Recursive_Enlightenment
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User ID: 791
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
What are the chances that this leads to Israel attacking Iran? Iran appears to have been a supporter of Hamas. Netanyahu has seemingly been eager for a reason to dismantle Iran's nuclear weapons program. From Netanyahu's perspective, eliminating the program would make recent events a net gain for Israel. However, how would the global community respond to an Israeli assault on Iran? While many countries in the region would likely be pleased, they would need to feign outrage. Russia, having recently gotten weapons from Iran, would denounce the attack. But, given its diminished power, what action could Russia realistically take? Would Biden risk sanctioning Israel for such an action, particularly when his Republican adversaries would likely applaud it?
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
A competent US President would intensify the divisions within Canada so the US could get Alberta to become a state.
Recursive_Enlightenment
8mo ago
Imagine someone was raised in a country where the Holocaust is officially denied, and then goes to college in a country such as Finland or Germany in which denying the Holocaust is a crime. This student is genuinely uncertain if the Holocaust occurred, and starts conversations about the Holocaust with his classmates and presents arguments he was given as a child about why the Holocaust was faked by powerful interests. He is sternly told that it is a criminal offense to bring up such arguments. If he is a good Bayesian, how should this criminality cause him to update? (Of course, I don't think the Holocaust was faked.)
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
Might Turkey join the fight against Israel? Former US Colonel Douglas Macgregor thinks they might. Obviously this would be horrible for Israel, the US, and NATO. Does anyone understand what is happening in Turkey well enough to know if this is a possibility?
Recursive_Enlightenment
9mo ago
Tell her you want to move to a leftist state like Massachusetts or California that has similar laws to Europe. Tell her that America is so big thinking all American states are the same would be like an American thinking there is no real difference between living in Romania or England or an American being fearful of living in Spain because of the policies of the Hungarian government.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
I'm up for this. In what video game should we all fight?
Recursive_Enlightenment
18d ago
Iran just gave Israel the option, but not the obligation, to launch a massive attack on Iran without Israel losing the support of the US.
Recursive_Enlightenment
5mo ago
In a sane world the baby would be cryopreserved until the singularity.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
If Israel gave notice and said "Everyone out of northern Gaza because we are going to destroy it in two days" and Biden didn't object I think Israel would be fine. Because of scope insensitivity people are about as bothered by 100 birds being killed as by 100,000 of them dying. I think something similar is true with how the world feels about Palestinians. (As I expect AI to soon be able to uncover all of our identities matching what we write here to text under our own names, please note I'm not claiming that any of this is a good thing.)
Recursive_Enlightenment
7mo ago
Imagine all the staff people who didn't realize "fought against Stalin in WW II" probably meant was a Nazi (Finns excluded, of course).
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
The AI will have data on how peoples' writing styles change over time, and so will almost certainly be able to figure out your real identity.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
To get bigger to better compete with China.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
But politically Biden loses a lot more if Israel is weakened than if Russia keeps larges parts of Ukraine.
Recursive_Enlightenment
8mo ago
Related question: Does the military treat its troops better if you have universal conscription or if you force the military to compete in labor markets?
Recursive_Enlightenment
9mo ago
I look forward to a future where everyone wears augmented reality glasses and can make the bench appear to them however they want.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
I wonder how Jewish academics are going to handle this. Will they update their believes about their woke colleagues and students, and if so will they work to change hiring and admissions policies?
Recursive_Enlightenment
4mo ago
Would help the US in its great power competition with China.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
It doesn't need to offer anything that the US doesn't already have. We should be trying to get other rich English speaking places to join the US for reasons of economies of scale in defense.
Recursive_Enlightenment
8mo ago
"Not everyone can" than it is a different game.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
I think you are looking at the issue from the viewpoint of a moral philosopher. From Israel's viewpoint what matters is will the attack mean if it attacks Iran, the US won't punish it?
Recursive_Enlightenment
10mo ago
I friend of mine knows lots of high ranking people in the military. He says many of them take UFOs seriously.
Recursive_Enlightenment
5mo ago
Do you have Aphantasia, an inability to visualize in your mind's eye? I do and am horribly at shape rotation.
Recursive_Enlightenment
5mo ago
funny how Jews pop up in any event
I'm not a moderator, but please don't.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
What would the response be to, "Why don't you also get upset at China for how it treats Muslims?"
A smarter US would be trying to get them to join the US.
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