meduka
2mo ago
I suppose I'm just not enough of a lawcuck to understand why this is being blown up into such an ordeal. The guy is an El Salvadorean citizen, was not in the US legally, and could have been deported to any country (besides El Salvadore) and then, from there, immediately deported again to El Salvadore and this would have somehow been fine. But because some braindead or politically captured bureaucrat rubber stamped his paperwork where he claimed he'd be in danger if he returned to his own country they granted a targeted stay of deportation, which precipitated this entire clusterfuck.
The guy was married to a US citizen ("Jennifer Vasquez Sura", okay...) who had filed a restraining order against him. Not exactly Elite Human Capital. The wife had two children from a previous relationship who are "disabled". Garcia's own child is also "disabled". This context is supposed to engender some kind of sympathy, I suspect, but as someone who actually interacts with people of this socioeconomic strata I am more inclined to believe they were scamming government benefits, and the wife's current PR blitz is a consequence of her smelling blood in the water chasing a fat legal payout.
I will freely concede that it would be alarming if the Trump administration deployed this "strategy" to consign innocent American citizens to a third world gulag without legal recourse or due process, but I don't think Trump is "based" enough to do that. (No, the off-hand comment he made to Bukele about sending "homegrowns" does not count, as it was clearly about -- legally -- sending convicted criminals to serve out their sentences more cheaply than can be done domestically.) This attempt to force the executive to (presumably, temporarily) return one particular illegal comes across as political theater and legal chicanery. Frankly I'm hoping Trump makes a show of retrieving Garcia on Air Force One, landing in the US for a photo op, then clasping him in chains and loading him back on the plane, to dump him in Argentina or somewhere else -- from where he'll be repatriated straight into El Salvadore's "black site prison", hopefully for life.
There was some minor procedural error, therefore we must make an elaborate show of correcting it, at great expense, to achieve an outcome that will immediately collapse back to the current status quo. This is your brain on legalism.
meduka
2yr ago
I was watching a streamer play the Japanese dub and the voice is normal there, so the only "tell" that the character is intended to be trans is that they're just kind of masculine and ugly.
Trans characters in general seem rather difficult to just toss in for extra inclusivity points. As you mentioned, the aspiration of most trans women is to be indistinguishable from an actual biological woman, not clearly identifiable as some weird third neither-man-nor-woman thing that disgusts normies. But if you include a trans character that obviously passes, then you need to be really hamfisted with the dialogue to make sure whoever's playing understands that yes, this character is trans and it's still likely they'll miss it. So if you want to inject your political views and make sure they actually get across you need to make it obvious through e.g., voice or appearance.
There is a dark humor here, where apparently even in Harry Potter's world of magic and wonders, trans women still look and sound like men in dresses. I don't know that I'd be happy with this depiction if I was a trans activist.
meduka
10mo ago
Abortion is probably the major break between the "dissident" right and the traditional mainstream socially conservative/fundamentalist right. Despite considerable overlap on most other policy positions, abortion is a serious wedge issue. My take is that abortion is almost universally eugenic: even outside obvious cases like screened-for genetic diseases, you can just look at abortion rates by race. (From Vox: Out of 629,898 abortions reported to the CDC for 2019, Black women accounted for 38.4 percent of them. By comparison, white women made up 33.4 percent of those abortions.) What percent of aborted children would ever become net taxpayers, had they not been aborted? Given that abortions are correlated with low socioeconomic status, promiscuity, high time preference, and a whole slate of other negative things, many of which are heritable, my suspicion is the number is quite low.
When your political enemies are sacrificing their children to Baal, I don't know that trying to stop them is a winning long-term strategy. Ironically this particular savior complex pattern matches well to the self-destructive white guilt that characterizes much of the left. Any moral system that insists you have some obligation to black crack babies across the country is trivially extendible to cover unfortunates all across the world and I suspect there's cognitive dissonance in not doing so.
meduka
9mo ago
It's gotten really, really bad lately. I visited my family in Nova Scotia over the summer and I was just completely stunned at how utterly the demographics of my small rural hometown had changed, even over just the last decade. I'm not exaggerating when I say that every service worker I interacted with was Indian, Pakistani, or some other flavor of subcontinental. This in a town of ~4000 that was 97% white in 2001. Both of the local pizza joints which I fondly remember from my childhood have been sold to immigrants and the staff completely replaced. I haven't really looked into it, but as I understand it most of these workers are not strictly immigrants, they're there on some kind of education visa that allows them to work (and allegedly businesses are subsidized for hiring them -- not sure how accurate that is, but it's what locals are claiming.) There have always been "temporary foreign workers" involved in agriculture but the recent changes are just categorically different. (Professionals such as doctors and other medical specialists have also been mostly sourced from India for a while, but there were generally fewer complaints about that.)
Property prices have also increased commensurately, but none of the homeowners I spoke with felt particularly "enriched" because the increase is basically global and even if they cashed out there's nowhere else to move to. Some own lakeside cottages that they plan to retreat to; most aren't so lucky.
The mood is generally quite dour. I don't think anyone expected such a rapid demographic change was even possible, and it doesn't seem like something they can vote their way out of.
meduka
11mo ago
So if we're playing the blame game, we have to ask about UK culture at least to some degree. That's why I bring up assimilation. You can't just ignore it.
This is not really an argument I think the pro-immigration side wants to be making: if even a second-generation immigrant raised-in-Britain can't assimilate (an uncharitable HBD-pilled poster might phrase it as "being unable to overcome his genes") then it's an indicator that there might be a deeper issue with the UK's immigration policies. First Google result suggests 10k-15k Rwandans in the UK (https://publications.iom.int/system/files/pdf/mapping-the-rwandan-diaspora-in-the-uk.pdf), and while I don't know the rate of stabbing sprees among native white Britons, my suspicion is that this incident alone places Rwandans well above the base rate. Giving the surprisingly helpful "List of mass stabbings in the United Kingdom" Wikipedia article a quick look (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mass_stabbings_in_the_United_Kingdom), the perpetrators for the 2020s are:
- Axel Rudakubana, the aforementioned second generation Rwandan immigrant;
- Kahiri Saadallah, a Libyan refugee;
- Badreddin Abadlla Adam, a Sudanese asylum seeker;
- "Jamall Walters, 18, Daneaco Reid, 19, Romeo Daley, 18, and a 17-year-old boy, who cannot be named for legal reasons", 3 black teens and a fourth whose race I couldn't find;
- Damien Bendall, a white British man;
- Joshua Jacques, a black British cannabis user;
- Charlie Ellins, a white British man;
- Jake Hill, a white British man;
- Valdo Calocane, a black migrant born in Guinea-Bissau;
- Marcus Arduini Monzo, a Spanish-Brazilian national;
- Jaydon Brown and Brandon Brown, black British brothers;
- Zephaniah McLeod, a schizophrenic black British man;
n.b.: If the news article didn't mention nationality or immigration status, I assumed they were British. Now, I'm no noticer, and the Wikipedia article that I cribbed these cases from does state that it is an "incomplete list", so I'm not going to generalize. Nonetheless, if you're going to assert that we have to "ask about UK culture" then it is perhaps worth considering the demographics of these perpetrators and how reflective they are of "UK culture".
meduka
8mo ago
With Harris shaping up to receive 10-15 million fewer votes than Biden in 2020, has anyone here updated with regards to the chance of fraud in 2020? This graph is floating around Twitter: https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1854144250562429081
Is Harris truly so unpopular that 15 million Democrats just stayed home? Or was the overwhelming shift to mail-in ballots in 2020 the key to Biden's victory, giving barely motivated Dems an opportunity to fill in a ballot and mail it out rather than drag themselves to the polls? Republicans in several swing states managed to pass legislation tightening voting laws -- maybe that helped? Or is America simply not ready for a woman president (much less a "black" woman president)?
meduka
1mo ago
The fallacy here is the assumption that in the counterfactual world where DOGE didn't cut these positions, the death toll would be (greatly?) reduced. The very blurb you quote suggests that in the best case a full time overnight forecaster provides a few minutes of heads-up via the emergency alert system. NOAA reports around 50-100 fatalities from tornados per year, with some outliers during extreme weather conditions. If we see an enduring spike in fatalities through 2025 and into 2026 and 2027, that would be evidence for your hypothesis. As of now, I'd say it's too early to tell.
How many deaths would there have been in Kentucky if there weren't Weather Service cuts? It seems impossible to know for sure. I couldn't find any information on whether an emergency alert was sent out in Kentucky (though I didn't look very hard) but if one wanted to make a case for these cut positions being important (rather than just accepting a statement from the Weather Service union) you'd want to dig up some data regarding how many tornados are "typically" caught -- and how quickly -- pre and post cuts to quantify the effectiveness of these local overnight forecaster positions.
I'm strongly anti-safetyist. The optimal number of yearly tornado deaths is not zero. The government could obviously reduce tornado deaths to zero if this outcome was prioritized at all costs. We acknowledge that there are diminishing returns and don't invest the resources to drive tornado deaths to zero. It seems extremely unlikely to me that the current resource distribution is optimal, though plausibly it's in a local minimum and moving out of it will cause some amount of pain.
meduka
5mo ago
I mean one of his tweets being quoted in news stories was literally “I would not mind at all if Gaza and Israel were both wiped off the face of the Earth.”
Pessimistically I assumed this was the one that really got him fired (well, "asked to resign".)
Maybe if the left called him an antisemite rather than leading with the anti-Indian racism the charges would've stuck? Though maybe not, the Elon nazi salute thing passed from the zeitgeist very quickly, especially with the ADL coming out to defend him.
meduka
1yr ago
This is pretty much my stance too, now. I saw the Vampyr (which was a solid 7/10 vampire RPG) devs released a new game, then noticed all the marketing was about their cringe interracial coupling. No thanks. And allegedly there's a romance between the (black) male protagonist and the (Japanese) female protagonist in the new AC: I'm sure that'll play well in Japan.
For me, it's just a strong signal that the developers do not care about making a good game on its own merits, and are (in the best case!) cynically playing to the woke gaming press. (If they're true believers, that's even worse.) White leftists writing fiction about black people is basically never going to turn out good, because white leftists worship blacks, and that worship is going to get in the way of any interesting story. In the case of the new AC game, it's even worse -- do you think a white leftist is going to competently write about anti-black Sengoku-era Japanese racism? Or even deal with the subject at all? (Actually, they might -- I think there's an argument to be made that the only people white leftists hate almost as much as other whites, are the Japanese.)
I would have much less of an issue with it all, if any substantial percent of the dev team were actually black, or blacks made up a substantial percentage of their target demographic -- but they aren't, and don't! It's retarded signalling all the way down.
meduka
2yr ago
The egg thing always bothered me, as someone who's had family members that raised chickens. Modern hens produce a shit ton of eggs and will literally go insane ("broody") and starve themselves to death sitting on unfertilized eggs if you don't collect them. What's the vegan rationale for refusing to eat them? I can see being against factory farming or whatever (I don't agree, but I can acknowledge that there exists a consistent ethical system to be against it), but just flat out refusing to consume all animal products regardless of context seems overly dogmatic.
The closest thing to a steelman I can come up with is something like, the chickens didn't consent to be your pet so it's unethical to raise them in the first place. But given that the majority of vegans I've met have pet cats, I don't think that's the logic. If it's ethical to raise and provide for an animal (with conditions superior to what can be found in the wild!) and to do so you need to perform some caretaking task that creates something usable as a byproduct (eggs from chicken, wool from modern sheep) it certainly seems as though you could reconcile eating eggs and wearing wool with being vegan, unless you're willing to bite the bullet and just admit that the modern domesticated breeds of these animals are unfit to survive and should go extinct, which is... a take.
meduka
2mo ago
I saw this unfold "live" and was mostly annoyed the meta-level "controversy" kept popping up in my For You. Some of the "best" Twitter threads are just a dozen tweets and screencaps of random books/papers tied together to make some coherent point that you can nonetheless swipe through in 5 minutes. Is such content plagiarism? I find the notion itself absurd; this isn't academic writing. If the content is primarily sourced from one particular author they should obviously be linked to (which he was), but even this is a selfish desire: if their writing is interesting, I'll want to follow them! I read Cremiuex's thread, and I skimmed the blog post he allegedly "plagiarized", and I prefer Cremieux's rendition, but it doesn't matter, because if Cremiuex hadn't tweeted it, I wouldn't have ever found the source blog, or author.
Trawling the web and packaging up good ideas other people have had into a format that is easily digestible (and visible!) is a public service in my book. Cremiuex's thread was around 1000 words, the first blog post linked was around 3000 (maybe 2700 if we exclude some of the tables/formatting?) Even if Cremiuex didn't verify any of the figures or include anything from the other sources he linked (I am not invested enough in this saga to check) this degree of editorializing is sufficient to evade the label of "low effort content theft" in my opinion.
"This guy on Twitter plagiarized 1/3 of my blogpost then linked to my site, woe is me." Come on.
meduka
10mo ago
That particular phrasing was meant in jest. I had considered drawing a parallel between some hypothetical Romans clutching their pearls over the plight of Carthaginian infants but couldn't quite make it work.
meduka
1yr ago
The fundamental issue is, assuming HBD is correct, anywhere that adopts "colorblind meritocracy" will see massive disparities across racial lines. How do you expect blank slatists to reconcile this outcome with their beliefs? They will believe the system is flawed, racist, nepotistic, etc. Meritocracy + blank slatism is not a stable equilibrium: you need some kind of explanation as to why there are more losers among some groups than others, or else the legitimacy of the system will be called into question.
"Cultural differences" is the major non-HBD "defense", and personally I don't think it's robust enough on its own: e.g., even rich blacks score worse than poor whites on the SAT.
meduka
2yr ago
The most impressed I've been with ChatGPT has been when I've pasted in 100-200 lines of my own (uncommented, with not particularly descriptive variable names) code and had it accurately explain precisely what it does, and if prompted, offer reasonable-sounding suggestions for improvement, as well as answer more abstract questions about it. I had a somewhat lengthy Jenkins file, activated by a github webhook, which pulled code, ran a formatter, compiled the Rust code, zipped the resulting executable up, copied the zip file into a directory on a web server, grabbed the last 20 git commits with git log, wrote them into an .html file to provide a quick list of what the newest build contains, and then finally sent a message via webhook to a Discord server to notify users that a new build was available.
ChatGPT had no trouble at all recognizing all of this and even proactively recommended that contributors take care not to leak credentials in git commit messages, and could perform simple transformations on the Jenkins file (like adding a rule to send a different message if the build failed) with no errors. I also had success asking it to rewrite .bat build files to use a Makefile and clang instead of MSVC. I could see ChatGPT in its current state easily shaving 5-10 minutes off simple (but annoying) tasks like this, and also helping with boring API wrangling that is not technically difficult but requires tediously scouring docs to find the appropriate functions. Asking it to write more complex code whole cloth was less impressive and for meaningful contributions to a larger codebase I'd expect you'd quickly run into issues with its limited context window. I'd say it's roughly on the level of a novice (maybe 10th percentile?) programmer with access to Stack Overflow, but it provides solutions instantly. It's certainly more competent than some people I've had the misfortune of working with, though that probably says more about my former coworkers than it does about ChatGPT's capabilities.
meduka
11mo ago
I was curious if ChatGPT actually knew about and would recommend TheMotte (I admit I was doubtful) but can confirm that asking for "nuanced and respectful political discussion", while initially yielding such recommendations as /r/Ask_Politics and ResetEra (lol), when I followed up by asking for "niche forums with a high level of quality and rules around civility," TheMotte was the first recommendation.
Fact check: plausible.
meduka
2yr ago
I'll be concerned if these limits last longer than a couple of days. I doubt the GCP stuff is related (even the article you link connects it to Twitter Trust & Safety while this outage is affecting Twitter's core infra). FWIW Twitter seems fine for me now. It was severely degraded for a few hours on both app and web earlier but looks to have improved. I suspect someone fucked up deploying the new login-wall and they're running damage control, and possibly using the situation to run some experiments (or as leverage for their negotiations with API customers). This is the first major service interruption since Musk's takeover and (unless it persists!) I really think you're catastrophizing too much. I mean, Reddit was completely unusable for several days just a couple of weeks ago (though that was due to managerial incompetence rather than technical); 12 hours of degraded service is a bad look for a major tech company but hardly apocalyptic like you seem to imply.
meduka
2yr ago
Voting is primarily a means of electing people who decide how to allocate public funds. I don't see why individuals who live off the government, at great cost to the taxpayer (something like $100k/yr per inmate in California) should have any input into how other people's money is spent. Determining who has the "right" to vote should probably be rolled under the IRS' jurisdiction anyway, with a voter card sent out with your tax return. If a felon gets out of prison and makes enough money to actually pay taxes, then sure, let them vote, just like any other taxpayer.
There's a separate argument, one that I'm partial to, where franchise should be tied to your net tax contribution (and if you're at a deficit, with more benefits received than paid, then you get no vote until you make up the difference), but that's even further outside the overton window, so.
meduka
1yr ago
I suspect with ZIRP on the way out we'll see more tech companies tightening their belts. The reality of it is that most tech companies are horribly over staffed (look at Twitter, where allegedly 80% of the employees were let go, with no ensuing technical disaster that was, nonetheless, oft predicted.) There have always been theories floating around as to why these companies become so bloated with dead weight employees: FAANG hires anyone remotely competent and gives them make-work to keep them from their competitors, was a common belief.
I think the reality is a bit more nuanced than that and less strategic: headcounts bloat because when you're already making good money, the easiest way to increase your status is to increase the number of people "working under you". So projects which could reasonably be handled by one "10x developer" get spun out into entire teams to make the lead look better. And his boss is happier because now he is responsible for more people, which makes him look even more important, and so on. With fat enough margins (and/or a zero interest rate environment) this process can continue for a very long time. It's how a firm like Dropbox winds up with over 3000 employees.
meduka
1yr ago
I thought Fallout 4 was pretty decent, mechanically anyway. The gunplay was fine ("best in series" is not saying much, but I'll say it anyway), the settlement building and crafting were shallow but offered a decent respite from the endless "walk from person a to person b" quests or clearing what looks like the same dungeon post apocalyptic factory for the 10th time. I didn't play the story through to completion (and probably the less said of the writing, the better) but it was a reasonably memorable ~30 hours before I got bored. I liked the power armor. Solid 7/10.
Starfield seems considerably streamlined, even compared to Fallout 4. The loss of attributes means the only thing differentiating your character build is your choice of skills now, and unfortunately I have terminal RPG brain and cannot justify taking anything that doesn't grant me more utility (e.g., better lockpicking to open more doors and explore more locations, higher persuasion chance to open up new quest options, etc) and the combat isn't exactly difficult (you can spam medkits to brute force any encounter, even on Very Hard) so I can't see myself dropping a point into any of the weapons skills until, like, level 30+.
Companion AI seems even more braindead than I remember in Fallout 4, with followers regularly getting stuck on geometry, and they don't teleport to you until you change location, so they're useless in most fights. The space combat is basically just a minigame (and a hard DPS check if you're up against >3 enemies, as there aren't any useful mobility options, cover/asteroids are rare and get destroyed almost immediately) but the lego-style ship customization is still pretty fun to toy around with. Jump jets are cool, different planets having different levels of gravity makes combat feel a little different depending on where you are.
It feels extraordinarily casual. This is not necessarily a criticism, it's just a reasonably well executed AAA video game, with all that entails. My biggest complaint is that the design is unambitious: it's Fallout 4 In Space. Any time they had a choice of introducing more systematic complexity, they chose against. With the extended development cycle I was hoping we'd see something genuinely novel, but alas. I think they either experimented a lot (and cut a lot) or spent most of their time on content (and from what I can tell, there is a ton of it). Overall, it seems competent. It's not God's Gift to Gaming or whatever people were hyping themselves up for: it's a mainstream Bethesda game with as many rough edges filed down as possible. I'm still having a good time and would recommend it to anyone with an interest in an open world sci fi light RPG shooter.
meduka
2yr ago
This is not really correct. Scalpers, by definition, have no interest in the goods they're scalping -- they don't want them. Their only objective is to arbitrage the price people are willing to pay and MSRP. If there wasn't demand for the products at the price the scalpers were asking then they wouldn't sell and they'd be forced to lower their prices. There is no scenario where scalpers are "distorting the market", they correct pricing errors and make the market more efficient.
There are definitely going to be massive blind spots with the current architecture. The strawberry thing always felt a little hollow to me though as it's clearly an artifact of the tokenizer (i.e., GPT doesn't see "strawberry", it sees "[302, 1618, 19772]", the tokenization of "st" + "raw" + "berry"). If you explicitly break the string down into individual tokens and ask it, it doesn't have any difficulty (unless it reassembles the string and parses it as three tokens again, which it will sometimes do unless you instruct otherwise.)
Likewise with ARC-AGI, comparing o3 performance to human evaluators is a little unkind to the robot, because while humans get these nice pictures, o3 is fed a JSON array of numbers, similar to this. While I agree the visually formatted problem is trivial for humans, if you gave humans the problems in the same format I think you'd see their success rate plummet (and if you enforced the same constraints e.g., no drawing it out, all your "thinking" has to be done in text form, etc, then I suspect even much weaker models like o1 would be competitive with humans.)
I agree that any AI that can't complete these tasks is obviously not "true" AGI. (And it goes without saying that even if an AI could score 100% on ARC it wouldn't prove that it is AGI, either.) The only metric that really matters in the end is whether a model is capable of recursive self-improvement and expanding its own capabilities autonomously. If you crack that nut then everything else is within reach. Is it plausible that an AI could score 0% on ARC and yet be capable of designing, architecting, training, and running a model that achieves 100%? I think it's definitely a possibility, and that's where the fun(?) really begins. All I want to know is how far we are from that.
Edit: Looks like o3 wasn't ingesting raw JSON. I was under the impression that it was because of this tweet from roon (OpenAI employee), but scrolling through my "For You" page randomly surfaced the actual prompt used. Which, to be fair, is still quite far from how a human perceives it, especially once tokenized. But not quite as bad as I made it look originally!
meduka
6mo ago
the position that this proves that all Arab immigration to Europe should be cut off, because even the apparently liberal/assimilated ones are still ticking time bombs of potential violence
Well, wignats will have a field day. (Maybe that was his objective?)
Certainly the more moderate right will find it uncomfortable. An educated, apostate Arab who's vehemently against the Islamification of Europe -- well, if Germany is anything like the USA, he'd be held up as one of the "good ones" and a solid ally. (The moderate right is of course desperate to latch onto any token PoC so they can assert that they're not racist!)
I don't think you can quite square this circle without accepting an ethnonationalist framing, so I expect this to be swept under the rug. It looks bad for Arabs, obviously bad for the pro-immigration left, bad for the moderate right; the only people who can point to this incident as confirming their priors are the ones saying these immigrants are fundamentally incompatible with Western civilization by virtue of their ethnicity, regardless of their professed views.
Assuming this wasn't some 4D double layered false flag: https://x.com/stillgray/status/1870306075695546383 (this reads like premium copium to me, but, I guess it's not impossible.)
meduka
8mo ago
So, I was in a pretty similar position to you, though my procrastination and absenteeism started in middle school and never really cleared up. My last year of high school I was going to class less than once a week to hand in assignments or write tests and spending the rest of my time at home reading, programming, or playing video games. The school tolerated this because I got an exemption from a psychiatrist (who I was forced to start seeing after I said, basically, "If I have to waste another fucking year of my life in that place I'm going to end up killing myself," to my mother when explaining why I kept skipping class.)
The psychiatrist diagnosed me with "social anxiety" which I didn't agree with at the time, and still don't, but I played along because it at least meant being able to graduate on time.
I moved out at 18 to go to college. Predictably, it did not go very well. While the coursework was trivial (freshman CS) the profs were hardasses about attendance, so I dropped out after two semesters. Moved back in with my mom to her great disappointment and did odd jobs to make my student loan payments and help with rent. (Picking apples in autumn and a part-time gig at the butcher's shop she worked at for the rest of the year, mostly. I didn't have trouble with showing up to these jobs for some reason.)
If discipline (conscientiousness?) is a Real Thing then I'd wager I'm <1st percentile. Whatever standard script typically engenders "work ethic" in people was completely ineffective on me; the only thing that's motivated me to do things I actively don't want to do is an overwhelming sense of panic and imminent fear of disaster. This is a pretty severe character flaw, there's no sugar-coating it, and I haven't been able to overcome it except in brief spurts. I've tried a friend's Vyvanse prescription: it seemed to make it easier to initiate annoying tasks, but I wasn't in school or working full-time, so I have no idea if it would've been effective in those scenarios, and it may have been placebo to begin with.
I'm 29 now, and unfortunately I never found a satisfactory solution to this problem; I gave up on the "standard" normie wageslave life a long time ago. Post-COVID, online courses and remote work might be a viable means to cope with the issue -- when I was in college, the idea of an online class being remotely equivalent to a "real" one was pure fantasy. You can, apparently, even get student loans for them now. I found my own personal success (such as it is) in other ways: I made a decent chunk of money in crypto early on (ironically using some of the student loan money which I'm still making the minimum payments on -- the interest rate is so low, it's the only Rational(tm) choice) and multiplied it with some Wallstreetbets-tier investments. The COVID years were particularly kind, and Nvidia secured the bag, so to speak. This was enough to live independently and comfortably (though not lavishly) for the foreseeable future.
This came out as more of a blackpilling post then I expected; I don't know that I have any advice per se, as "get lucky with crypto 8+ years ago" is not exactly actionable. That said, if you aren't able to solve the root of your issue (as I wasn't) it's worth considering more unconventional coping methods, e.g., finding some way to make enough money to achieve your goal of living independently. You are clearly very literate, fluent in English, intelligent, and an American citizen: this combination alone puts you ahead of a lot of people, and there has never been a better time to make a living on the internet. If your morals are at all flexible and you have a bit of risk tolerance (and if the alternative is "getting kicked out and eventually living on the streets", well...) there are many roads available.
Probably not the answer you were looking for, but (personally) the NEET life is great, if you can find a way to make it happen.
meduka
1yr ago
Eco
That brings me back. I no-lifed Eco for a couple of weeks on a public server with a few friends close to the Steam release and it was a surprisingly fun game to optimize (until our group got called into a "tribunal" for suspicion of exploiting, because our 4 players had progressed much further than the rest of the 200+ player server: supposedly we were abusing a bug that let you respec professions for free, in reality we simply specialized purely into unlocking better tech and completely ignored all of the efficiency bonuses, powering through with raw playtime). The player economy stuff was great: our currency become the de facto standard by cornering the market on higher-tier tech, and then we could discreetly mint more coins as we needed to buy up raw resources for "free". I haven't kept up with the game since, but as I understand it there were quite a few updates to prevent that particular style of gameplay.
Re: Palworld, I think your assessment is largely on the mark, though with a caveat that Palworld, mechanically, does interesting things that other (multiplayer) survival/base builder games don't. Or at least it tries to, anyway -- there are obvious issues that may or may not be addressed. Sure, Conan Exiles had a similar "recruitment" feature where you kidnapped enemies and forced them to work in your base, and you could even bring them along in a party, but it was quite horribly executed (IIRC with default settings you needed to "break them on the wheel" in classic Conan-fashion for literal hours: in Palworld you just toss a sphere and pray to RNGesus). Pals have needs and will path around your base to fulfill them: if you drop resources, they'll actually go pick them up and deliver them. This isn't technically impressive or anything like that, but it brings Palworld a step closer to something like Kenshi vs. a game like Conan where the NPCs are just crafting boosts. I recently played Enshrouded, another new Early Access survival game, and while I love the voxel-based building system (though I wish there were a few Valheim-style restrictions, like with smoke/structural support) the "NPCs" there are literally just crafting stations: you dump them in a spot and then they're completely static. At least in Terraria NPCs wander around a bit! It is shocking that no other game attempts what Palworld does. Hell, even Starfield, which is singleplayer(!!) has an utterly undeveloped base-building system compared to Palworld, and that's a game that had both Fallout 76 and Fallout 4 to build off of, but somehow managed to be a major step backwards.
I don't get that impression from Elon's tweet. There's nothing deep or novel there, you're right -- he's regurgitating standard economic dogma. But stating something that is both true and obvious is not, at least in my worldview, somehow a knock against the person saying it -- particularly when it actually is a controversial statement among laymen: something like half the country supports rent control (varies from poll to poll). Maybe if he was phrasing it as if he was some kind of gigabrain genius and these were wholly original thoughts, I'd have a more negative reaction, but I didn't parse it that way.
I think I'm probably more pro-Elon than most people here, though I'm quite bearish on Tesla in particular wrt. their ability to deliver on their self-driving promises, SpaceX is just so impressive it kind of washes away those sins. Rocket companies are hard, Carmack couldn't build one, Bezos' Blue Origin is far from competitive, ULA is basically a joke, etc. I mean just look at this graph: https://x.com/FutureJurvetson/status/1792672666316665198/photo/1
Now, how much of SpaceX's success is due to Musk is a totally reasonable discussion to have, but even in the most cynical case, he at least hired the best people and set strategic objectives that led directly to capturing the overwhelming majority of the launch market and drove costs down an order of magnitude. And this is before Starship.
X/Twitter might be circling the drain and have no clear path to sustainability (let alone profitability) but some of my favorite poasters have been unbanned and I think you could argue his acquisition dragged the Overton window to the right, so I'm giving him a pass there as well. And there's something ironic about the legacy media claiming it's dead/dying when Biden announced his resignation on X/Twitter first.
With regards to Altman, he comes across as basically a grifter and technically unsophisticated, no disagreements there. I am not at all impressed by his leadership.
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