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The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

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joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

				

User ID: 174

The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

8 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

					

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User ID: 174

What is more likely you, sitting at home with no public health or medical background (and potentially no background in research/stats etc) has discovered that the flu shot is a big conspiracy and does nothing of value or that the entire public health apparatus, medical research (and maverick researchers trying to make a name for themselves by questioning the status quo) for the entire planet are wrong?*

Probably about 3:1. In my favor. It has become clear that some portion of the medical establishment is really, really attached to vaccines.

Not all conspiracy theories are created equal. The flu vaccine has been around long enough to be very well studied and not lucrative enough to generate the level of coordination that would be required here, furthermore because flu trends change year after year, you have actual experts trying to assess how effective things are on a yearly basis.

Gray and Klotzbach did hurricane forecasts for 20 years before admitting they were of no value. Experts can be wrong for a long time.

Not to mention rioting on inauguration day. And after the election in 2016.

You have already admitted that the flu vaccine does not prevent infection, so the guilt trip about friends and family and elderly parents is without basis also.

I do not believe the CDC estimates. I expect the actual number of hospitalizations prevented is on the close order of zero. I once ran a correlation of the CDC-stated vaccine effectiveness against flu deaths for that year; it was slightly negative.

Look, this "pussy" shit may work with your buddies but it's not going to work on the Internet. It doesn't make one more of a man to get a vaccine that doesn't work and even makes you mildly sick.

The flu vaccine is crap and the assumptions made to get it to show a mortality reduction at all are questionable. If you're the kind of person who doesn't wear a seat belt, you probably won't get the vaccine either, and your traffic death will be part of the "all cause mortality" that vaccinated-seat-belt wearers are compared against.

The COVID vaccine gave me a week of symptoms, each time. Then I got COVID, which gave me two weeks of symptoms. I should have skipped that one too.

Down's syndrome is a chromosomal abnormality that is nearly always [i]de novo[/i]. Male Down's syndrome sufferers are nearly always sterile; females are not always sterile and if they have a child they are very likely to have a Downs child. So strictly genetically, having a Down's syndrome boy is isogenic, having a Down's syndrome girl is dysgenic, and having another non-Downs child is no different than if the first Downs syndrome child didn't happen. But going a little wider, you're likely to have fewer children after a Down's child because of the massive amount of resources the Down's child takes up, so if you've got good genes, having the Down's child is dysgenic for that reason.

Measles, mumps, and rubella vaccines are really good protection, good enough that they break the chain of transmission resulting in herd immunity (which means even the people for which the vaccine failed probably won't get the disease). Diphtheria vaccine is that good too.

Flu vaccine is a joke. The vaccine gives you flu symptoms, and you often get the flu anyway.

Yeah, lots of people want an infant, very few want a Down's syndrome infant.

Overseas adoption dropped because the countries the infants were coming from made it much more difficult.

It is at least indentured servitude, at least nowadays. But with a profoundly disabled child the indenture is for life.

Agreed on this, and that aborting the fetus is the right thing to do. But expecting such restraint from an influencer is about as reasonable as expecting couth from Trump; the obnoxiousness is just the nature of the beast.

Democracy cannot work unless you can convince the loser that they lost a fair game.

Unfortunately, it also works fine if you can cheat and use force to keep the loser down.

You count all the ballots because the law says to count all the ballots, not a convenience sample, even if they could be expected to look the same. There are plausible explanations for the later ballots leaning more Democratic than earlier ones. There are no plausible explanations for them to favor Raman more than the earlier ballots.

It's fraud.

There were two Democratic candidates. Why do the mail-ins support one particular Democratic candidate to a far greater extent than the in-person ballots?

It's fraud. It's obviously fraud.

More than that, the later batches favor Bass over Raman by a far lesser margin than earlier votes did. You can't explain this by Democratic votes coming in later.

No, it says that IF New Jersey is your domicile, you can avoid being a resident for tax purposes by not maintaining a permanent home in New Jersey, maintaining a permanent home somewhere else, and spending less than 30 days in New Jersey. This would apply mostly to students and military, I think, though possibly some people on temporary job assignments -- e.g. if you take a 1-year assignment in Dubai where you rent a place to live, but intend to return to New Jersey, you might be still domiciled in New Jersey, but not a resident for tax purposes.

Since you only have one domicile at a time, it's easy to satisfy the domicile test by setting up a domicile elsewhere.

But as the wise man said: “If you did it for a good reason, you'd do it for a bad one. You couldn't say 'We're the good guys' and do bad-guy things.”

The "wise man" is, in the general case, wrong, as the case of self defense illustrates to anyone this side of the schism.

The movie/TV equivalent is having a shot that draws attention to the gun. But Chekhov's gun is more suited to very tight productions (visual equivalents of short stories or novellas rather than novels); something like a movie or especially a TV series will have many things which are not directly relevant to plot but go to characterization or setting. For instance a movie has a barfight, the barfight itself may be completely unimportant other than to demonstrate it's the kind of place where barfights occur. And certain genres rely in misdirecting the audience and will deliberately focus on unimportant-to-plot details to do so.

It's not just the slow counting. It's the composition of the later votes. In this case the early votes put Spencer in second, and matched polling results pretty well, and the late votes are much more heavily Democratic -- enough to knock him out if trends continue. Further, the number of uncounted votes has at times gone UP, substantially.

It's the same picture. That sort of "respect" and fear are in fact the same thing. People who exhibit it call it "respect" to make themselves feel better.

Too much "respect" to ever get uppity, I suspect.

Avoiding having NJ as your domicile is easy; you just establish one somewhere else. You can do that without selling your house. What bites people is when they're domiciled somewhere else but have both residential property and business reasons to come to NJ (keeping in mind going through Newark Airport is sufficient)

It does not; for one thing, it's a civil doctrine.

I have an alternate theory, that Darwin runs a school of rhetoric and we're seeing some of his students.

Sorry, no. By both temperament and training, the thing police officer find most important in interactions with citizens is in making damned sure the citizens know who is boss. And they're quick to go to physical force if the citizen gets at all uppity.