benmmurphy
1yr ago
I'm secretly hoping for Trump to be elected while being in State custody. What actually happens in the situation? Do Federal Marshals show up at the prison demanding Trump's release?
benmmurphy
2yr ago
https://www.twitch.tv/watchmeforever a seinfeld spinoff hosted on twitch that is produced by AI (originally the davinci model) was banned after it made jokes referencing transgender people. weirdly the joke seemed to be making fun of comedians making fun of transgender people but i guess using the word transgender in standup comedy is a third rail that cannot be touched.
https://livestreamfails.com/clip/150015
"anyone have any suggestions
i'm thinking about doing a bit about how being transgender is actually a mental illness
or how all liberals are secretly gay and want to impose their will on everyone
or something about how transgender people are ruining the fabric of society
but no one is laughing, so i'm going to stop
thanks for coming out tonight --"
benmmurphy
1yr ago
The federal case against Trump seems to boil down to if you challenge an election then you have to be correct or you are going to jail. That doesn't seem to be a good precedent to set. He is being prosecuted for things that are entirely legal and people have done before in the past and have not been prosecuted for.
benmmurphy
5mo ago
Would it be possible to have an AI containment thread where all the people who want to experiment with AI discussion can do so without effecting the rest of the site?
benmmurphy
6mo ago
it feels weird because this the whole point of 'disparate impact' decisions from the courts in the past. apparently, some groups were coming up with proxies to derive their desired racial preferences instead of using explicit discrimination but now Harvard and other universities are doing exactly that and its magically ok. its even more messed up because i'm pretty sure i've seen them make statements into the public record saying this was exactly what they were planning to do.
benmmurphy
9mo ago
It doesn't just work once but it imposes an ongoing cost to your enemies operations to avoid the same thing happening again.
benmmurphy
1yr ago
Israel has been in a stalemate situation with Palestine for a long time. One has to wonder why Israel has not been able to impose their will on Palestine even though they are the superior State and they have the backing of the global hegemon. However, maybe this stalemate is a feature of the incentives. Imagine you are a US congress critter and there are companies in your state that are supplying weapons to Israel as part of the US->Israel defence aid. If the Palestinian question was resolved then a bunch of people in your district may no longer be employed making weapons. Is this is a possibility? Are congress critters actually intelligent or machiavellian enough to carry out this policy. People assume the current situation is a result of 'commies' in the state department but maybe its because of 'capitalists' in the state department.
benmmurphy
1yr ago
the BBC were reporting about how Trump was breaking norms with his conviction. like he was the one that was acting rather than the one being acted upon.
benmmurphy
6mo ago
i feel like rotherham is just the same shit as the catholic church but no-one actually learned the lesson of the catholic church. if people are doing bad stuff then you need to stop them from doing bad stuff. preserving the 'institution' or some other higher value is just some scam the bad people are using to convince you to continue letting them to do the bad stuff.
benmmurphy
6mo ago
is it possible to just stagger your purchases over a sufficiently long time period or have a large number of properties that have a legitimate need for ammonium nitrate then just start stockpiling surplus or use a combination of the above.
benmmurphy
1yr ago
name a lion on a sheet of paper
what does that mean? is there a picture of a lion and you can call it simba? i feel like i'm going to fail the dementia test.
benmmurphy
1yr ago
the problem is if they do kill trump then you can't vote for him. you will probably just end up accidentally voting for an establishment candidate in the end even if you try your best not to.
benmmurphy
8mo ago
The motte is the more extreme version of slatestarcodex/astralcodexten. Vance is not based enough to hang out here. He probably hangs out with the normies in the slatestarcodex comments or that other weird vbulletin forum. What you would really hope is Vance is that guy that keeps posting on the reddit split off asking where everyone else is.
his latest defence is FTX didn't have a bank account so customers were transferring money to Alemeda and then OOPSY DAISY the money was never transferred from Alemeda to FTX. (https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23462333/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-cryptocurrency-effective-altruism-crypto-bahamas-philanthropy) I'm not sure how that covers all the deposits because presumably you could transfer crypto as well.
there is a bunch of interesting DMS between the reporter and SBF including this:
REPORTER: you were really good about talking about ethics, for someone who kind of saw it all as a game with winners and losers
SBF: hehe
SBF: i had to be
SBF: it's what reputations are made of, to some extent
SBF: I feel bad by those who get fucked by it
SBF: by this dumb game we woke westerners play where we say all the right shibboleths and so everyone likes us
benmmurphy
1yr ago
I think the court wants to avoid the courts being used to prosecute the previous President whenever a new President is elected. Many parts of the executive and the judiciary enjoy some form of immunity from the law when carrying out their duties. If you treated the executive purely as normal citizens I think government would become non-functional. I suspect maybe Libertarians would advocate for this but I don't think it would have mainstream support. For example if the executive enforces a law that is latter found to be unconstitutional but has arrested people for violating the law if we treated the executive as normal citizens then surely the executive should face justice for false imprisonment.
benmmurphy
1yr ago
That article claimed Russia was openly waiting for Ukraine fatigue to set in but never provided any evidence to back this statement. Funnily enough the author of the article seems to be the disinformation Mary Poppins.
benmmurphy
8mo ago
Polymarket are now effectively running a death lottery on Trump. Also, the odds seem really good for the 'Trump will not be President' wager considering what happened this year. It was around 1/200 when I looked. 4 sitting Presidents of 46 have been killed so far. the historical odds is something like 4/46 * 2/50 of being killed in a 2 month window if we include November to January before certification. so about 1/280, so purely on historical odds alone its not a good bet but if you think Trump is significantly more likely than average then those odds start to look interesting.
how does the federal government ban abortion? that seems beyond their power. i presume the FDA can ban / regulate abortion drugs but the FDA doesn't have the power to regulate surgical procedures. but it looks like commerce clause strikes again. just mention the magic words 'affecting interstate commerce' and the federal government can regulate anything. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gonzales_v._Carhart
(a) Any physician who, in or affecting interstate or foreign commerce, knowingly performs a partial-birth abortion and thereby kills a human fetus shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than 2 years, or both. This subsection does not apply to a partial-birth abortion that is necessary to save the life of a mother whose life is endangered by a physical disorder, physical illness, or physical injury, including a life-endangering physical condition caused by or arising from the pregnancy itself. This subsection takes effect 1 day after the enactment.
the other hilarious thing is if they argued against the federal government having the power to regulate abortion they would have been probably more likely to succeed given the make up of the court.
benmmurphy
8mo ago
It would be crazy if this is just some long term strategy by the FBI to make themselves look good. Each year they publish juiced figures that the media can gush over then later on they retract the juiced figures. Retracting the juiced figures is necessary because otherwise each year the FBI would have to make progressively larger adjustments until juicing was no longer feasible.
benmmurphy
1yr ago
There is a nice culture war troll angle with some parts of the Rust programming language community being associated with leftist political drama. Rust is a popular safe language that solves most memory safety issues and some thread safety issues. I can see someone authoring a bait piece about taking my 'freedumb' to use C++ from my cold dead hands and forcing me to use communist Rust.
benmmurphy
1yr ago
It will also be interesting to see what happens to Couy Griffin (https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/feb/17/new-mexico-insurrectionist-fourteenth-amendment). I think these courts making 14th amendment decisions are screwed up. If there is either federal or state law that makes certain things a crime and punishment for that crime is that you lose the ability to hold office then I think that's fine. But courts making these decisions without a proper criminal trial with the opportunity for a jury and proper standards of evidence is broken. If you have a friendly judge you can basically remove someone from office for attending a protest where they have committed trespassing crimes.
benmmurphy
3mo ago
this is one of those things that surely can't be true because it requires a vast conspiracy to suppress the truth
benmmurphy
4mo ago
the UK are now organising a coalition of the willing so maybe there are countries that want to do more than virtue signalling. also, maybe Trump is a genius and is capable of getting other people to do his bidding because they consider him an evil oracle and they believe they can do good by doing the opposite of Trump. similar to the inverse cramer index. but i guess similar to smart is not the opposite of stupid, good is not the opposite of evil.
benmmurphy
5mo ago
its crazy that Amazon is getting the blame. i think the primary agent responsible here is Alex. but if there is a third party to blame I think the schools should bear a little. the tax payer shells out good money to fund the school system and i feel like they are not doing a good job in instilling proper values into young children. the state has a lot of control over kids. they should really be propagandising them to not do this kind of shit. it could even be the state is doing the opposite and propagandising them into hating society which i don't think is very productive.
The anti-immigration argument expressed in this post seems too strong. It seems to be along the lines of if there is any kind of downside from immigration then immigration is bad. But I don't think this is a realistic benchmark for any government policy. The positives have to be weighed against the negatives. Maybe certain classes of immigrants are net-negative and a better immigration policy would be able to discriminate against these people but I don't think the UK is at the point where all immigration is net-negative.
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