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dr_analog

top 1% of underdog fetishists

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joined 2022 September 05 14:10:31 UTC
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User ID: 583

dr_analog

top 1% of underdog fetishists

4 followers   follows 1 user   joined 2022 September 05 14:10:31 UTC

					

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User ID: 583

Verified Email

So. Why can't the US just get bored of blowing stuff up, declare mission accomplished and then leave without resolving the SOH?

Is Iran going to impose a permanent toll on the SOH anyway? Are they actually able to do this long term? Why didn't they figure this out until this month? Presumably they should have done this all along?

Something doesn't quite add up.

If this goes on longer, the environment lobby should be really happy. There should be quite a significant drop in fossil fuel use globally. Definitely better than the effort that goes into doing Earth Day. Reminds me of Genghis Khan and being the "greenest invader" in history.

Trump: warrior for climate justice

Is SWIY's trip over yet?

Which psychedelic did your friend do?

Wait I fucked up the percentage math. I thought "20-50 out of 1000, that feels like the right number. oh but he wanted a percent that's 0.2-0.5% right?"

I meant 2-5%

Bah!

My q: How many professional, actively managed funds beat their benchmark index over the course of 15-20 years? Guess at a percentage/range.

My guess is 0.2% to 0.5%

Best explanation!

One Billion Jews

Recently, Gad Saad was on the Joe Rogan Experience and he asked the host how many Jews he thought there were. Rogan responded one billion, or 500 million minimum, conservative estimate. There are in fact about 20 million Jews. Rogan was off by a factor of 25.

Ha ha. But to be fair if you're not used to doing Fermi estimates you can get tripped up like this.

I asked Claude to challenge me on some that I might be similarly dumb about but I've spent enough time in this kind of community that all of the low hanging fruit, like murder rate in the US or percentage of federal budget that goes to foreign aid has been picked.

The ones that busted me hardest were estimating the age of Proto Indo European (less than 10,000 years old, I guessed 100k) and the number of spoken languages in the world (about 7000, I guessed 1000). I guess I don't feel too embarrassed about not knowing those. And I still wasn't 25x off.

I ask you, fellow Mottizens, do you have facts that we should all know that would probably punk us if we tried to estimate? Tip: you can make something a spoiler by surrounding it with two | characters on each side (check the preview).

Sure, but you can do things to change what peer pool they have access to to draw friends from and can take steps to minimize what proportion of them will be druggists. But even at good schools full of kids from high SES homes you still have almost all of them on devices with social-crack apps.

Thanks, yeah that's what I was getting at. Basically, for the device that's just to assist with piano, only give him a user (meaning non-admin account), only have one application that can launch (Chrome), have it force enable (and not allow disabling) one particular extension that I DIY coded (via claude), which only allows loading that one web site and only allow embedding that piano instructor's YouTube videos and does not allow playing any other videos.

Re: the ???

  1. It'd be a Linux laptop, so I'd customize the desktop environment to be more like a kiosk that only allows Chrome
  2. I'd tap into groupware functionality in Chrome so that the admin (me) can force enable/prevent disabling the vibe coded extension

Again this is for the online piano lessons assisting device. I think it's absolutely ridiculous that I have to do this. I don't even want a relationship with YouTube but the piano course guy chose it and this is what we have to resort to. It's a shame because his course is otherwise excellent.

I find your comment rude and not generous and am mostly going to disregard it.

My kid loves piano and gets a lot of value out of the online lessons and he does them at his own pace whenever he wants. The problem and the point is the tablet, which is just to help with piano, is a distraction machine by default and tech-media seems happy with that and I have to exert considerable resources to change that.

Yes I could do a lot of things. The videos are integrated into the web site so there's written parts and video parts that need to be next to each other to not be frustrating with, say, scripting yt-dlp to download all of the allowed videos to a folder that he has to switch to and find and run.

Anyway, I'm an ex Google engineer and I'm just saying it's not trivial to work around the viral and distracting content being jammed at him from every direction. It's a lot worse than me being on the internet unsupervised when I was a kid.

And I also would sooner find her parents more responsible for letting her be on screens all day than the social media platforms themselves.

The fucking problem with this shit is even if you don't let your kids have a smartphone with social media apps, if you send them to school, every single friend of theirs does and they use these social apps to communicate and bond and if your kid is the weirdo without one they feel unable to function socially and hate you every day for restricting them.

I have an extremely hard time keeping this stuff away from my kid even though we're homeschooling. He does an online piano course from his tablet sitting above his keyboard. The course web site embeds YouTube video content. He's repeatedly had trouble just sticking to the course and I've had to ratchet up parental controls to the point where each video he watches has to be approved by me now. They just won't let you program YouTube to say "only show and allow this kid this piano guy's channel", nothing else

I'm on the third parental control regime at this point. Next thing to try is to replace his tablet with a locked down laptop where he can only run a pre installed web browser that force enables a vibe coded extension.