birb_cromble
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User ID: 3236
birb_cromble
6mo ago
It's also possible he bought a solvent trap off eBay.
birb_cromble
6mo ago
Expect to see more private security
I'm placing a prediction that the shooter will end up being private security, and possibly recently fired private security at that.
To shoot this man the way the perpetrator did, you'd need to have:
- Familiarity with the area
- Some knowledge of the victim's travel plans and schedule. (While investment info could do this, firsthand knowledge seems simpler)
- Firearms training sufficient to clear multiple malfunctions
- Some measure of physical fitness to haul ass to central park
- A rough idea of where cops and cameras are
- Enough know how to either build a suppressor or buy parts for one in the gray market
Somebody with all those qualifications in New York City seems like they would cluster somewhere around law enforcement, private security, or extreme /k/-type autists, and /k/ommandos generally aren't in shape and don't go outside.
birb_cromble
6mo ago
When you say "homemade", do you mean the general case of "didn't buy it from a licensed FFL"?
The paranoid part of me assumes this is going to be one of those "totally a solvent trap" models that you can buy on AliExpress.
birb_cromble
6mo ago
I can't drive down twenty miles of highway without seeing a nurses wanted sign, usually with a prominent signing bonus advertised as well. Maybe it's a regional thing?
birb_cromble
6mo ago
I wish that infographic could include population change on the z-axis, in addition to the voting change.
I live in an extremely blue enclave of an extremely red region, and one thing I've seen is that all the aspiring PMCs move as close to the blue enclave as they can manage, or they flee to the DC/Baltimore/Philly/NYC megalopolis, never to be seen again.
birb_cromble
7mo ago
What can I do.
The best thing I ever did was accept that it was happening, hit the gym, and embrace it.
birb_cromble
7mo ago
It makes sense when you think about it. The elites in the capital have already made it; they have nothing to prove.
The plebians in the provences, however, must express sufficient zeal to be above suspicion.
birb_cromble
7mo ago
further demonstrating that Fuentes is controlled opposition.
While this seems highly likely to anybody who looks at Fuentes' past stances and actions for more than five minutes, has anyone found any tangible proof of this fact yet?
birb_cromble
7mo ago
I appreciate you taking the time to expand on your reasoning. Thank you.
birb_cromble
7mo ago
can't say how I'd react when put into a similar position
Would you have threatened the livelihood of 100,000,000 citizens unless they submitted to an unconstitutional mandate that abrogated their right to bodily autonomy? Even after massive concerns from multiple constitutional scholars?
If so, could you elaborate on that a little?
birb_cromble
7mo ago
My personal prediction is a 270-268 Harris win, with the Democrats taking PA and all three great lakes states by ~1% in each case.
This is not a policy election. It's a GOTV and political ratfucking election, and the DNC has massive operational edge in both.
This is a low confidence prediction.
CNN just hot-dropped multiple battleground state polls showing Harris with a +6 lead.
Since polymarket mostly trails polls, it makes sense.
birb_cromble
7mo ago
That's an interesting concept. When you say important, do you mean narratively important, culturally important, or something else?
birb_cromble
7mo ago
The list of ships is some of the most rambling verse I've ever read.
birb_cromble
8mo ago
Silver needle white tea is fantastic, if you're still looking for recommendations.
birb_cromble
8mo ago
If you had a time machine and could go back in time and shoot Hitler in the head to save six million Holocaust victims, would you?
Would you travel back in time and detonate a bomb to kill Hitler, if it meant you also killed 1,000 civilians in the blast?
If you had a time machine and could kill Hitler by not repairing a bridge before he could evacuate before an allied strike, if it meant another 100,000 civilians died in the assault, and another 50,000 starved in the aftermath?
The media and the DNC has been saying Trump is Hitler for close to a decade now. I'm sure you can do the math.
birb_cromble
8mo ago
The only thing I can say is that I think I expected him to have a stronger accent.
birb_cromble
8mo ago
I am fairly interested in politics and I have even read Vance's book
I've never heard him speak before last night.
I don't watch TV news or listen to talk radio, so that probably explains it.
birb_cromble
8mo ago
Way ahead of you. I've got a 24 pack of five hour energy sitting in my trunk.
birb_cromble
8mo ago
What mitigations can you enact if you know that you have an unavoidable stretch of sleep deprivation and intense physical exertion coming in the near future? I'd like to avoid doing anything that would run a afoul of US federal law, but otherwise I'm pretty open to suggestions.
birb_cromble
8mo ago
This is like staring into tear through the fabric of space and time and catching a glimpse of an alternate reality for me.
Can you elaborate a little?
birb_cromble
8mo ago
That's an interesting comparison. Did any US politician or public servant face meaningful repercussions for flouting their own policies? Newsom is listed below as another example, and is being feted as a future president.
Pennsylvania mail-in ballots with flawed dates on envelopes can be thrown out, court rules
The state’s high court ruled on procedural grounds, saying a lower court that found the mandate unenforceable should not have taken up the case because it did not draw in the election boards in all 67 counties. Counties administer the nuts and bolts of elections in Pennsylvania, but the left-leaning groups that filed the case only sued two of them, Philadelphia and Allegheny counties.
This came up when the lower court issued their opinion a few weeks ago. I remember several commentators asking if the fact that it was only filed in two counties was going to have a material impact in the outcome. It looks like it did.
For those of you who leaned one way or the other, how does this impact your future predictions?
On a more specific note - @Rov_Scam, you had some fairly extensive commentary on this case that was interesting and insightful due to your profession. If you have time, would you mind chiming in with an update?
birb_cromble
8mo ago
Gavin Newsom was criticized for this exact thing in 2020.
Newsom was involved in Molly-fueled orgies? I missed that one in all the other noise.
What's peculiar to me is that he ended up in Altoona PA, of all places.
For those of you who aren't familiar with central PA, there's a big-ass mountain range that runs diagonally across the state. Large portions of it are taken up by state and national forests, and even the parts that aren't tend to be sparsely populated without much in the way of paved roads.
There isn't really a good way to get from NYC to Altoona. You either have to drive 45-60 minutes north from the turnpike, drive 45-60 minutes south from interstate 80, or you have to wind your way through miles and miles of land so rustic and bleak that it has been used more than once as a shooting location for post apocalyptic horror movies.
I've stopped at that McDonald's on my way North before. It's not bad so far as fast food goes, but not worth going to jail over it. Why stop and eat inside, rather than hitting the drive through or even carry out? Why hold on to the fake ID? Why hold on to the murder weapon? Why hold on to the silencer? Why carry a manifesto on your person? It almost seems like getting caught was a personal choice.
But if getting caught was a choice, why Altoona? Why not Bellefonte or Bedford? Why keep driving to Altoona? It's very odd.
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