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ThomasdelVasto

Κύριε, ποίησόν με ὄργανον τῆς ἀγάπης σου

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joined 2025 May 20 19:37:18 UTC

Blogger, Christian convert, general strange one. https://shapesinthefog.substack.com/


				

User ID: 3709

ThomasdelVasto

Κύριε, ποίησόν με ὄργανον τῆς ἀγάπης σου

1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2025 May 20 19:37:18 UTC

					

Blogger, Christian convert, general strange one. https://shapesinthefog.substack.com/


					

User ID: 3709

Ahah this cracked me up. Great job. I sure hope we don't get AI that wants us to respect pronouns though...

95%??? What gives you such confidence? Very few presidents have actually been removed from office.

Love it! Yeah I should've known with the username I didn't even notice that hehe. Good stuff. Excellent series, tragic the way it ended tho. I do hope he writes more at some point :/

Is your flair a reference to the Dunyain?

Yeah this is kind of what I expect as well. Not gonna lie.

What Trump's policy which you consider a resounding success would be threatened by the Dems taking over Congress? They could certainly put a stop to his tariffs, thus costing every American whatever check he had promised them again. They could put a stop to his Iran adventure, but that was well within the expected outcomes from the start. They might get rid of all the cuts on social services from his Big Beautiful Bill scheduled to take place after the mid-terms, but if the GOP had been serious about cutting expenses why did they postpone these?

Yeah this is fair Trump kinda sucks. I think the big issue is a continuing slow slide into tons of immigration and increasing fiscal debt spending. But Trump didn't seriously fix either of those problems or even try it seems, so bleh. Bleak stuff, but yeah perhaps not total societal collapse.

Yeah this is kind of my feeling? Unless the Dems are willing to go nuclear.

And yeah I'm not sure how accurate the markets are, but better than polling surely?

Do you think they would actually go that far? What would be the fallout if they do?

What makes you hopeful, despite the terrible odds stacked against Republicans?

Do you think they'll actually pull the trigger on a constitutional crisis? That would be nuts.... and yeah deeply unfortunate.

Let's talk midterms. I haven't been keeping up with the races too much, but some quick research shows that Polymarket has odds for Democrats to take the House at ninety four percent and Democrats to take the Senate at seventy two percent (House market, Senate market). Apparently, the odds of a Republican sweep are down to five to seven percent (Balance of Power market).

Obviously, we can't really trust polls entirely. But I do trust the markets to be at least somewhat accurate, and so things are looking pretty horribly bad for Republicans. What are the actual implications if this happens? Because like I don't know, the second Trump term after Doge flopped, or rather, after Trump pulled back on Doge and was afraid to actually back them when it mattered. This whole term feels like kind of a mess.

What actual goals are going to be blocked by the Trump administration if the Democrats win a sweep? And I guess how much can they get done if they don't control the presidency? Or is it mainly, like, if they win the presidency in 2028 that things are gonna be bad? Walk me through the real ramifications of midterms flipping for the Democrats.

Please link me to a court case where this actually happens. I am extremely doubtful.