RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
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User ID: 317
Has AI actually done any of those things?
The Nvidia AI chips in Russian missiles, performing autonomous targeting to bypass jamming, per my links.
Also, per the chip article, some do work and that's the key part? It's easier to simulate a chip design and check if it works than to design a chip with superior performance.
I think the trend is pretty clear. Right now AI is causing some unemployment, producing some economic gains (mostly concentrated in big tech), adding some military gains. I expect this trend to continue and accelerate as the tech gets better and adoption improves.
Where is the evidence that incorporating AI into a workplace increases workload, rather than decreases it? Reminds me of the Yes Minister quote about thousands of new staff being hired to deal with the chaos caused by the labour-saving computers... but we don't seem to see increases in employment amongst AI adopters.
People are willing to pay vast amounts of money for obviously worthless things on a regular basis - NFTs are one infamous example.
NFTs aren't useful but people certainly did value them, it's just a novel subgenre of art/signalling good. I personally don't want to buy a bored ape or ugly abstract paintings, a CS GO knife skin or an extremely expensive watch that's functionally inferior to my Casio but I accept they have some kind of value. Anyway, people aren't buying AI because it's classy to have (indeed, its gotten pretty low-status), they buy it because of its utility, convenience, cost-efficiency.
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Even if things go well and the plebs do get scraps off the plate, how do we subdivide that amongst ourselves? X was an armed burglar, Y kicked puppies, Z posted mean things on the internet, ZA was a really nice guy, ZB is from a historically marginalized group... I think we're being too rosy-eyed about resource distribution. If we're carving up the lightcone, we can also reproduce fast, clone ourselves, use up superhuman amounts of resources. We might drop down to subsistence quickly (by immortal standards). What if the people born in simulation demand fleshbags share the wealth they're hogging with inefficient resource use?
We might have extremely toxic discourse like 'Alice worked 10 hours a day as a nurse and is poor as fuck, Bob bought bitcoin in the hopes of buying some child pornography and is a millionaire' except it's NVIDIA shares and scaled up immeasurably, such that Alice's whole bloodline is born into poverty for the rest of time because she took on student debt and never accumulated capital?
There are all kinds of resource-distribution problems that deserve consideration. I think that this is something we need to be thinking about beforehand. Most important of course is not letting psychopathic men/machines exterminate the rest of us but even the lesser problems of wealth distribution have already seen tens of millions butchered!
I think we need a strong consensus on distribution of power, to prevent a singleton.
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