dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
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User ID: 583
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
2d ago
Well, if the amount of electricity being generated from fossil fuels is going down
I'm wrong in a worse way. Fossil fuel based generation is not merely being held constant while renewables provide the added demand (still a climate change bad case), but fossil fuel consumption increased as well.
Global total energy supply rose from 592.2 exajoules in 2024 to 600.3 exajoules in 2025, an increase of about 1.4%, according to Forbes contributor Robert Rapier's analysis of the Statistical Review data. Renewables grew nearly 10% in percentage terms, an impressive pace by any measure. But in absolute volume, renewables added roughly 3.2 exajoules while total demand grew by approximately 8.1 exajoules.
What's your definition of solved by 2030? Aren't there something like 2 billion cars on the planet. Won't it be ~10 years to end of life half of those cars? While we continue to mostly replace them with ICE cars (albeit in smaller proportion). I'm just not understanding how we get to solved by 2030. More like 2045, in this aspect, if EV growth continues through the happy scenario.
Also are renewables significantly reducing the amount of absolute energy that's being produced from fossil fuels, or is it simply supporting new energy demand? One could imagine we do a great job of making more and more of the grid renewable/green energy but still blow our carbon budget because the fossil fuel generation that got us into this situation is being supplemented rather than retired.
I look at atmospheric CO2 concentration and I don't see the line doing anything but going up and to the right.
I came across a "Keyport" at DEFCON a few years ago and have been fully converted.
It's a customizable Swiss army knife.
The way I use it is to turn my handful of house keys, a Yubikey, and a Moca tool (all purpose low profile bottle/box opener/measure that gets through airport security) into a compact carry. I've also added a slim USB thumb drive that I can use to boot a Linux live image or show anyone a DVD rip of Hackers in a clutch situation.
They have a wide variety of fun attachments.
I just think of mine as a kind of universal access device.
Rewrites are something LLMs appear to excel at. I've done a few already and the results have been amazing. Simple stuff like rewrite one off Python scripts in C++ so they use 1/10th the space and time to larger 'port this ancient codebase to Rust' stuff have all been fruitful. The fact that there's no library for whatever doesn't matter, the LLM can just bang one out in any other language.
They work well when there's an existing battery of unit tests but even in spots where the coverage has been weak, sitting down with the LLM and contriving tests to gain confidence has been a real unlock.
It begins to suggest the code itself is not really the value. The value is in the specs, the protocols, the tests, the API. Everything in between can get conjured up as needed.
I've seen some really obnoxious slop submitted to open source projects and I get the kneejerk backlash, but as a maintainer myself I start to get annoyed when people open issues that an LLM could have solved immediately.
At the minimum, I'm going to start keeping offline backups and if any system in my purview needs a reboot to complete a security update I'm going configure it to text me.
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