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cjet79


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 04 19:49:03 UTC

Anarcho Capitalist on moral grounds

Libertarian Minarchist on economic grounds

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User ID: 124

cjet79


				
				
				

				
11 followers   follows 1 user   joined 2022 September 04 19:49:03 UTC

					

Anarcho Capitalist on moral grounds

Libertarian Minarchist on economic grounds


					

User ID: 124

Verified Email

These are good reasons why the US and China might not ban it. But an uninvolved third country could still have leverage. The US and China wouldn't have to lose face, they'd just say "oh well, this crazy third country really thinks this stuff is dangerous, we don't, but trade is more important to us, so we'll cave to their demands."

Certain GMO crops have been effectively banned because Europe doesn't like them. And that seems like a much bigger political lift than banning GOF research.

There are lots of semi-existing levers that nation states or medical orgs could use. They could just dumbly pretend that any city with a bio lab is the equivalent of a place with an active prion disease. They could just maintain COVID era quarantine policies for anyone visiting countries/cities with a bio lab. Those cities would become no-go zones for tourists, food exports, and casual business travel. That would at least force these labs out of big cities and into rural areas with no agriculture.

I think it would be relatively easy for any European country to single-handedly ban GOF research worldwide. They just have to:

  1. Care about doing it in the first place. (no one seems to)
  2. Be unreasonable assholes about it. Don't let the scientists say "oh how about you allow us to have the labs if we follow all the right safety protocols, and we will be extra careful to check up on things". The answer is no, you already had your chance for safety protocols, and you gave us a worldwide pandemic.
  3. Get personal. Write laws banning anyone from working on this stuff, regardless of where they are in the world. Charge any scientist involved internationally in the research as criminals in your own country. Offer to drop charges and extradition requests only if they leave the field entirely.

These are all countries I think might be able to do it alone, but if any two or three of them teamed up it would definitely happen: UK, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, South Africa, Israel, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Mexico, Brazil, India, Singapore, Egypt or Panama. I keep thinking of more that might have just enough political capital to pull it off. They really don't need much, the interest group that cares about keeping these labs open is tiny and not very powerful. They've just lucked into a situation where the host country can't be the first one to ban them without losing a lot of face. But I doubt leaders in the US or China like having their reputation held hostage by a bunch of virologists, so they are only allies of convenience.

Beyond the basics its hard to give advice on gaming dating platforms, especially since I haven't used one in almost a decade. I used dating apps for 3 or 4 years, and ultimately I met my wife in person (and snubbed a potential online match to go hangout with my now wife on a sort of first date).

Dating is probably anti-intuitive in the same way that the stock market is. Once enough people figure out "this one weird trick" then it stops working because everyone else adjusts to it.

Some attempt at gaming advice:

  1. Pay-to-win. I would suggest that if you are well off you should be willing to spend money on dating apps or pay for a match-maker. Dating apps became a second full time job for me when I was using them, and that was only to achieve mediocre results of a date every other month or so. My time was more valuable than that, and I should have just shelled out some cash for better results.
  2. Keep Practicing. There is a point where researching how to win at the meta of a game will yield less results than just going and playing the game to get better. Human brains are generally designed to go and do stuff and then learn to do those things better. Cavemen didn't read treatises on how to hunt, they followed their fathers and older brothers out into the wild and hunted.
  3. Find good teammates. Learn from others. Have friends that are single and looking. Have friends that are no longer single. Having photos with friends is a good sign because having friends is a good thing.
  4. The pros do things for a reason. Don't just signal the nice things, remember to be the nice things. Being attractive is a sign of many things that one would want in a mate: personal hygiene, social awareness (fashion/clothes to make you look good), and personal health. Similar with having friends, or having money, or being happy.

This stuff seems indefensible.

Even if you only assume a 1% chance that COVID was a lab leak that is around 10 thousand people dead from that type of research.

It would probably only take one big country to take a hard-line stance on this to end it, since hardly anyone other than virology researchers actually benefit from the research. Even a middle weight economy country like UK could probably say "we are going to have trade sanctions against anyone that conducts this research" and that might be enough.

It would take far less effort than something like the Kyoto agreement.

Again, I am probably the wrong person to be talking to, I don't really think Epps is an undercover agent. I don't think the FBI or CIA instigated jan 6th. I think it happened somewhat organically, and then the media blew what happened way out of proportion.

I think Arjin summed it up well. Basically Alex Jones isn't a comparable example. I don't know if someone else is.

I'm not really sure on the whole original argument to begin with. Was Jan 6th instigated by intelligence agencies to create a false flag scenario? Probably not, seems like it was done too poorly. I think some actual lawmakers would have died if the FBI or CIA was really behind it and trying to sell it.

I instead think most of the hulabaloo around Jan 6th is media manufactured outrage. Most of the security footage from that day shows very boring stuff happen. There are like a few dozen tapes out of tens of thousands that show something approaching violence. One protestor was shot. 6 other people died of heart attacks. It delayed Trumps transition of power by day. It was largely a ceremonial event anyways. I know that's not the discussion you came here to have, so I only had my limited objection to the Alex Jones comparison.

He was just the first person that came to mind who seemed more-or-less comparable to Epps along the "whip up crowd to head to the Capitol" axis.

Why did he come to mind, I'd call that intuition.

This is the only video I could find, and only by adding "Joe Rogan" to my search terms which is apparently an alternate tag for "original video". In the video Alex Jones is telling people to avoid a confrontation with Police, and to march to the other side. He is a hundred or more feet away from the capitol building.

Mostly you can know that Alex Jones had zero involvement, because there is no footage of him having any involvement. If there was anything remotely implicating him it would have been blasted on every news channel. Your vague intuition of "Alex Jones would do something like this" is the exact same intuition as the people that put that intuition there in the first place. If they could have fed it, they would have.

Its also part of my continuing frustration with the state of the world. Common perception has diverged massively. You have the intuition that Alex Jones would do something. I have the intuition that Alex Jones would be set up and blamed for doing that thing while being totally innocent. The evidence for your intuition is easily findable in a bunch of second hand news sources that all vaguely hint in that direction, without ever saying enough to get hit with a slander lawsuit. The evidence for my intuition is buried and nearly impossible to find despite it being something I heard on the most listened to podcast series in the world.

Is there video of Alex Jones telling people to enter the capitol? I thought there was opposite video evidence, of him saying "don't enter it's a trap".

Search engines are fucking useless these days. I can find hundreds of second hand descriptions from "reputable" news sources, but it's nearly impossible to find the first hand video evidence.

I remember Alex Jones in a video interview. Saying what I described in the first paragraph and then I remember looking it up and confirming it at the time with video evidence. But it's seemingly impossible to retrace steps.

too lazy to go shopping themselves and they end up paying a premium for it.

This is explicitly why we like the meal kits. Reduces the amount of shopping we need to do. And yes we pay a premium over doing our own shopping, but from experience we actually just order out more rather than shop more. So it still saves us money.

I feel like I can cook pretty decently. I'm not going to be impressing anyone with my foods, but I can follow just about any recipe we've had a Hello Fresh subscription for a while now. I can sometimes come up with my own creations. A few days ago I made a Quiche that turned out pretty well. The crust I made low carb by using Keto flour. Added Bacon and Sauteed Onions to it, because that was the spare stuff I had in the fridge that fit with a quiche.

I got an air fryer for Christmas, which has been pretty fun. Looking forward to roasting some veggies with it.

Teamwork is the main way they'll punch above their weight class.

I was also not gonna have the traditional hero / villain split that most superhero settings go with. More of a city vs city type model. And civilians are the resource they are fighting over. Your local city you protect, and other cities you attack and make life miserable for civilians, or kidnap/steal their stuff in an attempt to bribe them over to your city. Since there are factions the fights are typically dozens of speedsters. The speedster energy is limited on a personal basis and can take days to recharge, so defenders and attackers want to only use just enough speedster energy to accomplish their objectives.

Those are some fun ones. The mitochondria users I had in mind as the very top of the speedster hierarchy, since they basically have all of the other powers.

There was also some thought that there could be multiple cell types calling upon the speedster powers. A muscle and nerve user would look pretty similar to a traditional speedster.

It also did a thing where it tried to level out all the various cell types and powers, I wasn't planning on doing that. I was thinking there are very clear hierarchies of power. With some cell types being entirely useless, or even anti-helpful. Like sperm users that are basically just dangerously successful at reproduction.

More of a fantasy angle. But I like rules and limitations to power systems. Not sure if that counts as soft sci-fi.

There is bleed over for the "speed power". Its more that a specific cell type is regulating the use of the speed power, rather than the only thing being effected by it. Skin is one of the easier examples I'd thought of. Skin gets hit by something, the skin in that area can call on the speed power and be locally sped up so that the force of the impact is dissipated over a longer time period. So a bullet traveling 2,500mph with a time differential of 100x would hit the skin like a bullet traveling at 25mph. If it was literally just the skin cells it wouldn't really save anyone, it would just preserve a patch of skin on the surface while the force of the bullet travels through to the underlying flesh and does a bunch of damage anyways. So there is bleed over in the speed power. Anything that needs to get sped up by the skin can get sped up. There was also going to be some mechanism that intelligently applies the power without input from humans.

  1. Erythrocyte Envoys: Superheroes with the power of red blood cells, allowing them to enhance their oxygen-carrying capacity, providing incredible endurance and stamina.
  2. Leukocyte Guardians: Heroes with white blood cell powers might have the ability to rapidly heal injuries, resist diseases, and even manipulate their immune system for various effects.
  3. Neural Navigators: Speedsters with the abilities of neurons could control and manipulate their perception of time, enabling them to process information at incredible speeds and react lightning-fast to situations.
  4. Myocyte Velocity: Muscle cell-powered heroes could possess immense physical strength and super-speed, making them formidable combatants and rescuers.
  5. Epidermal Shields: Superheroes with skin cell-based powers might have near-invulnerability and the ability to heal rapidly, making them nearly indestructible.
  6. Adipose Accelerators: Fat cell-powered heroes could manipulate their energy reserves, granting them bursts of incredible speed and strength when needed.
  7. Osteocyte Defenders: Bone cell-powered characters might have super-dense and unbreakable bones, making them unyielding in battles.
  8. Hepatic Harmonizers: Heroes with liver cell abilities could detoxify poisons or chemicals, and possibly generate energy bursts.
  9. Cardiovascular Commanders: Those with heart cell powers could control their heart rate to achieve bursts of super-speed and heightened physical performance.
  10. Pancreatic Precision: Superheroes with pancreatic cell powers could regulate their blood sugar levels, granting them precise control over their energy and metabolism.
  11. Reproductive Resonators: Characters with reproductive cell abilities might have unique powers related to creating and controlling life.

Some of their ideas were similar to mine. I'd also thought of similar things for "Epidermal Shields", "Neural Navigators", "Myocyte Velocity", and "Leukocyte Guardians". I had slightly different ideas in mind for red blood cells, and had an idea of bone marrow as regenerative types.

I also didn't fully explain to the AI how I imagined the superpowers working.

That is useful to know where the AI helps and where it doesn't. I forget, do you tag your story as AI assisted on royal road?

What use are super conductors? If they are used in computing and they'll drop the price of computation then Bitcoin or other computation limited cryptocurrencies could be a good idea.

I was kicking around a story idea for a super hero setting where all powers are based on speedster type powers. I went to ChatGPT to flesh out the idea a little, and get a condensed list of human cell types. I was originally going to have the list of cell types and then work out how the speedster powers applied to those cell types, but then I just went one prompt further and had ChatGPT do it for me. And I maybe accidentally ruined the whole exercise for myself. I realized I was basically outsourcing the fun part of creative writing and world-building. ChatGPT also did a good job at what I asked it to do, that its hard not to use it.

I also have an old story I wrote and never finished. I've been thinking about feeding the story into ChatGPT and seeing if it can drastically clean it up and then finish the story.

I've actually watched a ton of Action Lab as well. Damn that describes him as well.

I think I enjoy watching action lab a little more since its a bit more scripted and end result oriented. But I learn more about the process of science with NileRed videos.

I don't think fully fake CP should be illegal. But it is very distasteful.

I recently got more of an appreciation for the difficulty of material sciences because I was watching a YouTube channel of a chemist trying to make purple gold (a gold and aluminum alloy). https://youtube.com/watch?v=d6Pcp944sRI?si=DDwlYOfvMRViAWSk (warning: the video creator has some annoying conversational ticks, turns out of you want oddly detailed science videos you might not get the most charismatic presenters).

A good portion of the video is him trying to read and understand a paper and figure out what he should be doing for his process. But by the end of the video I think his video is a better presentation of what you need to make purple gold than the academic paper written on the topic.

This makes me think that the format of scientific papers is a bit outdated. I wonder how many questions in material sciences could be resolved by scientists just recording and talking through their experiments.

I know videos are sometimes now included with papers. I hope that trend continues.

It's weird to see those mods all listed together. If I'm reading them right some are nude mods for Hogwarts legacy, and since the characters in that game are generally in highschool, that makes the mods CP. They are listed alongside mods for other games that basically just swap out pride flags. One thing is not like the other.

The moderator team is small enough that ratios of views barely matter.

1 vs 3 just feels very different from 100 vs 300.

Zorba is also still ultimate dictator. He is happy with where things are so you don't notice him. If he was not happy you'd probably notice.

Hlynka was a mod at one point, probably the farthest "right" that any moderator on this forum has been. I think hlynka would call your ethnic thinking leftist. He was always a very controversial mod. I think the controversy was more because of his personality than his opinions.

We routinely have to mod posters that we agree with, for saying things in a way that breaks the rules. Some mods find this difficult. I find it easy, because I don't like seeing my positions ineptly defended. So don't be too quick to think that viewpoint alignment with a moderator is always going to help your case. Hlynka most often butted heads with other right wingers.

Yeah it's not uncommon for me to have to ban people I agree with for saying things in an uncharitable way.

There are legal reasons why the US has so many female sports leagues. There is a law requiring colleges to have equal treatment of men and women, and one of those requirements has said you need an equal number of female sports scholarships.

Is there a right to "win at sports" that you are defending? This doesn't really seem like the same level of importance as gay marriage. I was also never one to say that about gay marriage. My stance has been and still is that the state should never have been involved in approving marriages. The original purpose of that was to prevent mixed race couples.

You seem certain that trans people aren't winning a bunch in the female leagues, so can't they also just lose in the male leagues?

I'm just looking at history on these types of fights and saying 'lets hedge towards giving the people the rights they want so long as we don't see any clear harm in doing so'.

I'd say the harm is a lesser or possibly equivalent version of just eliminating women's leagues altogether. Depends on entry requirements. The most permissive entry requirements would be the same as just eliminating the women's leagues. Super super strict entry requirements would make the harm non-existent, but probably only at the point where they are banning most trans athletes anyways.

My post was full of proposed mechanisms that are directional, towards trans athletes being worse than cis male athletes.

Yet you've also spent a bunch of time denying the existence of directional effects that point to trans athletes being better than female athletes. You accept directional evidence when it suits you and deny it when it suits you. This is isolated demands for rigor.

I could also make up directional effects for why trans athletes might be better than cis gendered male athletes. The experience of being trans might give them more grit, having a trans community could give them a better support structure than most individual male athletes, and the increased awareness of their bodies might make them better at body awareness sports. The magnitude of these directional effects is about as well studied as the directional effects you mentioned. And I could again follow your line of arguments and say that without the win/loss ratio study we can't possibly know how things actually shake out.

Its not strictly taking away anyone's rights. As far as I know these athletes are still allowed to compete on the male side of the sport. If you object that obviously they aren't competitive, then I could point to everything you've argued above and flip the argument on its head. Has the exact study you want been done on the male side of things? If not, you have an isolated demand for rigor.

Part of why I don't care very much about this issue, is I'd be fine with the ending of gender separated sports. Tough shit if women can't compete, the world ain't fair. I say that with daughters who will very likely compete in high school and possibly college sports competitions. Still don't care. I understand I have a minority view on that point, and if you want to have female sports it makes sense to actually try and preserve them.

We have a study. It shows trans people have a physical advantage. Physical abilities, much like mental abilities, are almost always a package deal. Just like knowledge tests can have g-loading, physical tests have an equivalent. It's why training camps for both baseball and American football often have athletes doing the same exercises for very different sports.

And this study doesn't move your needle at all?

If that's the case I just don't get the sense that a study would convince you, or anyone else really. Which is fine, I don't think I'd be convinced either by a study showing the opposite result. I would just find it too strange.

My argument doesn't hinge on the population average because that's not where competitive athletes are drawn from. It hinges on the positive tail of the distribution, which is why a lower population having a lower range of outliers is central to the argument.

The study wasn't about the population average? The participants were people in the Air Force. Which is going to be a subset of generally more athletic people. But I've seen your objection elsewhere it's not the exact subset you claim matters. But then we come back to my seatbelt denier analogy. You can make the exact subset so tiny and specific that no study will ever convince you.

It looks like you are pretty busy in this thread. I'd say prioritize responding to anyone else over me. I mostly care not at all about this topic, it just happened to be at the top of the culture war thread today.