RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
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User ID: 317
Well, the odds it has memorized the autistic game mechanics I invented are nil. But it can still implement and work with them.
Consider this paper for instance, they have the AIs devise experiments to derive physical laws in simulated universes unlike our own, Opus and the strongest GPT do OK: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26087
They can't have memorized imaginary physics. With sufficient repetition learning, creativity and intelligence emerge. Do we not hone mathematical talent by repetition? Github is a pretty diverse space, if there's some some set of components needed to make cool things, good odds they are on github. What isn't on github could be assembled from what is. Perhaps all one needs to do to write arbitrary software is assemble all the pieces in such a way as to meet the goal.
Let's suppose AI models aren't so great for mathematics and it's Terence Tao doing most of the work.
The primary commercial usecase for AI isn't mathematics, it's coding, as you say.
I cannot code beyond the most basic Khan Academy beginner sense, my actual end to end abilities are completely worthless. And yet I can make useful AI tools for work, processing documents in various ways that saves lots of human time. In a certain sense, I'm providing most of the 'secret ingredient' since you cannot just tell an AI to do these fiddly tasks and expect them done properly in oneshot. It will usually not work the first time. So I give it some counsel and tell it what to troubleshoot, errors, differences from expected output, clarify my intentions and ultimate usefulness. Eventually it works and then I refine it to work better and better by getting AI to handle all these edgecases and Word-induced BS.
And how could I make a (still under development) 4X game with AI if I can't code? There's a fair bit going on. Space battles, ground battles, culture, technologies, buildings, resources, goods, markets, map generation, turn order, trade between provinces (intra faction), trade between factions, freighters, pops and social classes, loans, diplomacy and war plotting, coalition building... Some things are not well fleshed out but there is quite a bit there.
I was just now getting it to make an evolutionary testing system to refine ship designs and fleet compositions and so define the meta. First time it worked OK, then when trying to make it better (too many bad mutations!) it broke, then I overhauled it and now it works great and with multicore processing too. Apparently the dominant strategy is getting hundreds of incredibly cheap and terrible warships to act as chaff for a small core of high-tech warships to exploit the targeting and reinforcement logic. So clearly I need to change how reinforcement and targeting works, raise minimum costs for ships.
It was my idea to make this tool, my idea behind the overhaul and my ideas behind every mechanic but I could never have done it myself. The secret ingredient is clearly the AI.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
6d ago
So long as these beings have a conscious experience of their own and they are still capable of loving, fighting, fearing, suffering, and failing
Why would they have love? Why do we have love? In large part because we have sexual reproduction. Even without that there's parental love...
What is love for a machine that can copy itself out as necessary, self-modify directly? Can you feel love when it's just different versions of you (different parts of you?) or is it narcissism? We don't really have words for this.
Why would they suffer? Pain acts as a reinforcement signal, a warning. But if the full focus of the mind is already fixated on a goal then suffering is just wasted energy.
I think people underrate how alien a Powerful Being would be. Not merely some superintelligence derived from a mostly-human text corpus (already unprecedented and alien) but something that evolves or self-modifies into existence later on in a post-singularitarian environment.
This would be a fundamentally different environment to all organic life. Conscious self-analysis and self-modification is an absolute gamechanger, nevermind every other trump card these beings would have. I'd expect something fundamentally different to emerge.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
6d ago
Who says HBD means all countries run by smart people are more pleasant than countries run by stupid people? I'd rather live in Fiji than North Korea. But Koreans are more capable than Fijians.
Also now I look at it, Russia has twice Mexico's GDP per capita PPP. And even if you look at median incomes, Russia is still about 70% higher. So I don't think that Russia is even poorer than Mexico in any meaningful way and murder rate is lower too. Hard to be more murderous than Mexico. So unless we look at nominal GDP figures which are distorted by sanctions, then Russia is clearly better off. HBD bros win again.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
6d ago
They did do a tonne of buybacks, that's why their share price is so high!
Google, 317 billion of buybacks in 10 years. Meta $208 B in 10 years. Apple $735 B... Over 1 trillion in 5 years is nothing worth sneezing at.
They have since lowered buybacks because of AI spending. Trillions in share buybacks absolutely does drive stock prices.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
6d ago
I was just trying to be a little artsy and alliterative... Don't read so much into it.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
6d ago
Good point, that's what I meant but not what I said!
Supreme Commander Forged Alliance had the community take over and continue development/multiplayer servers after the company collapsed. Starcraft and Diablo are presumably more popular than Forged Alliance ever was. I think the biggest threat is Blizzard legal department.
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