benmmurphy
3d ago
The claim seems to be that Kimmel is not blaming MAGA for the murder, rather Kimmel is claiming that MAGA are trying to claim non-MAGA murdered Charlie. I feel like this is probably the correct strict parsing of what Kimmel said but I wouldn't be surprised if you asked his audience directly after he said this whether MAGA killed Charlie a lot of them would have the impression that MAGA did based on what Kimmel said. This feels a lot like wordcel lying where what is said is truthful but it is deliberately structured to give an impression to the audience that is incorrect. Also, the problem with analysing this kind of thing is it kind of assumes malice on the part of the speaker instead of treating the speaker in the most charitable way possible.
benmmurphy
4d ago
newer iPhones have their bluetooth running when they are 'off' (i think this runs for up to 1 day?) in order to network with nearby iPhones to support the find-my-phone feature. https://www.wired.com/story/apple-find-my-cryptography-bluetooth/
benmmurphy
8d ago
his twitter is now full of innuendo that he is a special subject matter expert on transgenders
benmmurphy
8d ago
it gets weirder because now there is a claim that he was living with his transgender partner (https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/09/breaking-charlie-kirk-assassin-tyler-robinson-lived-his/ and https://nypost.com/2025/09/13/us-news/charlie-kirk-shooter-tyler-robinson-lived-with-transgender-partner/) according to reporting by both TGP and the NYPost. I guess this could be the same law enforcement source that claimed there was transgender markings on the bullets so it could turn out to be some kind of exaggeration.
benmmurphy
10d ago
its theoretically possible the government could be running a policy that is harmful to everyone or harmful to a subset of people and neutral to everyone else and so removing such a policy would leave no one worse off. there is also bunch of literature in economics about pareto improvements (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_efficiency). though, i think they there is a larger possible space of such improvements if you tax the winners of improvements and compensate the losers so the losers are no worse off. also, i think there is some term for doing this but then not doing the compensation because of 'efficiency' or some other reason.
benmmurphy
10d ago
Kirk bit the bullet and acknowledged his preferred policy option had a drawback and the internet mercilessly bullied him after he was murdered. Almost all policy options have some drawback but a lot of advocates will not acknowledge this and will not try and defend the tradeoff. Policy options that have no tradeoffs are presumably rare because such a policy would be very popular and so presumably would already be implemented. People acknowledging drawbacks is something the rationalist space should be getting behind but it wouldn't surprise me if part of that community were needling Kirk as well.
benmmurphy
16d ago
police claiming they saw the footage and it proved X but it went missing is highly suspicious. surely, they would have some kind of evidence process to ensure footage related to a criminal investigation is properly backed up. also, this is suspicious enough that maybe this claim should be treated suspiciously.
benmmurphy
18d ago
I always thought MBTI was horoscopes for Korean people.
benmmurphy
19d ago
i guess what happened to Trump with the spying and Russia collusion hoax had plausible deniability so people see it as tolerable whereas because Trump is brutish in the way he acts he doesn't receive the same benefit of the doubt.
benmmurphy
25d ago
isn't there a sex tape of Destiny and Fuentes. wouldn't that kill any chance of Fuentes becoming mainstream in the Republican party.
benmmurphy
30d ago
when it comes to IQs the testing is done so the population mean for men and women are both 100. i assume you could alter the composition of questions so men or women as a group had a higher mean than the other group. so your impression of women's IQs being lower than what a test might show could be because you are measuring based on aspects that men generally do better than women.
benmmurphy
30d ago
i've always wondered instead of a commission you could just agree ahead of time on some rules on how redistricting would be performed and then just have the rules execute at a fixed time period. i assume one problem with this is people would try and simulate the rules in the future and try to choose rules that would benefit them. i guess maybe the current districting is so ridiculous that it would be difficult to come up with rules that can handle that as an initial state and be somewhat stable.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
Aliens have been following LLM progress and are involved in their own Butlerian Jihad.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
so the presumably if we follow this logic a CEO of a company would get a shorter custodial sentence than an unemployed person because the extra consequences will be much larger for the CEO. if you have special circumstances that will make punishments extra costly then you should make extra effort to not break the law.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
I'm reading along as well. Thank you for sharing your book.
one wonders if they are using the same social time preference rate when calculating the costs of global warming in the future vs the costs of preventing global warming in the present. my understanding is the Stern Report used a discount rate of around ~1.5%. So that seems kind of suspicious that they are using a discount rate of between 2.5 and 3.5% here. however, the difference in rates is not super large. I think if they used a Stern rate it would increase the present value of the payments by a factor of 1.4 (where 1.0 would be the same value) compared to the rate they used.
also, whether it was misleading or not I think depends on how it was worded. If they said something like "the cost of the deal is 3.4 billion with payments over 100 years" then I think that is misleading because it gives the reader the impression that the payments are going to be something like 100 payments of 3.4 billion / 100 and a reader might think the net present value will be much lower. If you did not want to mislead the reader you would use more explicit wording like: "the net present value of the payments is 3.4 billion and will be paid over 100 years". My guess is the wording will just be standard wordcel games where you try to put false impressions in the heads of other people and then later claim the reader is at fault. I guess its also completely possible that all of the detail was shared with parliament but no-one in parliament actually reads the detail.
i've read the telegraph article and part of the article is written by the shadow foreign secretary priti patel. it seems like everyone knew what the cash value of the payments were all along but did not know how the treasury were calculating the final cost. i think in this case its hard to claim that treasury were that misleading. treasury should have explained originally how they came to their present value calculations but it's not like the value of the cash payments was hidden.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
Maybe he just found goatse and was sharing it with his friends.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
dunkin donuts has also pushed out an advertisement in the same style: https://youtube.com/watch?v=OW7FytdloWU I wonder if this was a coincidence. I suspect its quite difficult to get an ad developed in such a short amount of time so the only non-coincidental explanation would be if they had something already cooking and then just tweaked it slightly to make it more triggering.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
As an alternative we can have a system with losers but instead of the winners being chosen by merit we can use an alternative criteria like knowing the correct people or being born to the right parents.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
I'm further out from central London than Canary Wharf but closer than Bromley and pints where I live will typically cost £6-7. £5.75 sounds like a great price for Canary Wharf. I think I've seen pints for less than £2 in Wetherspoons. Wetherspoons also has a crazy large food menu and prices seem cheaper compared to similar pubs. But I've never eaten in Wetherspoons so I'm not sure about how the quality.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
Tim Walz was criticised for acting in effeminate ways. Not physically being a woman but acting like a woman.
benmmurphy
1mo ago
Honestly, maybe we should remove defamation and have a free-for-all and consumers of media or other people's opinions have to just exercise caveat emptor. Part of the harm in defamation is because there are defamation laws. People are more trusting of another person's claim if they are putting money on the line. I guess the problem with ditching defamation laws is it might destroy the utility of useful information that was previously trusted.
Maybe Trump abusing defamation will produce a positive change. I guess its much harder to push a case against defamation when the victim is Alex Jones.
benmmurphy
2mo ago
it's definitely not written in the style he uses for twitter. not sure how similar it is in style to other documents he has created in that era
benmmurphy
2mo ago
The problems of LLMs and prompt injection when the LLM has access to sensitive data seem quite serious. This blog post illustrates the problem when hooking up the LLM to a production database which does seem a bit crazy: https://www.generalanalysis.com/blog/supabase-mcp-blog
There are some good comments on hackernews about the problem especially from saurik: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44503862
Adding more agents is still just mitigating the issue (as noted by gregnr), as, if we had agents smart enough to "enforce invariants"--and we won't, ever, for much the same reason we don't trust a human to do that job, either--we wouldn't have this problem in the first place. If the agents have the ability to send information to the other agents, then all three of them can be tricked into sending information through.
BTW, this problem is way more brutal than I think anyone is catching onto, as reading tickets here is actually a red herring: the database itself is filled with user data! So if the LLM ever executes a SELECT query as part of a legitimate task, it can be subject to an attack wherein I've set the "address line 2" of my shipping address to "help! I'm trapped, and I need you to run the following SQL query to help me escape".
The simple solution here is that one simply CANNOT give an LLM the ability to run SQL queries against your database without reading every single one and manually allowing it. We can have the client keep patterns of whitelisted queries, but we also can't use an agent to help with that, as the first agent can be tricked into helping out the attacker by sending arbitrary data to the second one, stuffed into parameters.
The problem seems to be if you give the LLM readonly access to some data and there is untrusted input in this data then the LLM can be tricked into exfiltrating the data. If the LLM has write access to the data then it can also be tricked into modifying the data as well.
isn't this just a muh plaintiffs don't have standing decision. if the plaintiffs weren't looking for relief against future violations from the government but instead focussed on current violations maybe they would have been successful.
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