dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
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User ID: 583
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
5d ago
Well, if the amount of electricity being generated from fossil fuels is going down
I'm wrong in a worse way. Fossil fuel based generation is not merely being held constant while renewables provide the added demand (still a climate change bad case), but fossil fuel consumption increased as well.
Global total energy supply rose from 592.2 exajoules in 2024 to 600.3 exajoules in 2025, an increase of about 1.4%, according to Forbes contributor Robert Rapier's analysis of the Statistical Review data. Renewables grew nearly 10% in percentage terms, an impressive pace by any measure. But in absolute volume, renewables added roughly 3.2 exajoules while total demand grew by approximately 8.1 exajoules.
What's your definition of solved by 2030? Aren't there something like 2 billion cars on the planet. Won't it be ~10 years to end of life half of those cars? While we continue to mostly replace them with ICE cars (albeit in smaller proportion). I'm just not understanding how we get to solved by 2030. More like 2045, in this aspect, if EV growth continues through the happy scenario.
Also are renewables significantly reducing the amount of absolute energy that's being produced from fossil fuels, or is it simply supporting new energy demand? One could imagine we do a great job of making more and more of the grid renewable/green energy but still blow our carbon budget because the fossil fuel generation that got us into this situation is being supplemented rather than retired.
I look at atmospheric CO2 concentration and I don't see the line doing anything but going up and to the right.
At the minimum, I'm going to start keeping offline backups and if any system in my purview needs a reboot to complete a security update I'm going configure it to text me.
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