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The_Nybbler

In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.

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joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

				

User ID: 174

The_Nybbler

In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.

9 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

					

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User ID: 174

The usual reason for the error is that telephone surveys were used. Telephones were disproportionately owned by the wealthy, who were more likely to support Dewey. But yes, it wasn't an error made by Dewey himself but pollsters and the Chicago Daily Tribune.

Besides nowadays, everyone has a VPN. You can talk to plenty of Iranians right now, even with the attempted internet lock down, even if this isn't real.

You're making the same error Thomas Dewey did, talking to a small, wealthy, and unrepresentative set of Iranians.

Of the top 1,000 or so achievements of humanity you will find, well down the list of its contributors, maybe one single noble by name of Tycho Brahe.

Lord Kelvin comes immediately to mind. And there are plenty of gentry, such as Charles Darwin.

I don't think Turok really cares about class, though; it's just a stick to beat people he disagrees with. Kind of a silly one, though, since if you're on the right in America today you probably believe that the "elites" and the "PMC" have been fucking it up by the numbers, so the stick really has no bite.

Why should Ted or Bush or anyone bother weighing up the pros and cons if God is on his side and will sort it out anyway?

You have perhaps heard the sayings "God helps those who help themselves" and "God is on the side with the superior firepower"?

Iranians are friendlier to Western Civilization than Israelis.

If you skip over the whole batshit Islamic theocracy and the "Death to America"/"The Great Satan" thing

One MOP may not do it, but the MOPs are made to be used in multiples.

We need less redditor justices!

Fewer. We need fewer redditor justices.

I don't think you'll have any luck finding serious American candidates who advocate for genocide.

Why does regular bombing campaigns leaving the country unable to create the necessary infrastructure not a viable path forward?

You don't need the US to be directly involved for that. Israel can handle it all on their own.

I see no particular reason we can't just annihilate them.

"Annihilating" Iran, Carthage (or Circassia) style, isn't on the table.

"Nation destroy" isn't sufficient in Iran. Israel probably could have killed off the regime's civilian/religious leaders by now. But if they did, Iran would just get a new set and they'd get right back to work building nukes. Because the lesson of Libya, North Korea, and Ukraine is if you want to survive and be independent of the world powers, you need nukes. An Iranian regime that is under US hegemony isn't going to come about except by force, and neither Russia nor China is in a position to take Iran within its orbit (not that they'd be likely to accept that either). So you'd need to either totally occupy or install a puppet regime backed by your military, (probably both in that order), and the population matters there.

What utility does knowing Iran's population matter? What relevance is the specific number of Iranians to any American interests?

If you're considering replacing its government by force, the size population you'll end up administering (at best) or fighting seems quite relevant.

This is sophistry. The distinction in sex between a 13-year-old girl and a 13-year-old boy developing facial hair is not a legal one, it's a biological one -- one is abnormal and the other is normal. That the law recognizes there's a distinction does not mean it's making legal distinctions based on sex.

Your objections are

  • Ted Cruz doesn't know the population of Iran
  • You don't like Ted Cruz's interpretation of scripture
  • You don't like Ted Cruz's SUPPORT of Israel
  • Religious people (Huckabee) using religious language.
  • An uncorroborated claim that Bush didn't know there was difference between Sunni and Shia
  • A similarly uncorroborated claim that Bush used religious language speaking to Chirac
  • Various claims, from his enemies, of Trump being unable or unwilling to read
  • Biden's senility
  • Democratic trans policy.

From this you conclude "There are serious structural problems with how America selects its politicians if this is the calibre of talent that's drawn into positions of great power." But this is mostly a Gish gallop. Cruz certainly fucked up not knowing the population of Iran. But neither Cruz's interpretation of scripture nor Cruz's open support of Israel support that. Nor does the use of religious language; you may find it embarrassing but it doesn't indicate a lack of talent. The various claims mostly from tell-all books published much later (and usually disputed) are pretty much worthless as evidence. As are claims reported in the press about Trump in general. Biden's senility is only weak evidence of a problem with selection; it seems clear his senility got much worse after he was elected. And perhaps I'm being uncharitable, but I'm pretty sure Democratic politicians CAN tell the difference between men and women, but they lie about it for policy reasons; they're evil, not stupid.

3) What now? The left has CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, NPR, the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Los Angeles Times, etc. You know, the "mainstream media".

'Right now, Metro Homicide is targeting a certain type of "undesirable", namely, alleged murderers, and appears to have carte blanche to apprehend anyone who disrupts that process.'

Before you invoke "just following orders", you need to establish that some atrocity was actually being committed. If your objection is that immigration agents are targeting alleged illegal immigrants for apprehension and that they arrest people who interfere with that, you haven't.

The Second Amendment is no longer of interest to the Supreme Court and blue states are free to ban the most popular rifle in the nation without Court interference.

If a parent can veto the decision to abort, they would presumable also be able to veto the decision to have the baby.

That is certainly not true. That authority to forbid is not the authority to require.

Or maybe administrations should not try to bind their successors by extralegal means, because the fact that it is difficult is a feature not a bug.

I don't agree that the Trump administration is engaged in unusual thuggishness, but whether they are or they aren't, they shouldn't.

War is going to be as quick and painless as running an algorithm.

There's a Star Trek episode about that ("A Taste of Armageddon"). It didn't turn out well.

The US system is also first past the post.

Israel is generally considered to be a US client state even more than Ukraine

Except by the US dissident right who sees the US-Israel relationship the other way around.

But there's obviously a close relationship between the US and Israel and if it doesn't extend to being an actual bellicose ally against Iran, it's the next best thing. Public opinion isn't wrong on that.

introduce the first secret police force in the history of the United States?

Certainly not. If nobody did it earlier, J. Edgar Hoover did it with parts of the FBI.

For a system to last young people have to be able out maneuver the old. First past the post makes this hard.

And yet there's several lasting first-past-the-post systems, including the UK parliament which has certainly lasted longer than the German one.

Right now, ICE is targeting a certain type of "undesirable", namely, allegedly undocumented illegal immigrants, and appear to have carte blanche to apprehend anyone who disrupts that process.

Apprehending illegal immigrants is squarely within ICE's statutory mission. Apprehending anyone who disrupts their activities is SOP for law enforcement.