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dr_analog

top 1% of underdog fetishists

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joined 2022 September 05 14:10:31 UTC
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User ID: 583

dr_analog

top 1% of underdog fetishists

4 followers   follows 1 user   joined 2022 September 05 14:10:31 UTC

					

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User ID: 583

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IMO these companies would benefit from having shareholders with very long-term focused horizons like governments.

It's not too unusual in Europe for strategic companies like Airbus and VW to have this.

As a guy, my experience is also that nobody actually wants men to show their real emotions, least of all publicly. Male anger or horniness is scary. Crying or anxiety is pathetic.

Generally true, but I note pop music with lyrics by men isn't a complete disaster, surprisingly. Gangster rap has high appeal even though it's men expressing anger and horniness, for example.

I wouldn't call most of it positive or anything but it's a fun time.

ha, honest mistake

Okay so, talking to the worst people in the world all day? Yeah I could see that driving me to drink. I'd probably have to just start treating people like holograms to protect my sanity after awhile

What did you think criminal defense would be like?

Novo Nordisk's glory days are behind them

It's true more people are waking up to GLP-1s, but there's more competition in the pipeline than ever, In my view, Novo and Eli seem awfully close to getting into a price war.

Also, the rest of the planet is nowhere near as lucrative as the US and the US might be close to tapped out. There's also attacks on the patent regime (might be lost in Canada which might be a backdoor into the US) and also the borders seem quite porous to gray market sources entering the country. Why not? The same Asian labs that produce it for Novo/Eli can just do additional shadow runs and ship directly to US dealers. It's the same money for them but 10% of the cost for US consumers.

The future looks bright if you're a fatty. Not so great if you're pharma. It's actually a bit alarming, since even with GLP-1 boom the pharma industry has plummeting ROI https://www.cremieux.xyz/i/163939433/preclinical-prioritization

So actually, open carry is legal in my blue state but I specifically went out and got a CHL because I didn't want to wear it openly in the off-chance other hikers might see it since I'm sure they would think they almost died.

Of course given my luck I'd get prosecuted for concealing a handgun if I didn't bother to get the CHL, so here we are.

The real salt of the Earth guy teaching the CHL licensing class thought this was kind of gay.

What's specifically stressful about it? Aren't you just, like, talking to people and billing hours?

I could imagine being forced to care about people you don't care about can wear on you. But make you an alcoholic? Isn't the point of training and experience so you can autopilot most of the time?

Are you talking about being a corporate attorney?

I'm still convinced that veganism isn't harmful for performance, at least in endurance sports.

I was strictly vegan for 11 years. The whole food plant based kind. I lost a lot of weight at first and then started gaining. I was running and lifting 3x a week so I was confused about the weight gain. I wasn't beer belly fat but I was pretty sure it didn't seem like typical muscle gains. My doctor wasn't sure, he said I looked like a muscular guy but we still ordered a DEXA scan.

My DEXA said I was 31% body fat!

More alarmingly it said my bone density z-score was -2.0 (!!)

That meant 97.7% of my age and sex adjusted peers had higher bone density than me.

Was that caused by 11 years of strict veganism? I don't know but I was totally convinced to experiment after that. I went omni after that and started drinking whey protein shakes. I noticed right off the bat I put muscle on almost immediately. Like over the next 3-4 months I felt my arms and legs get tighter in my clothes and started racking up PRs in deadlifts and squats and bench press.

But more importantly, repeated DEXA scans every year showed a recovery in z-score. From -2.0 to -1.3 to -1.0 this year. I'm still low, but it at least shows I'm gradually rebuilding bone density and also losing it less quickly than my peer group now. Whew.

This is obviously not rigorous but to be a fairly active vegan dude and have such a terrible z-score, like worse than what the median fucking American has who doesn't do any health related thing at all, it's hard not to finger the drastic dietary delta with the median American as the cause.

I'm about 75% of the way through wiring TRON helmet bike LEDs and the second joint I soldered together is already kind of janky and the connection now winks in and out as I wiggle the LED strips. Either my first few joints just sucked but it'll get better as I finish or I need to give up on this approach and use those bulky connectors kits after all.

Previous discussion of my possibly-too-jank method so far here https://www.themotte.org/post/2271/tinker-tuesday-for-july-22-2025/349091?context=8#context

Index funds are hard to beat in terms of returns intersecting with zero thinking required. If you think you might enjoy a kinda rude but accurate quant's rationalization for index funds you can watch this.

Did you read the effortpost? At this time Epstein's known victims were 18+ish girls who willingly sought him out to fuck him for money. He doesn't sound like a good person but I can see how it might be hard to get the legal system fully fired up over this. Seemed like the feds couldn't even convince themselves to get involved, understandably.

Also, third paragraph in my reply. My own friend was not a well-connected celebrity and had the softest jail experience imaginable. He was poor, but what he had going for him was that he was likable and not dysfunctionally insane and his crime didn't fit neatly into reprehensible crimes like murder or assault with a deadly weapon.

I think it is an error to believe the legal system will by default inflict the appropriate amount of suffering fit for a crime, especially if the accused has any shred of sympathy and resists at all levels and can pull the right strings.

What do you mean that prison? I'm certain they're all alike because they all have the same incentives.

Epstein is like the 1 in 10,000,000 prisoner that society didn't want to wind up dead in his prison cell with no surveillance.

It's not unlimited, but two cameras going out, and two guards taking a nap simultaneously, is pretty impressive, no?

It's only impressive if the base rate is cameras have 99.999% uptime and guards never ever sleep through shifts.

What if cameras being in a general state of disrepair and guards routinely falsifying records because "they didn't see nothing"
is the norm and you generally never know because usually this huge gap in accountability never counts against, and in fact is to the benefit of the corrections officers?

I admire your willingness to deep dive. I mostly accept the government's account of the Epstein story because I'm a normalfag and also I'm not going to put in anywhere near the effort required (like you did) to form an opinion on this. There's just no alpha in trying to figure out what actually happened given the work involved, and absent that, going with the government's explanation is probably a good heuristic.

What can one learn about how to get away with serious crimes from this? Perhaps, obviously, hire extremely competent well-connected bulldog attorneys? Because actually the government kind of sucks, and leaves a lot of stones unturned, and exists in a political economy with finite resources and competing interests and you can make life extremely annoying for them?

A friend of mine, who did not have any money at all and had a public defender the whole time, eventually arranged for a work release from a county jail where he'd spend 12 hours a day at a strip club and smoked weed managing their web site for minimum wage. He was just really gregarious and met lots of people inside and outside of jail. So my assumption already is if you're not stupid and not utterly reprehensible you can make going to jail a lot more comfortable than you'd think from cop dramas.

I admit personally I'm relatively skeptical of therapy in general. As I understand it, it doesn't really matter what therapeutic method you use the result are about the same, so probably most of the benefit comes from just having someone you can vent to who is empathetic, and won't judge or get bored.

What do you think of as therapy?

From time to time I ask Chat something like "my kid did this to his younger sister, even though he knows it's wrong and we've told him 100x what the consequences will be, what's the standard psychology take for what's going on?" or "my wife seems to get really frustrated by my not bringing the dishes up after I'm done with dinner even though I do it 9/10 times and when I don't it's because I got distracted; we split a ton of the housework so it's not like I loaf all day and she knows it, what are the top theories of mind around why she's losing her shit"

I find it more helpful than not.

The US has given similar amount in aid to Egypt. Both use the money to immediately buy American weapons. At least Israel operates in tight lockstep with the American military. What does the US get by sending money to Egypt ?

Surely this would be worth a few theories on how the Pharaoh's PAC owns the US government but nope. Zilch.

#1, #2 and #3 are technically feasible and only require coordinating a small number of companies with server side mechanisms, but it's vulnerable to whistleblowing.

At least until the 2020s the employees at Google would have revolted if they found insidious spyware like that. Not sure how it would go in 2025...

#4 would be challenging to do en masse without the infosec community noticing.

If you're willing to go full tinfoil hat you can greatly increase inconvenience to yourself to mitigate the first 3. Naomi Brockwell's YouTube channel is a fairly high quality resource.

https://youtube.com/@NaomiBrockwellTV

What's currently the most cost-effective and practical method of getting ahold of Ozempic/whatever weight-loss drug in the US without a diabetes diagnosis?

You should learn how to buy the freeze-dried peptides directly from gray market sources and constitute them yourself in vials with bacteriostatic water and use an insulin syringe to inject it. There are Telegram groups where people get together and test the gray market sources, usually organized by the gray market source itself.

Most cost-effective: this comes to about $60/month if you buy a one year supply of the drug and related materials.

Most practical: because you can just get everything delivered and don't need to manage a prescription via a doctor, though it takes a bit of research. It's not as idiot-proof though so you could mis-dose yourself, but if you're sane and can do basic math and trust a friend to double-check your work you should be 100% fine.

If you don't have a diabetes diagnosis but can convince your doctor to write you a prescription for it anyway (since it is approved for weight loss as "Wegovy"), you can expect to pay about $350-500/month by buying it ("Zepbound") from Eli Lily direct. You still have to fill and inject yourself with syringes though.

Extremely absurdly niche genres/mediums that you can't train an AI on because there's no prior art is my guess of where to look.

Thankfully the pedo rings don't in fact exist. Hopefully Rightists will grow more comfortable in saying so. Epstein conspiracism is not only wrong on the facts, it's a pointless political dead-end.

I don't think you can conclude this.

It's a pointless political dead-end because it can't ever be adjudicated. At best you can say the epistemic commons are so poisoned on the issue that Epstein Files is now 9/11 Conspiracy is now JFK Conspiracy. No majority will believe any explanation, no matter how bipartisan the committee and how much evidence gets dumped.

In sumo, can steroids give you an edge? Does anyone do steroids? Any scandals?

Arguably the most luddite guy here busts out a PR to fix a minor site annoyance in a matter of hours. Incredible.

voluptuous

I don't really know anything about her but I finally watched some of these ads. Goddamn. This is spot on. She's not like, supermodel hot but she does come across as extremely approachable and fun to be around which makes it 10/10.

My favorite one is this ASMR(!) version: https://youtube.com/watch?v=g3jeFzrFllM?si=0H7zCswwtKLSLfPT

Since we talk about tattoos here from time to time I thought it would be amusing to link to the story about this man who has face tattoos is unable to pass the photo verification checks.

https://needtoknow.co.uk/2025/07/30/britains-most-tattooed-man-claims-he-is-unable-to-watch-prn-as-new-age-check-system-mistakes-his-ink-for-a-mask/

It's also implied that they didn't copy the data files from the DVR, but rather played them on their terminal and used a screen recorder app to create the video file that they ultimately used in what they distributed. Why? Probably they couldn't figure out how to access the raw data file.

So probably they began playing the first day, started recording, then it reached the end and they didn't notice for a few minutes so they just had black screen or desktop background at the end, which they had to trim off.

For the second day they could start and hit record it at the same time and could stop recording when they felt they had enough boring part after the commotion of finding his dead body was over.

This is consistent with my beliefs about how normies working in government would struggle with computers.