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The_Nybbler

In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.

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joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

				

User ID: 174

The_Nybbler

In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.

9 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 174

There aren’t more houses

LOLWUT? Also

About a million new privately-owned single family houses a year. Plus 600,000 other privately owned housing units.

People are angry because they are comparing themselves to the older generations, not because they are thinking in economical or technical terms.

Mostly they are comparing themselves to imaginary versions of older generations. How many millennials or zoomers include the draft, stagflation and multiple recessions, and sky-high interest rates as part of their comparison?

I know it's an unpopular position but again I urge theMotte to consider the possibility that Trump (and Trump-voters) know what they are doing.

I'm sure Trump's doing what he's doing on purpose, and MAGA supports him in it. But tariffs are still bad.

As for "cult of personality", that just gets an eyeroll. There's some of that, it comes with any charismatic politician (which is most Presidents, Gerald Ford and Bush Sr. being notable exceptions). But being lock-step with Trump really isn't a characteristic of MAGA, the biggest split being on vaccines, where Trump yielded to his base.

The German way wasn't supposed to be healthy for the Germans, though.

YouGov ran the poll under Nteta's direction:

“Hours after assuming the presidency, Donald Trump signed a string of executive orders aimed at ending the federal government’s DEI programs, policies and mandates,” says Tatishe Nteta, provost professor of political science at UMass Amherst and director of the poll.

This is the way pretty much any sort of energy thing from environmentalists goes. As long as it is expensive, small, and impractical, it's something they point to so they can claim their banning of all the good stuff won't actually leave us shivering in the dark. Once someone demonstrates the new "clean" thing can be done at scale, it's the Devil. Dams kill fish, wind kills birds, solar damages the delicate desert ecosystems (and reduces the albedo of the planet), the transmission lines for all cut off animal migration corridors, and electric cars help Bad Orange Man.

But really, Musk aligning with Trump just pushed up the timetable a bit. The idea was always to take most of the cars away, not replace them with electric ones.

Space exploration is, as is often observed, immensely more difficult given the lack of breathable air and such, but I can't help but feel that it sounds more technologically comparable with sailing the open Pacific before the Latins even moved into Italy.

There's no "there", there, though. The Polynesians were looking for more nesos where they could live, and they found them. We know what's in interplanetary space, and it's all worse than Antarctica. Interstellar space might have something but it's just too damn far away; like the Polynesians shooting for the moon.

I think part of the reason for the idea is to put pressure on Trump to back off on the tariffs.

I agree that the tariffs are bad, but that makes no real difference in whether or not it's good or bad for Trump for Amazon to point them out. If in 2021, stores started listing their prices with a line item for "recent inflation", it would be pretty clear that was an attack on Biden, even though inflation really is bad.

Occam's Razor makes no such suggestion.

You're getting lost in the details (which are mostly lies from both sides), when this is a case of simple conflict theory. Amazon thinks, correctly, that if they label the products with the tariff this will make people angry at Trump. Trump realizes this and opposes it.

It turns out it is possible for groups to make mirror-image accusations of each other, yet one group is substantially correct and the other almost-wholly wrong.

So Ukraine has been handed over to Putin in exchange for a few hotels to be named later and the US has invaded Denmark and Canada?

I still find it silly when people talk about how we should have more meritocracy but do not want to address the fact that some people are born with 1000 times more resources than others.

That is not the true objection of those who do talk about that, considering they do not sing the praises of billionaire orphans and refugees, but rather want to take from them more than they want to take from a dissolute trust-fund kid.

This is true in a basic sense that "Democrats could just repeal anything we pass", but it's not true in this context where we're talking about making things more difficult to do by unilateral executive authority.

The Dems have shown they respect the courts in at least some cases, e.g. Biden trying to ban new oil and gas leasing on federal lands, the courts striking it down, and then Biden effectively going "aw shucks guess we can't do that then".

Biden not only did not go "aw shucks", he issued another ban as a lame duck, and the Democrats assert that only Congress can reverse that.

My first impression of this is that the press release was written before the study, with some blanks filled in. And I noticed some of the odd results others noticed in the crosstabs. Hopefully the name of the author Tatishe Nteta isn't itself worthy of a ban. The linked page has his capsule bio as

My research interests lie at the intersection of the politics of race and ethnicity, public opinion, and political behavior. More specifically, my work examines the impact of changing demographics and shifts in the sociopolitical incorporation of racial minorities on the contours of American race relations, campaigns, policy preferences, and participation.

The word "intersection" seems a bit forced there, honestly; it's like he's trying to write a bio that doesn't actually show his biases while dog-whistling them loud and clear, but dog-whistling doesn't work -- that's a train whistle.

His undergraduate was in African American Studies. His name, though, he comes by non-politically; his father was lefty activist Christopher Nteta a black South African immigrant to the US.

His past work includes papers claiming to demonstrate that "racial resentment" really does measure anti-black prejudice and not just conservative belief, and that Nikki Haley lost because Republicans are sexist.

I would not consider a study authored by him to be reliable. In theory, scientific methods work regardless of who uses them. In practice, there's a lot of ways to put one's thumb on the scale.

I'm asking MAGA the question "Now that you have power, what's your plan to deal with immigration long-term, especially once Democrats retake the Presidency sometime in the future"

There is no solution to that. If you wish to exercise power, you must retain power. Your dead writings have power only in as much your opponents are willing to respect them when they are in power, and the Democrats have made it clear that in general, they are not willing to respect such writings.

With regard to your first question, the sister-in-law has a Provisional Custody by Mandate document signed by the father, which allows her to exercise most of the parental rights of the father.

If indeed he has any.

There is no identified cause (yet), but this sort of outage on such a geographically diverse scale does not usually happen by accident.

It's happened by accident at least twice in the US. 1965, 2003.

Can the father or SIL not go pick the 2 year old up from Honduras at a later date if that's what the mother and father decide they want to do?

If the father were legally in the United States, sure. It seems likely he is not, so if he leaves the country he will find it difficult to come back.

Yes, but you have to do all that FIRST, otherwise it's just who/whom.

It's a tough road to hoe, but not entirely crazy. I expect he's properly going to lose, but fortunately there are of other laws that can be used to deport TdA members (including to El Salvador, if their home country won't take them), though they require more paperwork to be done.

I think if you want to see this sort of thing simmer down, you’ll need to appease the red tribe - not just give them empty promises that’ll be rolled back the moment they aren’t watching, but actually give something up.

The problem is as soon as they violate the empty promise, they'll say "Well, we didn't make the promise with wording that absolutely forbids that" and/or "Well, the promise was with those other guys over there, not us, we're totally separate". And they can maintain this forever, and half of Red will believe them too.

The Obstructing part is problematic because what the judge did doesn't fit into anything that's actually described under the obstruction statutes. chapter 73 of the US Criminal Code has 21 sections, and while §1505 doesn't specifically define obstruction, the sections that do make references to things like destroying documents, intimidating witnesses, bribery, and suborning perjury.

After the January 6 charges, there can't possibly be any limits on "obstructing an official proceeding".

There's been tariffs, since the Democrats don't want to interrupt their opponent when he's shooting himself in the face. Also deportations, though the Supreme Court has put the kibosh on those for now. But mostly nothing that won't just be #resist'ed until he's out of office.