not getting Dutch Booked.
Sure, you could take care of your own baby like a chump, or you could let your buddy take care of your baby and do him a $3000/month solid.
Quantumfreakonomics
7d ago
I did a lot of digging in Washington State daycares the other week. Washington has better public-facing financial tools. There is a big database of all government payouts for the last 6 months. You can go down the list of DYCF payments, stop at every company with “Home Daycare” or “Family Child Care” in their name that gets a 5-figure payout each month, cross-reference the name with the Washington State Daycare registry, and see that every single one has a Somali name as the primary contact. I must have found at least a dozen places run out of a medium-sized suburban home licensed for 12 kids that were each raking in $40,000 a month. Even assuming these were legitimate businesses running at full capacity, that would be over $3000 per child per month, for daycare, run out of someone’s basement.
He is Earth's greatest living philosopher.
Edit: I challenge any of the downboaters to name a better one.
Quantumfreakonomics
9d ago
America will never truly be free until one can drive from Barrow to San Juan. We need Cuba in order to build the Caribbean Super Bridge.
Quantumfreakonomics
9d ago
We cut aid to Ukraine in exchange for a Russian blessing of an invasion of Cuba. Who says no?
Quantumfreakonomics
9d ago
This is the most Elba possible option. He speaks the language, has more in common with his captors than his exilers, and would be subject to local political volitility. He would become a hero.
Quantumfreakonomics
9d ago
Getting Maduro personally is the easy part. All of the interests that he represented and championed are still there. How is an American puppet government supposed to have popular legitimacy given that we executed a smash-and-grab over the skies of Caracas in plain sight?
Quantumfreakonomics
9d ago
Oil. Venezuela has lots of oil, so they got a big dose of freedom. With a US-friendly government in charge, excraction costs will fall, enabling the high-tech petroleum refineries on the US Gulf Coast (which are helpfully in red states) to reap the producer surplus from the increased supply. AI demand for energy will keep the price up. GPT-7 will be powered by Venezuelan oil, brought to you by Exxon, I'm Lovin' It.
Quantumfreakonomics
9d ago
We can send him to Midway like Napoleon on Saint Helena.
Quantumfreakonomics
10d ago
AI-generated nudes of minors meet the legal definition of child pornography.
“child pornography” means any visual depiction, including any photograph, film, video, picture, or computer or computer-generated image or picture, whether made or produced by electronic, mechanical, or other means, of sexually explicit conduct, where— [...] such visual depiction has been created, adapted, or modified to appear that an identifiable minor is engaging in sexually explicit conduct.
If the Supreme Court ruled that sharing AI-generated deepfakes of actually existing 14-year-olds is protected speech, there would be a constitutional amendment. The general public will not stand for this, regardless of what weird tech-libertarians think.
Quantumfreakonomics
12d ago
I'm not going to sugarcoat it. The next few months are going to be the worst part of your life (so far). It really is that bad. People don't like to talk about things like this. I am only doing it because I'm a few drinks in on New Years Eve.
The one bright spot is that doctors tend to be pretty liberal with prescribing pain meds for stage 4 cancer patients. It helps if you and/or whoever accompanies your father to his doctor's appointments presents as not being the kind of person who would misappropriate generous opioid prescriptions.
You are going to be visiting him every weekend. Every chance you get to see your father is a treat. This is what will get you through the week.
Work will be the only time you will be able to get your mind off of the situation. In time, you will find this as something also to be cherished.
Things will be particularly hard on the primary caretaker. Dealing with the physical consequenses of the disease will be left mostly to her. I notice you said "his wife" instead of "my mother". Whatever her relationship to you, she is now the second most important person in your life.
Everything is going to suck for a while, and then you'll be fine. You don't have cancer. You have the rest of your life in front of you once this is over. You will survive.
Good luck. Your family is counting on you.
Quantumfreakonomics
12d ago
As always, the answer is written in the scriptures. Conservatism is an audiovisual culture. The fact that Somalis in Minnesota were milking billions of dollars out of the government was knowable by reading and research. Some people did know it. Some people tried to spread the word (with some success). Knowing the truth of the proposition, "Somalis in Minnesota are milking billions of dollars out of the government," is much less powerful than seeing what these milking factories actually look like in person. No amount of text-based reporting on spreadsheets can elicit the same sense of deep cultural offense as seeing what presents outwardly as a normal American buisiness degenerate into hooded figures barking in Star Wars language in response to the slightest inquiry. The New York Times would never report that.
Quantumfreakonomics
13d ago
AI:
- Yudkowski declares AGI/ASI Achieved 10%
- We have federal regulation passed through congress to regulate AI 30%
- Anthropic announces IPO 35%
- A Chinese model is released that is widely considered to be the best coding model(not just on price per token) 15%
- AI System wins an award for a significant contribution in mathematics 30%
- A lab releases a fully autonomous drop-in worker agent that at least five fortune 200 companies implement 20%
- OpenAI revenue exceeds $30 billion 25%
- A frontier lab experiences a security incident that requires public disclosure 50%
US Domestic politics:
- Democrats have a majority in the House 80%
- Democrats have a majority in the Senate 30%
- Trump Approval rating exceeds 50% at any point 15%
- A government shutdown exceeds 14 days 15%
- total deportation in 2026 exceed 500k 50%
- Mamadani implements fare free busses city wide 60%
- Mamdani implements at least three state run grocery stores 30%
- Trump is impeached 10%
- A Major political figure is assassinated(Congress/SCOTUS Judge/Executive cabinet member) 20%
Wars:
- Israel-palestine conflict reignites 30%
- Ukraine war ceasefire lasts greater than 30 days at any point 40%
- China invades Taiwan 15%
- US officially at war with Venezuela at any point 15%
China:
- Official GDP growth below 4% 35%
- Youth unemployment (16-24) reported above 15% at any point in 2026 Lol idk
- Major Chinese property developer (top 20) enters formal bankruptcy Lol idk
- SMIC achieves volume production at 5nm or below Lol idk
Economics:
- US enters recession (2 consecutive quarters negative GDP growth) 20%
- S&P 500 higher on 12/31/26 than 12/31/25 55%
- US unemployment rate exceeds 5% at any point 40%
- Bitcoin above $150k at any point 25%
- YoY inflation exceeds 4% 35%
Technology:
- Starship upper stage (Ship) successfully lands (caught or propulsive landing) Lol idk
- Blue Origin New Glenn completes 5+ successful launches Lol idk
- Tesla releases vehicle with SAE Level 4 autonomy to consumers 40%
- US approves new nuclear reactor construction (not SMR) 20%
Quantumfreakonomics
14d ago
It was a major policy priority in Minnesota to help families financially by increasing access to childcare. If it turns out that certain demographics prefer to recieve that help in the form of kickbacks for locking their kids in a shitty warehouse every day, well, who are we to say that the policy is not working as intended?
[NormanRockwellFreedomOfSpeech.jpg] I think it is okay for law enforcement officers to shoot people who are willing to run them over.
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