aqouta
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User ID: 75
aqouta
9mo ago
I Actually know someone who won badwater one year. It's a really swingy race with few participants. Much depends on who shows up for the year and who doesn't need to drop out. You train for it in a sauna and need a whole team and strategy to maintain hydration. It's a day long run at high elevation in extreme heat.
aqouta
9mo ago
endurance mostly in the ability to sweat to cool down while other less sweaty animals overheat, this is a process that might take hours on the absolute long end, not long enough to require this kind of distances. Gazelles can go something like 5 miles before needing to rest.
aqouta
9mo ago
You can see check ultra marathoner times, they aren't even close. My sister and her husband are ultra marathoners, it's so insulting to woman runners to insinuate that they're just not trying hard enough. The idea that women are choosing to use slower pace setters acts as if these really competitive athletes who spend dozens to hundreds of hours a week practicing their sport just decide they don't care enough to optimize something that's supposed to explain like 20-30% differences in times? Really?
aqouta
9mo ago
Then why doesn't the article say that?
Presumably the same reason it didn't wade into tax policy or include a pot roast recipe. It isn't an article attempting to lay out structured life advise for young people. It uses a story about some girl who made the best of a bad situation and they want to celebrate that choice without litigating a counterfactual world where she behaved better up until the point of the needing to make that choice. And then it goes on about needing to reach and inspire young people to also not get abortions. It say nothing at all about whether it was good to pregnant at 15, they're probably christian and the sex was almost certainly out of wedlock so one can presume they disapprove of it. The point is that if you find yourself in that situation they want you to keep the baby.
This is an article by pro life people speaking to pro life people, they probably expect the good faith of the reader to not assume they are encouraging something that not many encourage. Or maybe they have some other article supporting 15 year old marriages that I'm not aware of?
aqouta
9mo ago
I think calling it thott patroling is probably not going to be very helpful. We're working on a kid now, if it's a daughter I may be naive but I think I can help her understand what constitutes good behavior in her own long term interest. I was receptive to this kind of reasoning as a kid.
aqouta
9mo ago
Right, I have in the past argued that it is actually not too much to ask for young people to not have sex in high school. I just didn't want to make this a post about that argument so I gave theoretical ground.
aqouta
9mo ago
only one side is telling them the path to having a 34-year marriage is getting pregnant at 15 years old
That isn't what the words you've quoted have said. They say that is a path, not the path. Any sane pro lifer in this day and age would probably Counsel waiting until graduating high school before marrying the sweet heart and, maybe naively, they'd Counsel not having sex until then. But if you do have sex before then, and that sex does result in a pregnancy, they'd say you should not abort the pregnancy and instead raise the kid, leaning on your family and the family of the father for support in doing this which they also think should be provided.
aqouta
9mo ago
Having missiles off our shores is pretty different to having them pointed at another country that isn't a treaty ally.
aqouta
9mo ago
US doesn't go nuclear over taiwan which means china doesn't go nuclear over taiwan. They're not treaty allies.
aqouta
9mo ago
I thought it was common knowledge that computer science is a branch of mathematics. As a computer science major this wasn't really controversial. Although a find that definition of engineering lacking. Engineers build things and study how best to build things, software engineering fits this mold pretty centrally.
aqouta
10mo ago
There is currently a bit of a question of whether bluesky will be able to pull the center away from twitter/x so this fight does kind of matter. We're going to learn whether people find the right wing stuff let run wild on X more obnoxious than the left wing stuff let run wild on bluesky. How this shakes out is actually probably of substantial importance.
aqouta
10mo ago
Aella's gangbang for instance required std screening. It's just kind of one of the first things you'd think of when considering logistics for this sort of thing.
aqouta
10mo ago
The US stance on Taiwan is still strategic ambiguity, doesn't really seem like there's been a "this will never happen" bluff
aqouta
10mo ago
My understanding is that if there is a sino american war that isn't over instantly it'll be basically a stalemate. China cannot project power in any way that threatens America nor control the sea enough to do much outside of their immediate coasts and they are not surrounded by friends.
aqouta
10mo ago
Spotify is convenient and relatively cheap. With zero effort I can play music from any modern device including all of my smart TVs or anyone else's smart appliances. If I'm hosting a party and playing some music someone else with spotify on their phone can seemlessly add songs to the playlist, I do this at least once every two weeks and frequently more often than that. The enhanced shuffle where I can throw a dozen songs into a playlist and it'll find other songs that fit into the playlist is genuinely useful for discovery. on my desktop spotify client I can control the music for my bigger sound system used on the 7.1 setup I have across the room. There's just lots and lots of uses and it's very inexpensive.
aqouta
10mo ago
I live in downtown Chicago and this does not reflect my experience. It's less that you need to be in an excessively exclusive area, just avoid the very bad areas. People actively want to live in several of the downtown clusters, especially in their youth. We'll probably move out to the burbs when we have out kid of school age for the better schools, not because we fear the area.
aqouta
10mo ago
This would be a problem if every hospital was already a teaching hospital, but that is not the case.
aqouta
10mo ago
My empathy for trans people is precisely why I find the entire phenomenon so impossible to look away from. I can find in myself some ability to reason myself into what they're claiming to be going through. I can imagine myself as a kid, not particularly popular and with plenty of angst, deciding that what is really wrong with me is my gender identity and clamping down on that idea. I am privileged to know what not doing that results in and it's a good life where I get over my angst. I fear for people who might trap themselves in a false understanding of the world that will lead them to living much worse lives than they could have led.
I know that memes are powerful enough to do this people. Memes can bend people into myrters, Jihadists, self immolators kamikaze pilots, and many other forms in service of the meme. Maybe the framing where I'm cis by default is true and they really are experiencing some extra sense that I am blind to. But I know, absolutely know, that given the right circumstances growing up I could have been made to think I was feeling that sense. I know, absolutely know, that if I had convinced myself of it I would be stubborn enough to cement it into my identity. Because of this I know that there is a boy somewhere that is going to sacrifice his health and exceptionally happy future to chase being a mere mimic of a woman. I see myself in him, I recognize that for the grace of god go I, and that breaks my heart.
aqouta
10mo ago
Sick of the bots and echo chamber that X has become
It's very easy to make your X feed not like this. block or mute a dozen or so accounts and the algorithm mostly takes care of you. You get more of what you interact with so if you're arguing with right wingers you'll see more right wingers. Every time I look at the profile of someone who complains about this sort of thing I always find pages and pages of arguments with the people they're complaining about also that they're following tons of people with pages and pages of arguments with the people they're talking about. It's so obvious to see too, go on X and reply to one of the China shill accounts, you will very quickly start seeing tons of them. I'm convinced most of the calls of people who think X has changed since Musk took over are really just seeing that the algorithm is no longer suppressing right wing accounts that they were used to "dunking" on and are getting the adjustments that were normal to suck you into any other group on X.
Alright, I'll bite.
- 85% chance he gets most loop holes closed. 70% he makes the lives of illegal residents on average worse in some measurable way. 50% chance we get some wide spread e-verify leading to lots of self deportations. 40% chance net migration(new arrivals - deportation of any sort) is negative over his term. 10% chance anything that actually looks like wide spread forced deportation of Illegal immigrants that aren't breaking non-immigration related laws.
- 25% only because I don't think the bar for largest in history is really that large and just sending known criminals back might qualify.
- 25% chance only because I think he won't really do the tariff thing and I'm going to be super lenient on what counts as lower inflation. If he means deflation and intends to do the tariffs then more like 2%.
- Aren't we already basically there? Near there? This site seems to think China leads us by a bit in total MTOE "Million tons of oil equivalent" which seems like something we can't really reverse easily. Maybe if AI goes super big and the data centers live in the US and we produce a bunch of nuclear to run them in 10 years but I don't think we would even really want to put that much effort into this. 20% chance and it'd probably be a mistake to make this a goal.
- Depends on what the definition of this is. I could certainly see us bringing more production home in automated factories, I don't think it'd be the win for the middle class people expect it to be. Not sure how to formalize this into a prediction. 70% chance our net trade balance goes up? Almost impossible to do this while fighting inflation.
- 60% on tax cuts for the middle class entirely paid for by deficit spending. I don't know about the no tax on tips thing, it's a really quite bad idea. Get ready to be basically required to tip for everything. Bonuses will be renamed tips.
- 85% only because Trump himself is a litigious goblin man who obviously doesn't care about freedom of speech but for the branding.
- World war three doesn't happen 98%. Peace in the middle easy 10%, almost nothing to do with Trump but he would take credit. Iron Eagle dome 3%, doesn't even really make sense and the attempt is responsible for a lot of the 2% chance ww3 happens, undermining MAD is BAD.
- Don't know what this means really.
- Don't know how to make this a prediction. There isn't really a migrant crime epidemic. He might do something with Mexico to fight the cartels but I doubt it would succeed, don't know how to make it into a prediction though.
aqouta
11mo ago
One reason polling and prediction markets pre-election are interesting is that you can see reactions to the politics being preformed before our eyes. When Trump does the McDonald's thing the context of whether this hurt or helped him in the polls is actually very interesting and says something about the American voter. When dems drop Biden and put up Kamala the trajectory of the polls is interesting. Who 'won' the debate does appear to have an answer and the poll swing shows it.
aqouta
11mo ago
I'm personally giga device banned from reddit. Even with updating an IP and spoofing several finger printing things and going in with a VPN any account I create has every post auto hidden and the password to the account doesn't work to log in. Almost certainly for /r/drama related posting though. Things like that were becoming more common.
aqouta
11mo ago
Sure but like, at that point the bios passwords aren't really necessary right? We're talking about a level of access and familiarity with the system that makes this look like having a partial print of your home's key for a team that is totally capable of just removing your door form its hinges.
It's a meta level up, it's giving advice to kids, it's giving advice to parents and some larger vague community. The difference between and article meant to be read by teachers and students.
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